NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	97		Excitement	7.5 [327]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (DAL): +25.8%
Phoenix Suns	94		Comeback	2.0 [363]		LVP	Derek Fisher (DAL): -13.3%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.26	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.26	-0.00	0.23	-0.03	17	64%	0.41	6	-0.15	2	100%	0.02
Brandan Wright	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.00	12	67%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darren Collison	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15	0.05	0.09	-0.01	6	67%	0.28	2	-0.13	12	83%	0.07
Shawn Marion	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	9	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Kaman	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	12	58%	0.06	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.02
Elton Brand	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	43%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jae Crowder	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.1,-0.14,-0.15,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	41%	-0.00	2	-0.07	4	100%	0.06
Derek Fisher	-0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	3	20%	-0.06	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shannon Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,0.21	0.21	0.02	0.19	0.01	9	55%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.07
Markieff Morris	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	0.00	12	56%	0.09	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	5	79%	0.09	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	10	59%	0.08	1	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
PJ Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06	-0.06	-0.07	0.01	-0.00	8	35%	0.00	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	8	17%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Beasley	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	12	35%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12	-0.12	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	14	47%	-0.06	2	-0.06	4	75%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	2.7	31.8	18.5	32.3	2.8	43.0	156.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +42.9%

DAL +7.4%

DAL +3.4%

PHX -11.9%

DAL +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.0	15.5	15.4	102.1	100.0	104.1
season	14.5	15.2		104.3	99.7
opponent	15.1	15.6		106.3	105.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.7	16.1	13.5	15.6	15.0
PHX	14.7	18.1	17.8	12.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	78	78	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.38	4	-1	5	14.9	15.2	-0.24	15.6	15.1	0.53
Shawn Marion	45	45	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	-9	21	13.7	16.1	-2.37	17.7	13.5	4.24
Derek Fisher	42	43	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.11	6	-3	9	13.2	16.4	-3.16	17.2	14.1	3.15
Elton Brand	56	56	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.33	-3	6	-9	14.0	16.3	-2.30	15.2	15.9	-0.62
Chris Kaman	38	36	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.03	7	-4	11	16.7	13.8	2.93	16.4	14.9	1.53
Darren Collison	54	52	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.34	-4	7	-11	16.1	13.5	2.58	13.8	17.5	-3.70
Vince Carter	60	58	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.25	-1	4	-5	14.0	16.7	-2.75	14.1	17.7	-3.60
Jae Crowder	24	25	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-3	9	18.1	13.9	4.21	17.0	15.0	2.04
Brandan Wright	47	45	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.41	-9	12	-21	16.4	13.5	2.91	13.7	17.2	-3.47
Dahntay Jones	31	32	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.18	-3	6	-9	14.2	15.4	-1.17	15.8	15.3	0.47

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sebastian Telfair	40	40	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.29	11	-14	25	13.1	17.2	-4.09	16.3	14.0	2.37
Luis Scola	44	46	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.36	12	-15	27	14.5	16.4	-1.97	17.5	12.6	4.97
Jermaine O'Neal	19	18	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-1	-1	18.6	14.7	3.86	15.6	14.8	0.78
PJ Tucker	28	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.04	-2	-1	-1	15.6	15.4	0.20	15.5	14.8	0.71
Michael Beasley	40	39	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.03	-5	2	-7	17.6	13.9	3.66	14.2	15.5	-1.31
Shannon Brown	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.30	0	-3	3	15.4	15.6	-0.18	13.9	16.6	-2.69
Jared Dudley	42	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	1	-5	14.5	16.3	-1.85	15.2	14.8	0.34
Markieff Morris	69	70	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	1	-5	15.5	15.5	-0.03	14.1	17.3	-3.18
Marcin Gortat	52	53	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.11	-13	10	-23	16.2	14.7	1.51	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Goran Dragic	80	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.34	-8	5	-13	15.6	15.1	0.50	14.6	16.7	-2.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.66,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.22,0.1,0.11,0.16,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, ORL 76	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.57,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.42,0.51,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.3,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	93.0%
IND 92, DAL 80	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0	92.9%
SAC 113, MIN 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.6,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.2,0.27,0.2,0.14,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.12,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.05,0.11,0.01,0,0	92.9%