NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Hornets	107		Excitement	9.4 [94]		MVP	Paul George (IND): +82.5%
Indiana Pacers	115		Comeback	9.0 [242]		LVP	Roy Hibbert (IND): -16.2%

New Orleans Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Anderson	0.17	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.14	0.03	0.01	11	77%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Al-Farouq Aminu	0.15	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.03	0.12	-0.01	9	67%	0.22	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Roger Mason Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	3	86%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Lance Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	1	83%	0.03	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Jason Smith	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.00	21	41%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Brian Roberts	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miller	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greivis Vasquez	-0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	15	47%	0.03	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Austin Rivers	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	9	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	-0.10	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,-0.02,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.1	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	17	41%	0.04	2	-0.14	17	88%	0.08

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul George	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.29,0.43,0.62,0.62,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.83	0.83	0.34	0.50	0.01	21	82%	0.83	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Lance Stephenson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	9	67%	0.11	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.09,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.07	-0.05	0.00	12	57%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Gerald Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyler Hansbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	0.03	5	55%	-0.01	0	0.00	10	90%	0.01
D.J. Augustin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
David West	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1	-0.10	-0.03	-0.09	-0.02	16	50%	-0.05	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.05	-0.00	7	20%	-0.08	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.06	-0.11	-0.01	12	33%	-0.16	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	26.3	2.4	29.5	16.5	23.5	2.6	33.1	0.7	22.2	156.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	2.0	17.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +26.7%

NOH -21.5%

IND +38.0%

IND +12.0%

NOH -5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOH	IND	NBA	NOH	IND	NBA
this game	16.4	16.6	15.4	110.3	119.8	104.1
season	16.3	16.1		103.9	102.4
opponent	15.5	15.6		99.0	108.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
NOH	14.6	16.6	16.1	19.4	15.5	16.4
IND	16.7	14.7	17.4	20.6	11.8	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Smith	45	45	0.29	-0.79	1.08	0.14	5	-13	18	17.0	15.9	1.03	17.0	16.2	0.76
Brian Roberts	26	22	0.28	-0.78	1.06	0.14	5	-13	18	15.4	16.8	-1.39	19.8	15.6	4.24
Lance Thomas	13	12	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.01	0	-8	8	12.2	17.1	-4.91	14.6	16.8	-2.25
Darius Miller	14	12	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.01	-3	-5	2	15.2	16.6	-1.39	16.7	16.5	0.23
Austin Rivers	58	59	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.03	-7	-1	-6	16.5	16.3	0.24	16.4	16.8	-0.33
Roger Mason Jr.	34	33	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.26	-3	-5	2	16.8	16.2	0.56	16.5	16.6	-0.10
Ryan Anderson	75	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.28	-4	-4	0	16.7	15.3	1.46	16.9	15.3	1.60
Al-Farouq Aminu	83	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.26	-5	-3	-2	16.6	15.2	1.39	16.5	16.7	-0.23
Greivis Vasquez	76	78	-0.75	0.25	-1.01	-0.43	-11	3	-14	16.5	16.0	0.51	15.8	20.0	-4.24
Robin Lopez	61	61	-0.88	0.38	-1.25	-0.38	-17	9	-26	16.5	16.2	0.24	16.2	17.2	-0.97

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lance Stephenson	68	68	0.92	-0.42	1.34	0.45	16	-8	24	16.0	18.0	-1.99	16.6	15.8	0.82
David West	77	78	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.44	16	-8	24	15.7	19.8	-4.10	16.4	16.4	0.04
Paul George	60	61	0.70	-0.20	0.90	0.47	8	0	8	16.5	16.6	-0.05	17.0	15.4	1.61
Roy Hibbert	65	65	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.46	4	4	0	16.5	16.6	-0.14	17.0	15.2	1.86
George Hill	68	68	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.40	3	5	-2	16.3	17.1	-0.73	16.2	16.8	-0.51
D.J. Augustin	33	34	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.23	5	3	2	17.0	16.3	0.64	16.6	16.3	0.33
Gerald Green	32	34	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	-0.22	2	6	-4	16.5	16.6	-0.08	15.6	16.9	-1.30
Ian Mahinmi	18	21	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.05	-5	13	-18	19.6	15.8	3.76	15.1	16.8	-1.67
Tyler Hansbrough	32	30	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.31	1	7	-6	16.9	16.4	0.48	16.0	16.6	-0.63
Sam Young	27	26	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	-0.08	-10	18	-28	18.1	15.9	2.22	15.6	16.7	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.58,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.34,0.33,0.52,0.54,0.48,0.29,0.24,0.23,0.13,0.2,0.17,0.11,0.36,0.45,0.95,0.46,0.86,0.99,0.96,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 108, IND 117	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.43,0.45,0.57,0.55,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.53,0.43,0.28,0.31,0.2,0.34,0.45,0.45,0.78,0.91,0.54,0.62,0.88,0.99,1,1	88.4%
MIN 94, DAL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.2,0.27,0.17,0.08,0.27,0.25,0.37,0.33,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.72,0.95,1,1	88.3%
NJN 107, LAC 120	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.4,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.52,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.55,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.38,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.36,0.53,0.28,0.19,0.21,0.33,0.85,0.54,0.69,0.89,0.99,0.99,1	88.1%