inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 103 Excitement4.8 [882] MVPKenneth Faried (DEN): +17.4%
Orlando Magic 89 Comeback3.2 [290] LVPTrey Lyles (DEN): -9.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kenneth Faried0.170,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.140.030.001080%0.201-0.03580%0.01
Wilson Chandler0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.100.030.02592%0.1200.002100%0.00
Will Barton0.060,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.00-0.031654%0.082-0.02367%-0.00
Emmanuel Mudiay0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.03-0.01-0.011656%0.092-0.0500%0.00
Malik Beasley0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.060.000.02967%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Gary Harris0.030,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03-0.040.06-0.001150%0.093-0.062100%0.01
Mason Plumlee0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.000.010.00475%0.062-0.0500%0.00
Jamal Murray-0.060,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.01-0.01617%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Trey Lyles-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.13-0.00-0.03815%-0.091-0.01475%-0.00

Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Gordon0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.01-0.01-0.021248%0.051-0.03560%-0.02
Bismack Biyombo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.01-0.00-0.00350%0.0100.002100%0.01
Mario Hezonja0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Shelvin Mack0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.060.00-0.0510%-0.001-0.0020%-0.00
Arron Afflalo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.010.000.02550%-0.0100.002100%0.01
Jonathon Simmons0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.03-0.020.021758%0.094-0.102100%0.01
Wes Iwundu0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00333%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Elfrid Payton0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.02-0.001046%0.001-0.03475%-0.01
D.J. Augustin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.04-0.01-0.01637%-0.021-0.034100%0.02
Nikola Vucevic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.01-0.020.011955%0.044-0.0800%0.00
Marreese Speights0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.10-0.01-0.02517%-0.032-0.052100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.52.425.314.829.61.828.0126.3
league avg25.12.328.615.027.22.332.6134.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +51.1%
ORL -7.6%
ORL -6.5%
DEN +12.9%
DEN +0.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENORLNBADENORLNBA
this game14.615.014.7107.390.8107.5
season14.714.6111.2104.2
opponent14.514.7109.1109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN16.412.113.117.814.6
ORL15.513.616.914.315.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Will Barton86880.450.050.400.041401414.813.61.1715.114.50.57
Emmanuel Mudiay64650.320.180.150.00113814.614.8-0.2514.216.6-2.45
Malik Beasley60600.320.180.13-0.01113814.015.8-1.8114.416.0-1.66
Kenneth Faried62620.310.190.12-0.01113814.614.7-0.0913.916.9-3.01
Trey Lyles48480.300.200.11-0.02113813.116.1-3.0014.415.6-1.29
Gary Harris46480.230.27-0.040.14311-815.314.01.2615.714.31.37
Wilson Chandler48500.200.30-0.110.11311-816.113.13.0015.614.41.29
Mason Plumlee34360.190.31-0.120.10311-814.714.60.0916.913.93.01
Jamal Murray32330.180.32-0.150.09311-814.814.60.2516.614.22.45

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bismack Biyombo2727-0.09-0.410.33-0.03-2-121015.015.0-0.0112.715.4-2.70
Marreese Speights2524-0.09-0.410.31-0.01-3-11814.415.2-0.8714.014.9-0.92
Mario Hezonja1919-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-11813.515.4-1.9118.713.65.03
Shelvin Mack2322-0.10-0.400.30-0.01-3-11814.315.2-0.9817.813.74.12
Jonathon Simmons6766-0.17-0.330.15-0.14-1-131215.414.11.3815.213.41.81
Wes Iwundu3434-0.18-0.320.15-0.00-6-8214.015.6-1.5914.115.0-0.86
Arron Afflalo5251-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-9415.015.0-0.0215.214.01.26
Aaron Gordon5958-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.10-7-7015.414.41.0814.315.2-0.89
D.J. Augustin5250-0.34-0.16-0.170.05-13-1-1214.815.2-0.3914.015.3-1.35
Nikola Vucevic6664-0.41-0.09-0.33-0.03-13-1-1215.314.40.9414.814.20.59
Elfrid Payton6665-0.47-0.03-0.44-0.06-140-1415.514.01.5513.317.4-4.10


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.25,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
DEN 117, SAS 1030.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.64,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.6,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,096.0%
PHX 109, WAS 910.5,0.51,0.48,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.51,0.59,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.6,0.54,0.54,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.6,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,095.6%
PHX 110, POR 1020.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.67,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.2,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.3%