NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	105		Excitement	5.1 [778]		MVP	Earl Watson (SEA): +26.0%
Sacramento Kings	92		Comeback	3.0 [83]		LVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): -14.2%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Earl Watson	0.26	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.12	0.07	-0.07	12	88%	0.28	4	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.05	0.00	12	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Johan Petro	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	0.00	0.02	4	82%	0.05	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.00
Nick Collison	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.02	0.01	-0.04	10	50%	0.07	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.00	0.05	7	72%	0.04	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Wilcox	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.01	11	62%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Delonte West	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	4	11%	-0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.09	0.00	-0.05	10	35%	0.04	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	5	42%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Francisco Garcia	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.03	-0.04	9	61%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	-0.04	8	56%	0.09	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Justin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Dahntay Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Quincy Douby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	14	38%	-0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	-0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.04	-0.05	22	42%	0.00	4	-0.07	4	25%	-0.03
Mikki Moore	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	-0.06	0.04	9	48%	-0.07	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Kevin Martin	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	10	23%	-0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	15	31%	-0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.3	2.4	28.2	15.5	26.4	2.5	31.4	128.8
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +57.8%

SEA +8.2%

SAC -5.5%

SAC -10.3%

SAC -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	SAC	NBA	SEA	SAC	NBA
this game	14.2	15.3	15.4	108.2	93.9	105.7
season	14.5	14.9		99.1	105.6
opponent	15.0	15.0		108.0	107.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	13.7	14.5	11.8	17.1	14.2
SAC	14.5	17.5	15.3	14.2	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	79	81	0.60	-0.10	0.69	-0.08	23	-10	33	12.9	19.8	-6.84	15.5	14.5	1.04
Earl Watson	69	69	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	1	11	12.7	17.8	-5.08	15.4	15.2	0.12
Johan Petro	25	25	0.39	0.11	0.29	-0.02	14	-1	15	13.6	14.4	-0.82	17.6	14.6	3.00
Wally Szczerbiak	56	58	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.07	11	2	9	14.5	13.8	0.70	15.0	15.7	-0.72
Kurt Thomas	54	53	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.03	10	3	7	14.2	14.2	0.08	16.2	14.3	1.92
Nick Collison	62	64	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.12	4	9	-5	14.8	13.1	1.75	14.4	17.1	-2.70
Jeff Green	41	40	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	11	-9	13.8	14.5	-0.70	15.7	15.0	0.72
Chris Wilcox	53	54	0.05	0.45	-0.41	0.10	-2	15	-17	13.7	14.8	-1.08	14.5	16.3	-1.76
Luke Ridnour	28	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.00	1	12	-11	17.8	12.7	5.08	15.2	15.4	-0.12
Delonte West	18	17	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.20	-10	23	-33	19.8	12.9	6.84	14.5	15.5	-1.04

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Spencer Hawes	37	37	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.09	7	-20	27	12.7	16.9	-4.26	14.9	13.7	1.20
Quincy Douby	38	36	0.01	-0.51	0.51	-0.14	5	-18	23	12.9	16.9	-3.97	15.3	13.6	1.75
Dahntay Jones	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-15	17	11.7	15.5	-3.73	16.7	14.1	2.65
Justin Williams	21	19	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.14	1	-14	15	12.7	16.1	-3.39	13.3	14.4	-1.17
Francisco Garcia	49	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-11	9	14.2	16.5	-2.33	14.6	13.9	0.67
Mike Bibby	58	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.07	-11	-2	-9	16.1	14.2	1.86	13.7	15.0	-1.33
John Salmons	75	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.06	-18	5	-23	16.3	12.3	3.95	14.2	14.2	0.04
Metta World Peace	81	82	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.04	-15	2	-17	15.5	14.3	1.25	13.9	16.0	-2.12
Mikki Moore	68	67	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.07	-15	2	-17	16.5	12.6	3.93	14.2	14.2	-0.04
Kevin Martin	59	59	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	0.03	-19	6	-25	17.1	12.6	4.46	13.9	14.7	-0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.61,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.64,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.42,0.33,0.33,0.26,0.23,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 89, BKN 81	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.71,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0,0,0	94.3%
CHI 109, MIL 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.7,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.32,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.0%
POR 96, MIL 84	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.62,0.61,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.71,0.61,0.53,0.64,0.58,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.54,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.25,0.2,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.15,0.04,0.03,0,0	94.0%