NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	99		Excitement	4.8 [864]		MVP	John Salmons (SAC): +19.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	80		Comeback	1.2 [388]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): -9.7%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
John Salmons	0.20	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.16	0.04	0.01	10	76%	0.20	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Travis Outlaw	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.09	0.01	0.04	7	79%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Brooks	0.02	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.01	10	70%	0.12	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	17	45%	0.01	0	0.00	8	87%	0.03
Jason Thompson	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	10	48%	0.03	2	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Charles Hayes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Thornton	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.05	0.01	-0.04	9	30%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Francisco Garcia	-0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	13	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Thomas	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	50%	-0.03	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Hickson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.01	0.02	12	56%	0.05	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.00	-0.03	9	45%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Joel Freeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	1	100%	0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nolan Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	2	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.04	-0.01	11	58%	0.05	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	0.01	2	67%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	14	47%	-0.01	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	13	44%	-0.02	4	-0.07	1	0%	0.00
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	5	42%	0.01	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.0	28.0	14.8	26.3	2.4	26.2	125.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +13.6%

SAC +7.1%

SAC +11.4%

SAC +16.5%

SAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	POR	NBA	SAC	POR	NBA
this game	15.2	15.9	15.4	107.6	86.0	104.1
season	15.0	15.8		104.7	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.2		107.6	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	11.5	16.5	15.4	18.9	15.2
POR	14.2	15.6	16.6	17.9	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Francisco Garcia	61	61	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.08	17	2	15	14.3	17.2	-2.93	16.0	15.7	0.25
John Salmons	73	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.05	17	2	15	14.4	18.6	-4.26	15.6	17.1	-1.47
DeMarcus Cousins	68	68	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.10	13	6	7	14.4	17.8	-3.44	16.0	15.6	0.33
Aaron Brooks	61	62	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.11	10	9	1	14.0	17.7	-3.76	15.7	16.3	-0.56
Travis Outlaw	30	29	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.09	15	4	11	17.6	14.1	3.54	17.6	15.1	2.43
Jason Thompson	59	59	0.24	0.26	-0.03	-0.12	12	7	5	14.5	16.7	-2.21	15.2	17.1	-1.95
Isaiah Thomas	31	31	0.10	0.40	-0.30	-0.17	9	10	-1	17.7	14.0	3.76	16.3	15.7	0.56
Charles Hayes	24	25	0.02	0.48	-0.46	-0.16	6	13	-7	17.8	14.4	3.44	15.6	16.0	-0.33
James Johnson	9	10	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.00	-2	21	-23	18.0	15.0	3.05	16.9	15.8	1.14
Marcus Thornton	31	32	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.14	2	17	-15	17.2	14.3	2.93	15.7	16.0	-0.25
Thomas Robinson	13	14	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	23	-27	16.4	15.1	1.32	16.3	15.8	0.48

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	9	8	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.03	5	-24	29	11.2	16.4	-5.16	16.2	15.2	1.10
Ronnie Price	30	30	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.08	3	-22	25	16.6	15.5	1.06	16.9	14.5	2.40
Nolan Smith	28	27	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-16	13	15.4	16.1	-0.70	16.6	14.7	1.85
Joel Freeland	17	19	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-18	17	15.8	15.9	-0.07	15.8	15.1	0.75
Sasha Pavlovic	13	14	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-11	3	15.5	15.9	-0.40	16.6	15.0	1.64
Meyers Leonard	28	26	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-13	7	16.5	15.6	0.94	15.7	15.1	0.67
Luke Babbitt	53	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.16	-13	-6	-7	15.5	16.4	-0.91	15.9	14.5	1.37
Wesley Matthews	59	58	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.01	-11	-8	-3	16.0	15.6	0.37	14.0	17.4	-3.34
JJ Hickson	55	54	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.15	-17	-2	-15	16.6	14.8	1.85	15.3	15.2	0.07
LaMarcus Aldridge	63	64	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.09	-15	-4	-11	15.9	15.8	0.17	14.5	17.0	-2.46
Damian Lillard	76	74	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	0.05	-16	-3	-13	15.5	17.8	-2.30	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Nicolas Batum	34	35	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	-6	-7	16.5	15.5	0.97	13.9	16.1	-2.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, MIN 84	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.35,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%
SAS 97, VAN 79	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.35,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	95.2%
DEN 93, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.0%