inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 93 Excitement5.5 [691] MVPEarl Boykins (DEN): +13.1%
Cleveland Cavaliers 89 Comeback1.1 [518] LVPZydrunas Ilgauskas (CLE): -20.7%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Earl Boykins0.130,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.070.05-0.021269%0.142-0.012100%0.01
Jon Barry0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.020.03-0.03764%0.112-0.0300%0.00
Nene0.070,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07-0.020.06-0.031052%0.071-0.01520%-0.03
Chris Andersen0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00150%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Voshon Lenard-0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.001550%0.042-0.0500%0.00
Francisco Elson-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rodney White-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.070.00-0.0320%-0.012-0.0300%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.01743%-0.012-0.0400%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.050,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.08-0.01-0.031738%-0.041-0.02333%-0.03
Andre Miller-0.070,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07-0.09-0.01-0.031642%-0.012-0.06667%-0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Boozer0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.00-0.05950%0.061-0.022100%0.01
Chris Mihm0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.02-0.00-0.01460%0.0200.002100%0.01
Darius Miles0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.040.01-0.021350%0.022-0.04667%0.02
DeSagana Diop0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Kevin Ollie0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.020.00750%-0.011-0.022100%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.10-0.02-0.031130%-0.062-0.031100%0.00
J.R. Bremer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11-0.11-0.150.00-0.04109%-0.1100.0020%-0.03
Ricky Davis0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21-0.21-0.07-0.070.061649%-0.104-0.10333%-0.04
Zydrunas Ilgauskas0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.2,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21-0.21-0.10-0.080.031749%-0.123-0.091369%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.62.832.016.831.02.639.6148.4
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +53.5%
CLE -2.8%
CLE -7.7%
DEN +6.6%
DEN +0.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENCLENBADENCLENBA
this game15.314.415.795.991.8100.5
season14.915.7101.699.8
opponent15.515.4102.3101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN14.315.516.115.415.3
CLE14.514.515.213.414.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikoloz Tskitishvili16160.400.100.300.0512-82014.415.5-1.0315.014.30.73
Jon Barry21230.320.180.140.059-51415.515.20.2914.614.30.23
Carmelo Anthony80780.310.190.130.40-37-1015.514.50.9314.613.41.27
Earl Boykins48490.290.210.080.41-48-1215.615.00.6514.014.8-0.79
Andre Miller65630.280.220.050.2513-215.115.7-0.5314.314.6-0.35
Nene78790.270.230.040.30-15-615.912.63.3214.613.41.16
Francisco Elson14150.230.27-0.050.027-31016.215.11.0714.414.40.01
Marcus Camby52520.230.27-0.050.085-1614.016.8-2.8814.913.81.02
Voshon Lenard76740.180.32-0.140.33-59-1415.215.5-0.2914.314.6-0.23
Rodney White19210.150.35-0.21-0.005-1614.115.6-1.5513.014.8-1.84
Chris Andersen1615-0.150.65-0.800.03-610-1616.915.01.9613.514.6-1.09

Cleveland Cavaliers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Chris Mihm23230.19-0.690.89-0.079-132214.414.40.0615.915.10.75
Kevin Ollie6162-0.06-0.440.38-0.5015-193414.414.40.0515.814.51.32
Ricky Davis7476-0.25-0.250.00-0.488-122013.716.5-2.7415.713.81.96
DeSagana Diop3332-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.02-84-1214.314.5-0.1814.315.8-1.43
Zydrunas Ilgauskas5960-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.301-5615.013.51.4716.912.74.24
J.R. Bremer3636-0.32-0.18-0.14-0.06-95-1414.414.40.0413.416.4-2.99
LeBron James8484-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.26-3-1-214.315.0-0.7014.818.3-3.47
Darius Miles5957-0.520.02-0.55-0.26-95-1414.114.8-0.6515.015.7-0.68
Carlos Boozer5655-0.670.17-0.830.04-2420-4415.113.51.6115.015.7-0.77


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.31,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.35,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.22,0.34,0.26,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
CHH 120, HOU 1010.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.42,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.26,0.23,0.38,0.35,0.39,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.21,0.23,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.2%
SAC 99, POR 800.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.22,0.27,0.32,0.38,0.24,0.18,0.23,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,095.0%
MEM 103, NYK 820.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.29,0.28,0.27,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.33,0.35,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.42,0.55,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.34,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,094.8%