NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	101		Excitement	9.0 [113]		MVP	Theo Ratliff (PHI): +19.5%
Dallas Mavericks	100		Comeback	6.8 [121]		LVP	Steve Nash (DAL): -48.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Theo Ratliff	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.10	-0.00	13	86%	0.32	5	-0.13	3	100%	0.02
George Lynch	0.07	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.07	-0.04	0.11	-0.01	10	64%	0.24	5	-0.17	2	100%	0.03
Eric Snow	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.04	8	75%	0.12	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Matt Geiger	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	60%	0.06	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Aaron McKie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.04	4	25%	-0.05	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Larry Hughes	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	5	50%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.03
Billy Owens	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Allen Iverson	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.22,-0.18,-0.08	-0.05	-0.02	0.01	28	47%	0.06	2	-0.14	6	83%	0.13
Tyrone Hill	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.13	-0.03	-0.00	8	22%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Bradley	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.08	0.00	10	71%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Michael Finley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13	0.13	-0.03	0.12	-0.04	20	48%	0.20	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.07	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hubert Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Rooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	17	40%	-0.06	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Greg Buckner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	44%	-0.01	2	-0.08	1	0%	-0.01
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.14	-0.14	0.00	-0.15	-0.01	23	51%	0.06	2	-0.20	5	100%	0.03
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.48	-0.48	-0.07	-0.41	0.00	8	35%	-0.37	2	-0.12	1	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.0	29.1	15.7	24.5	1.8	33.4	130.1
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +43.8%

PHI +21.6%

DAL -1.3%

DAL -4.4%

DAL -9.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DAL	NBA	PHI	DAL	NBA
this game	13.3	14.8	15.2	99.0	97.1	101.7
season	15.0	14.8		99.5	104.2
opponent	14.8	15.5		104.6	98.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	11.8	13.8	14.8	13.0	13.3
DAL	13.0	13.8	14.0	18.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Aaron McKie	48	50	0.78	-0.28	1.06	0.54	8	-7	15	13.4	13.3	0.08	15.4	14.2	1.13
Theo Ratliff	83	83	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.46	9	-8	17	13.1	14.4	-1.30	15.4	12.2	3.20
Eric Snow	81	82	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.51	1	0	1	13.3	13.4	-0.14	15.1	13.4	1.75
George Lynch	55	57	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.43	1	0	1	13.3	13.4	-0.13	14.8	14.8	0.03
Allen Iverson	87	85	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.49	-2	3	-5	13.1	14.3	-1.12	15.0	13.7	1.28
Larry Hughes	46	48	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.09	4	-3	7	13.2	13.4	-0.18	13.9	15.6	-1.69
Billy Owens	16	16	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.04	-4	5	-9	13.6	13.3	0.30	14.5	14.8	-0.33
Matt Geiger	36	36	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.07	-1	2	-3	13.1	13.4	-0.27	14.7	14.8	-0.04
Tyrone Hill	58	58	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	0.04	-11	12	-23	14.1	12.3	1.79	13.4	16.6	-3.20

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Bradley	62	63	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-3	5	15.4	13.8	1.57	13.8	12.5	1.30
Erick Strickland	41	40	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.09	-7	6	-13	13.1	15.9	-2.83	12.4	13.9	-1.54
Sean Rooks	18	19	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	0.01	-8	7	-15	13.8	15.0	-1.21	11.2	13.8	-2.65
Greg Buckner	49	48	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.17	-2	1	-3	16.4	13.3	3.07	13.4	13.2	0.23
Cedric Ceballos	81	79	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.50	8	-9	17	14.9	14.4	0.53	13.6	12.5	1.08
Steve Nash	58	57	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.53	7	-8	15	15.1	14.4	0.75	14.4	12.0	2.39
Dirk Nowitzki	85	83	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.41	2	-3	5	14.2	17.7	-3.57	13.4	13.1	0.26
Michael Finley	101	100	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-2	3	14.9	9.0	5.89	13.3	13.5	-0.19
Hubert Davis	20	21	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.40	-8	7	-15	13.9	15.0	-1.03	11.3	13.8	-2.49

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.48,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.45,0.42,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.46,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.62,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.74,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.79,0.77,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 82, NOH 77	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.34,0.45,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.59,0.56,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.72,0.69,0.55,0.75,0.58,0	92.6%
POR 92, UTA 89	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.59,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.59,0.67,0.82,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.76,0.77,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.76,0.79,0.86,0.42,0	91.3%
SAS 90, MIA 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.67,0.79,0.78,0.74,0.7,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.73,0	91.2%