NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	99		Excitement	3.9 [1050]		MVP	Raymond Felton (NYK): +12.6%
New York Knicks	106		Comeback	1.0 [1286]		LVP	Pablo Prigioni (NYK): -7.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jared Dudley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	7	59%	0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
PJ Tucker	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.08	0.00	0.05	6	83%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sebastian Telfair	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.02	2	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Luis Scola	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.05	0.00	8	47%	0.05	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.07
Shannon Brown	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.02	16	46%	-0.01	1	-0.01	5	80%	0.00
Markieff Morris	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	6	46%	0.01	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Marcin Gortat	-0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.00	0.06	11	69%	0.04	4	-0.08	4	50%	-0.02
Michael Beasley	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	9	47%	-0.02	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raymond Felton	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	-0.01	0.01	17	68%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.11	0.01	0.02	8	75%	0.10	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Steve Novak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.00	-0.01	10	60%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Copeland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.01	27	55%	0.11	4	-0.06	8	100%	0.03
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	8	42%	0.03	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.12	0.00	-0.06	11	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Pablo Prigioni	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.5	2.3	26.5	16.7	24.2	2.4	34.5	135.2
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +23.4%

PHX -0.1%

NYK +7.8%

NYK +14.8%

NYK +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	NYK	NBA	PHX	NYK	NBA
this game	14.6	17.2	15.4	110.0	116.5	104.1
season	15.2	16.2		99.7	107.9
opponent	15.5	15.1		103.8	106.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.7	14.9	14.4	14.5	14.6
NYK	15.3	15.8	19.9	18.3	17.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Dudley	46	47	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.37	11	-18	29	14.4	14.9	-0.52	17.2	17.2	0.01
Luis Scola	40	40	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.17	1	-8	9	14.5	14.7	-0.27	17.7	16.8	0.96
PJ Tucker	50	51	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.20	0	-7	7	13.5	16.1	-2.61	16.4	18.2	-1.81
Markieff Morris	35	36	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	0	-7	14.7	14.6	0.10	17.4	17.0	0.38
Sebastian Telfair	47	48	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.28	0	-7	7	14.5	14.8	-0.28	16.9	17.5	-0.53
Goran Dragic	49	49	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.01	-11	4	-15	15.3	13.8	1.59	17.3	17.0	0.35
Marcin Gortat	76	77	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.33	-1	-6	5	15.0	12.5	2.51	17.5	15.3	2.25
Michael Beasley	41	41	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	0.16	-20	13	-33	14.8	14.5	0.29	16.3	17.9	-1.58
Shannon Brown	66	66	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.24	-8	1	-9	14.7	14.3	0.45	17.5	16.2	1.31

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	70	72	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.08	16	-9	25	17.5	16.1	1.42	14.3	15.8	-1.44
Raymond Felton	73	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.30	4	3	1	17.6	15.6	2.03	15.1	12.9	2.17
Ronnie Brewer	49	48	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.12	7	0	7	16.4	18.1	-1.64	14.6	14.6	0.05
Kurt Thomas	38	36	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.10	13	-6	19	15.9	18.1	-2.17	14.4	14.7	-0.30
Tyson Chandler	56	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.29	-1	8	-9	17.8	16.3	1.51	15.5	13.1	2.37
J.R. Smith	71	70	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.46	-7	14	-21	17.1	17.3	-0.21	13.9	17.0	-3.12
Steve Novak	57	55	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.32	-4	11	-15	18.4	15.2	3.16	15.4	13.5	1.91
Chris Copeland	21	19	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.00	3	4	-1	15.8	17.6	-1.79	12.9	15.1	-2.12
Pablo Prigioni	18	18	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.01	3	4	-1	15.6	17.6	-2.03	12.9	15.1	-2.17
Rasheed Wallace	2	2	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	6	-5	14.5	17.2	-2.75	23.0	14.4	8.57

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.64,0.69,0.62,0.65,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.96,0.92,0.9,0.98,0.96,0.93,0.97,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 74, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%
SAC 100, CHH 115	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.84,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.9,0.92,0.91,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.92,0.91,0.96,0.93,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
DEN 83, POR 95	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%