NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	92		Excitement	5.3 [750]		MVP	Shawn Bradley (DAL): +15.5%
Dallas Mavericks	80		Comeback	2.3 [209]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -20.3%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jamaal Tinsley	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	92%	0.14	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Austin Croshere	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Fred Jones	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Jeff Foster	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	10	57%	0.06	3	-0.09	8	75%	-0.00
Reggie Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	10	35%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.10	-0.02	-0.08	24	48%	0.11	5	-0.15	6	83%	0.01
Anthony Johnson	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	16	44%	-0.01	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.01	6	100%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.00	12	68%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Marquis Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.09	-0.06	20	43%	-0.05	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.04	-0.04	9	28%	-0.07	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.15	-0.04	-0.04	11	21%	-0.08	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.11	-0.05	0.01	10	25%	-0.11	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.20	-0.14	-0.07	-0.00	11	40%	-0.07	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.5	3.6	32.8	16.6	28.4	3.5	34.5	145.9
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +53.0%

DAL -6.1%

IND +14.7%

DAL -9.4%

DAL -2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	14.9	15.4	15.7	96.8	84.2	100.5
season	16.7	14.6		101.1	109.2
opponent	15.6	15.7		105.0	94.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	16.2	13.8	13.0	16.5	14.9
DAL	13.2	17.5	16.8	14.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jamaal Tinsley	65	65	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.00	19	-7	26	14.0	16.8	-2.80	15.2	15.7	-0.49
Reggie Miller	63	63	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.05	16	-4	20	14.9	15.0	-0.17	15.1	15.9	-0.76
Al Harrington	71	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	1	10	14.6	15.7	-1.06	15.7	14.4	1.30
Metta World Peace	87	86	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	3	6	15.1	13.4	1.68	15.3	16.0	-0.66
Austin Croshere	32	29	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.13	7	5	2	14.6	15.1	-0.49	18.3	14.1	4.19
Jermaine O'Neal	66	69	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.07	6	6	0	15.1	14.5	0.62	14.3	18.4	-4.11
Jeff Foster	31	34	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	9	-6	15.4	14.7	0.70	14.3	16.0	-1.72
Fred Jones	30	29	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.09	-4	16	-20	14.7	15.0	-0.32	16.4	15.0	1.41
Anthony Johnson	30	30	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.14	-7	19	-26	16.8	14.0	2.80	15.7	15.2	0.49

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Fortson	25	24	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.00	-1	-11	10	13.6	16.1	-2.50	16.3	14.5	1.84
Marquis Daniels	23	23	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.05	-3	-9	6	16.5	15.1	1.42	13.9	15.2	-1.32
Tony Delk	42	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.09	-3	-9	6	15.3	15.5	-0.25	15.5	14.4	1.13
Dirk Nowitzki	81	81	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.18	-2	-10	8	15.0	17.5	-2.46	15.5	11.8	3.67
Shawn Bradley	36	37	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.10	-5	-7	2	17.1	14.4	2.71	14.6	15.1	-0.44
Antawn Jamison	64	65	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.14	-6	-6	0	16.1	14.0	2.13	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Michael Finley	71	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.09	-12	0	-12	14.8	17.2	-2.48	14.9	15.0	-0.17
Steve Nash	59	59	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	2	-16	15.5	15.2	0.33	14.0	16.4	-2.33
Antoine Walker	74	73	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.12	-14	2	-16	15.2	16.0	-0.71	14.7	15.6	-0.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.61,0.63,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.21,0.22,0.16,0.12,0.19,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 105, SAC 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.8%
POR 96, MIL 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0	93.6%
BOS 89, BKN 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	93.3%