NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	83		Excitement	3.4 [1092]		MVP	Steven Smith (POR): +6.9%
Portland Trail Blazers	95		Comeback	1.2 [1240]		LVP	George McCloud (DEN): -9.6%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Raef LaFrentz	0.05	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.00	0.04	10	74%	0.07	1	-0.01	3	67%	-0.01
Ryan Bowen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Clark	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	5	55%	0.01	1	-0.00	1	0%	0.00
Johnny Taylor	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	2	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Roy Rogers	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.08	-0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Alexander	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	0.00	0.05	4	90%	0.00	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
James Posey	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.09	-0.00	-0.02	5	25%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Ron Mercer	-0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	13	52%	-0.01	4	-0.07	3	100%	0.01
Nick Van Exel	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	0.00	0.03	16	48%	-0.02	4	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Antonio McDyess	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.10	-0.00	-0.00	8	50%	-0.02	4	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
George McCloud	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	4	22%	-0.06	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steven Smith	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.00	0.01	14	65%	0.09	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	7	62%	0.04	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Antonio Harvey	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	57%	0.04	3	-0.04	6	50%	-0.02
Damon Stoudamire	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	12	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	-0.03	10	40%	0.00	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Stacey Augmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	11	56%	-0.01	3	-0.04	10	50%	-0.02
Rasheed Wallace	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.12	0.00	-0.04	4	20%	-0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.9	2.5	25.2	15.6	23.4	2.7	28.3	124.5
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +22.9%

DEN -0.6%

POR +17.5%

POR +11.6%

DEN -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	POR	NBA	DEN	POR	NBA
this game	15.8	14.7	15.2	89.2	99.0	101.7
season	14.8	15.9		101.5	105.9
opponent	15.7	15.0		99.1	103.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DEN	15.2	18.1	14.1	16.0	15.8
POR	14.8	12.6	14.7	16.8	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keon Clark	39	39	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.39	14	-26	40	14.6	16.7	-2.14	17.4	12.8	4.59
Roy Rogers	27	27	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.21	7	-19	26	16.3	15.6	0.74	15.6	14.3	1.26
Johnny Taylor	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-17	22	14.0	16.0	-2.00	17.0	14.4	2.55
Ryan Bowen	28	27	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.31	10	-22	32	14.8	16.2	-1.41	17.2	13.7	3.48
Cory Alexander	22	23	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-13	14	15.4	15.9	-0.52	17.4	13.8	3.56
George McCloud	36	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.07	-8	-4	-4	17.4	14.8	2.63	15.7	14.0	1.74
James Posey	47	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.04	-14	2	-16	15.4	16.2	-0.86	13.4	16.0	-2.53
Nick Van Exel	71	73	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.05	-13	1	-14	15.9	15.4	0.52	13.8	17.4	-3.56
Ron Mercer	66	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	0.05	-17	5	-22	15.9	15.6	0.30	13.7	17.2	-3.48
Raef LaFrentz	66	69	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	0.06	-19	7	-26	15.6	16.3	-0.74	14.3	15.6	-1.26
Antonio McDyess	54	57	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	0.25	-26	14	-40	16.7	14.6	2.14	12.8	17.4	-4.59

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	71	67	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.12	19	-7	26	14.7	14.7	0.01	15.2	17.3	-2.08
Arvydas Sabonis	40	39	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.07	13	-1	14	14.0	15.2	-1.14	17.8	14.4	3.42
Scottie Pippen	66	64	0.31	0.19	0.12	-0.01	11	1	10	14.4	15.4	-0.99	16.6	14.1	2.42
Steven Smith	61	59	0.31	0.19	0.11	-0.04	12	0	12	14.7	14.7	0.05	15.0	17.2	-2.21
Damon Stoudamire	64	61	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.19	3	9	-6	14.7	14.7	-0.09	14.6	18.1	-3.44
Greg Anthony	32	32	0.23	0.27	-0.05	-0.04	9	3	6	14.7	14.7	0.09	18.1	14.6	3.44
Rasheed Wallace	32	30	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	5	2	13.5	15.3	-1.78	17.5	15.0	2.55
Bonzi Wells	40	39	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.23	-1	13	-14	14.8	14.6	0.15	17.1	14.9	2.19
Stacey Augmon	25	24	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.13	2	10	-8	15.3	14.5	0.86	13.7	16.5	-2.83
Jermaine O'Neal	43	44	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.33	-10	22	-32	15.7	13.9	1.75	14.2	17.2	-3.00
Antonio Harvey	6	6	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	17	-22	18.5	14.4	4.07	12.3	16.0	-3.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.72,0.81,0.84,0.79,0.85,0.92,0.91,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.94,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.94,0.96,0.95,0.87,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 105, NYK 113	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.67,0.74,0.83,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.84,0.92,0.88,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.94,0.93,0.87,0.81,0.93,0.96,0.98,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%
PHI 97, GSW 119	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.68,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.75,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.78,0.76,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,0.99,1,1,1,1	96.2%
MEM 74, NJN 86	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.69,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.76,0.86,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.98,0.96,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.1%