NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	100		Excitement	9.0 [129]		MVP	Kemba Walker (CHA): +27.3%
Charlotte Bobcats	98		Comeback	10.0 [77]		LVP	Ben Gordon (CHA): -22.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
J.R. Smith	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.14,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.27	-0.08	0.32	-0.02	16	41%	0.35	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.02	10	75%	0.11	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Steve Novak	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	8	56%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pablo Prigioni	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.04,0.04	0.06	-0.03	0.00	3	87%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.03
Kurt Thomas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James White	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Raymond Felton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.05	0.01	-0.07	-0.01	19	44%	-0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Carmelo Anthony	-0.07	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.02	-0.09	0.00	22	48%	-0.04	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Rasheed Wallace	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Bobcats
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.17	0.10	-0.01	15	68%	0.29	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.04
Gerald Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.07	0.13	-0.00	14	56%	0.20	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Jeff Taylor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	4	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.02	7	50%	0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Reggie Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Byron Mullens	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	37%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	5	20%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.18	-0.18	0.00	-0.17	0.01	8	75%	0.13	4	-0.31	0	0%	0.00
Ben Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.22	-0.22	-0.01	-0.21	-0.00	15	57%	0.09	4	-0.31	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.9	1.6	28.4	15.4	27.4	2.4	37.3	134.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +4.4%

CHA -18.5%

CHA -15.4%

NYK +74.8%

NYK +4.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHA	NBA	NYK	CHA	NBA
this game	16.3	15.6	15.4	112.4	106.5	104.1
season	16.2	15.6		107.9	99.9
opponent	15.4	15.5		109.8	103.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.8	17.5	14.5	17.5	16.3
CHA	16.2	14.6	15.5	16.0	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tyson Chandler	65	65	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.50	10	-8	18	16.0	16.9	-0.83	16.1	14.4	1.69
Raymond Felton	67	68	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.49	8	-6	14	16.0	17.2	-1.21	15.9	14.5	1.38
J.R. Smith	56	62	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.61	-4	6	-10	16.3	16.2	0.14	15.4	15.8	-0.40
Ronnie Brewer	36	35	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	-4	10	16.0	16.5	-0.45	15.3	15.7	-0.41
Jason Kidd	46	47	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.35	-1	3	-4	16.4	16.1	0.30	15.5	15.6	-0.16
Steve Novak	48	50	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.32	-2	4	-6	16.1	16.4	-0.31	15.5	15.7	-0.23
Kurt Thomas	9	9	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.03	3	-1	4	16.6	16.2	0.32	16.7	15.4	1.22
Carmelo Anthony	72	73	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	-0.14	4	-2	6	16.3	16.0	0.33	15.8	14.7	1.04
Pablo Prigioni	22	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.95	-0.05	-6	8	-14	17.2	16.0	1.21	14.5	15.9	-1.38
Rasheed Wallace	24	27	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	-0.06	-8	10	-18	16.9	16.0	0.83	14.4	16.1	-1.69

Charlotte Bobcats
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ramon Sessions	28	26	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.04	9	-11	20	14.6	16.0	-1.38	17.5	15.7	1.79
Reggie Williams	8	7	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-7	12	14.6	15.7	-1.03	18.7	16.1	2.65
Jeff Taylor	76	75	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.08	6	-8	14	15.0	18.1	-3.10	16.4	15.4	1.08
Brendan Haywood	43	42	0.03	-0.53	0.55	0.03	0	-2	2	15.2	15.9	-0.71	15.7	16.8	-1.05
Bismack Biyombo	58	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.30	7	-9	16	15.7	15.3	0.43	16.6	15.8	0.83
Ben Gordon	48	48	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.25	3	-5	8	15.8	15.3	0.52	16.7	15.7	1.04
Byron Mullens	37	38	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	11	-24	15.9	15.3	0.55	15.2	17.0	-1.80
Gerald Henderson	47	43	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.55	-6	4	-10	16.0	15.1	0.93	16.9	15.7	1.14
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	51	50	-0.78	0.28	-1.06	-0.49	-10	8	-18	15.8	15.3	0.45	15.6	17.1	-1.53
Kemba Walker	64	63	-0.80	0.30	-1.10	-0.48	-11	9	-20	16.0	14.6	1.38	15.7	17.5	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.38,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.62,0.7,0.59,0.71,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.67,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 101, DAL 100	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.73,0	90.8%
NYK 110, IND 109	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.54,0.36,0.33,0.29,0.28,0.3,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.52,0.67,0.68,0.85,0.81,0.79,0.62,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.73,0.75,0.84,0.86,0.93,0	90.7%
BOS 90, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.48,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.81,0.78,0.9,0.85,0.67,0.73,0	90.4%