NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	95		Excitement	8.6 [177]		MVP	Chris Paul (LAC): +19.3%
Los Angeles Clippers	101		Comeback	2.4 [771]		LVP	Josh Howard (MIN): -17.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alexey Shved	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	61%	0.14	4	-0.14	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Love	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.04,0,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	12	47%	0.04	3	-0.06	16	75%	0.01
Greg Stiemsma	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	7	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jose Juan Barea	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	8	38%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Malcolm Lee	-0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.03	-0.09	0.02	7	62%	-0.03	1	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Pekovic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	13	39%	-0.03	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.14	0.00	9	59%	0.03	4	-0.20	4	75%	0.00
Josh Howard	-0.18	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.04	-0.12	0.02	9	39%	-0.11	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19	0.19	0.12	0.10	0.03	13	68%	0.21	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.04
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.04	0.03	7	75%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	50%	-0.12
Blake Griffin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.16,0.11,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.03	0.01	17	53%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Barnes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.05	0.00	9	72%	0.10	1	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	10	42%	-0.00	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Ryan Hollins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.04	0.02	5	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	6	29%	-0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Caron Butler	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	8	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	28.2	15.5	30.2	1.8	39.2	140.6
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +53.1%

MIN -13.0%

MIN -28.7%

LAC +46.1%

MIN -7.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	LAC	NBA	MIN	LAC	NBA
this game	16.1	15.2	15.4	103.3	109.8	104.1
season	15.6	15.6		101.3	109.0
opponent	15.7	14.9		102.8	103.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.8	15.1	17.6	17.2	16.1
LAC	15.2	13.7	16.7	15.5	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dante Cunningham	31	33	0.18	-0.69	0.87	0.04	5	-11	16	16.4	15.9	0.45	14.5	15.6	-1.19
Jose Juan Barea	32	34	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.04	3	-9	12	15.5	16.4	-0.90	14.1	15.9	-1.79
Derrick Williams	24	24	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.02	3	-9	12	16.2	16.0	0.22	13.0	16.0	-2.94
Malcolm Lee	48	52	0.03	-0.53	0.56	-0.09	4	-10	14	15.1	17.2	-2.05	15.6	14.7	0.87
Greg Stiemsma	16	16	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.02	-1	-5	4	15.6	16.2	-0.63	11.6	16.0	-4.42
Josh Howard	47	45	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-4	2	17.9	14.2	3.61	17.0	13.6	3.40
Alexey Shved	70	69	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.23	-11	5	-16	16.0	16.5	-0.54	14.6	17.2	-2.61
Kevin Love	67	66	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.31	-9	3	-12	16.0	16.2	-0.16	15.8	13.6	2.23
Nikola Pekovic	63	62	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.36	-11	5	-16	16.0	16.3	-0.28	16.1	13.4	2.70
Luke Ridnour	62	59	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.36	-11	5	-16	16.0	16.2	-0.22	15.6	14.5	1.19

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Griffin	62	63	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-5	16	15.9	13.7	2.20	15.8	16.6	-0.78
DeAndre Jordan	50	52	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.43	6	0	6	15.8	14.5	1.28	15.8	16.5	-0.69
Chris Paul	68	68	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.34	7	-1	8	16.2	12.4	3.79	16.0	16.4	-0.39
Matt Barnes	48	48	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	1	4	14.7	15.8	-1.11	16.2	15.9	0.34
Chauncey Billups	38	40	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.27	4	2	2	14.9	15.5	-0.59	14.5	17.3	-2.76
Jamal Crawford	51	50	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.05	2	4	-2	15.1	15.3	-0.22	17.0	15.0	2.00
Caron Butler	44	44	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.01	1	5	-4	15.8	14.7	1.11	15.9	16.2	-0.34
Eric Bledsoe	29	27	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	-0.03	1	5	-4	13.9	15.8	-1.93	16.9	15.7	1.19
Ryan Hollins	10	9	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.03	0	6	-6	15.4	15.2	0.20	17.7	15.9	1.75
Ronny Turiaf	29	30	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	-0.05	-2	8	-10	13.1	16.2	-3.04	16.2	16.0	0.12
Lamar Odom	31	29	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.02	-5	11	-16	14.4	15.6	-1.25	16.6	15.8	0.78

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.56,0.64,0.56,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.67,0.64,0.52,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.44,0.4,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.36,0.53,0.47,0.62,0.85,0.68,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, ORL 99	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.35,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.48,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.46,0.62,0.79,0.77,0.96,1	92.2%
DEN 104, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.43,0.47,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.62,0.71,0.78,0.97,1	91.6%
MIL 93, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.57,0.5,0.45,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.6,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.68,0.9,0.84,0.98,1	91.4%