NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	89		Excitement	5.0 [819]		MVP	Avery Bradley (BOS): +17.6%
Brooklyn Nets	81		Comeback	3.0 [204]		LVP	Bojan Bogdanovic (BKN): -9.4%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Avery Bradley	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	12	75%	0.23	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Marcus Smart	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	-0.01	5	80%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Zeller	0.06	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	14	56%	0.08	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Marcus Thornton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.05	-0.01	7	33%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	8	41%	0.00	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.03
Jae Crowder	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	37%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	8	37%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Evan Turner	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	0.01	11	36%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	7	14%	-0.07	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mirza Teletovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	9	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.01	11	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	11	55%	-0.04
Sergey Karasev	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	42%	-0.00	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Deron Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alan Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Jarrett Jack	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	13	58%	0.03	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Brook Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.03	-0.01	7	35%	-0.01	2	-0.06	3	67%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.04	0.01	16	50%	0.00	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	1.4	27.9	15.0	25.2	1.8	29.0	124.6
league avg	24.6	2.3	29.6	16.0	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +22.6%

BOS +3.6%

BKN -3.2%

BOS +26.3%

BOS +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	15.3	16.7	15.1	98.9	90.0	104.2
season	14.3	15.3		103.1	102.9
opponent	15.3	15.4		105.8	103.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.9	14.5	14.2	17.7	15.3
BKN	17.2	16.1	17.7	15.8	16.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyler Zeller	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-4	16	15.7	14.7	0.97	17.2	15.8	1.36
Kelly Olynyk	43	43	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.13	8	0	8	12.9	17.5	-4.65	16.6	16.7	-0.12
Avery Bradley	62	62	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.19	4	4	0	16.1	13.6	2.42	16.9	16.2	0.74
Marcus Smart	41	40	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.13	6	2	4	14.6	15.9	-1.29	16.6	16.8	-0.21
Jae Crowder	31	31	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.00	9	-1	10	13.2	16.4	-3.18	16.6	16.7	-0.07
Jeff Green	59	59	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.27	-1	9	-10	16.4	13.2	3.18	16.7	16.6	0.07
Evan Turner	49	50	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	6	-4	15.9	14.6	1.29	16.8	16.6	0.21
Marcus Thornton	28	28	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	4	0	13.6	16.1	-2.42	16.2	16.9	-0.74
Brandon Bass	38	36	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	10	-12	15.6	15.1	0.42	15.9	17.2	-1.38
Jared Sullinger	42	43	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.11	-2	10	-12	17.1	13.7	3.35	16.8	16.6	0.19

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sergey Karasev	43	44	0.04	-0.54	0.58	-0.13	6	-14	20	16.9	16.5	0.33	14.7	15.9	-1.14
Deron Williams	10	10	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	-4	0	16.8	16.7	0.12	10.1	16.0	-5.86
Mirza Teletovic	35	35	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.11	-1	-7	6	15.7	17.3	-1.69	16.7	14.4	2.25
Kevin Garnett	44	43	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.04	-4	-4	0	17.4	16.0	1.36	14.7	15.9	-1.22
Darius Morris	9	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-3	-2	18.3	16.5	1.83	12.7	15.6	-2.94
Alan Anderson	47	48	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.28	1	-9	10	16.0	17.5	-1.53	15.2	15.4	-0.22
Jarrett Jack	71	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-9	10	16.5	17.5	-1.06	16.4	11.4	5.03
Brook Lopez	34	35	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.08	-8	0	-8	17.2	16.4	0.78	13.6	16.4	-2.75
Bojan Bogdanovic	21	21	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.07	-15	7	-22	18.1	16.2	1.90	15.2	15.3	-0.16
Mason Plumlee	67	67	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-5	2	16.5	17.2	-0.65	15.9	13.7	2.23
Joe Johnson	69	67	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.18	-8	0	-8	16.6	16.9	-0.22	15.8	13.9	1.94

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 98, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.56,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.32,0.35,0.24,0.24,0.14,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.05,0.09,0	95.1%
DEN 103, ORL 89	0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%
HOU 102, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.5%