NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	97		Excitement	6.6 [473]		MVP	Marcus Thornton (SAC): +28.3%
Sacramento Kings	113		Comeback	1.9 [278]		LVP	Pau Gasol (LAL): -18.6%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kobe Bryant	0.26	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.22,0.18,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.16	0.06	-0.04	20	72%	0.41	7	-0.16	13	85%	0.04
Jodie Meeks	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.19,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.10	0.10	-0.02	9	75%	0.23	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Metta World Peace	0.04	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.01	10	54%	0.04	1	-0.00	4	75%	0.00
Robert Sacre	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antawn Jamison	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwight Howard	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	4	58%	0.04	2	-0.07	4	75%	0.02
Chris Duhon	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Morris	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	5	75%	0.12	5	-0.17	6	83%	0.01
Jordan Hill	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Pau Gasol	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.11	-0.06	0.02	10	33%	-0.10	3	-0.08	4	25%	-0.04

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Thornton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.16	0.14	0.02	13	77%	0.32	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Aaron Brooks	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.10	0.06	0.02	9	68%	0.14	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	83%	0.13	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.02
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.05	-0.00	12	50%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
James Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	0.00	5	55%	0.07	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Jimmer Fredette	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.03	-0.03	0.02	12	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.01	-0.00	0.04	11	69%	0.11	5	-0.14	4	100%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	0.01	0.02	9	35%	-0.03	3	-0.07	2	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.7	3.4	26.3	15.5	28.4	2.5	39.2	142.0
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +35.7%

LAL -9.5%

SAC +14.6%

SAC +7.4%

SAC +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	SAC	NBA	LAL	SAC	NBA
this game	15.0	15.1	15.4	102.1	117.7	104.1
season	14.9	15.0		106.0	104.7
opponent	15.2	15.3		109.4	105.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.1	14.5	17.2	13.6	15.0
SAC	16.9	13.7	14.8	15.2	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Robert Sacre	2	2	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.06	-2	-14	12	9.5	15.2	-5.66	14.0	15.1	-1.14
Jordan Hill	34	34	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.03	-3	-13	10	15.6	14.7	0.90	14.6	15.4	-0.77
Kobe Bryant	76	78	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.14	1	-17	18	14.6	16.7	-2.12	15.5	13.3	2.19
Antawn Jamison	10	10	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.10	-10	-6	-4	19.4	14.5	4.87	14.1	15.2	-1.13
Chris Duhon	33	31	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.06	-9	-7	-2	15.7	14.7	1.05	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Metta World Peace	71	73	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.17	-3	-13	10	14.8	15.8	-1.06	15.7	13.2	2.55
Darius Morris	64	66	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	0.08	-12	-4	-8	14.3	16.5	-2.14	14.4	16.7	-2.31
Dwight Howard	79	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	-3	-10	15.3	13.9	1.33	15.3	14.3	1.00
Jodie Meeks	31	30	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.03	-15	-1	-14	16.0	14.6	1.42	15.2	15.1	0.12
Pau Gasol	75	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.12	-14	-2	-12	14.7	16.3	-1.66	15.2	14.8	0.39

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	79	78	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.13	13	3	10	15.4	14.0	1.35	15.6	12.4	3.28
Tyreke Evans	58	57	0.41	0.09	0.33	-0.09	17	-1	18	15.3	14.8	0.58	14.9	15.3	-0.46
Charles Hayes	47	46	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.18	7	9	-2	15.2	15.0	0.19	14.2	15.9	-1.68
John Salmons	64	61	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.14	17	-1	18	15.3	14.7	0.59	14.7	15.7	-1.08
Marcus Thornton	59	58	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	2	12	14.3	16.5	-2.19	14.0	16.7	-2.68
Isaiah Thomas	31	31	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.18	0	16	-16	15.4	15.0	0.40	15.9	14.6	1.28
DeMarcus Cousins	43	44	0.15	0.35	-0.20	-0.14	10	6	4	14.8	15.4	-0.54	14.8	15.3	-0.50
Aaron Brooks	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.05	1	15	-14	15.8	14.6	1.20	16.3	14.1	2.24
James Johnson	38	39	0.05	0.45	-0.40	0.17	-4	20	-24	14.9	15.3	-0.41	15.2	14.9	0.28
Thomas Robinson	19	19	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.08	3	13	-10	15.2	15.1	0.05	16.6	14.6	1.99
Jimmer Fredette	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	-0.05	2	14	-12	0.0	15.3	-15.27	0.0	15.2	-15.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.44,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.44,0.5,0.62,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.8,0.77,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.83,0.85,0.79,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.85,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, TOR 113	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.73,0.7,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.75,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.85,0.87,0.98,0.97,1,1,1	94.3%
SAS 89, LAL 101	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.41,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.76,0.83,0.71,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.9,0.89,0.88,0.87,0.88,0.93,0.95,0.98,1,1,1	93.8%
IND 98, DET 104	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.46,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.75,0.7,0.73,0.7,0.76,0.84,0.83,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.96,0.99,1	93.3%