NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Clippers	92		Excitement	7.3 [359]		MVP	Matt Bonner (SAS): +17.5%
San Antonio Spurs	87		Comeback	2.6 [237]		LVP	Gary Neal (SAS): -20.3%

Los Angeles Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Barnes	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.02	8	70%	0.12	3	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Ronny Turiaf	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	2	100%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	16	58%	0.14	3	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	0.01	8	59%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Eric Bledsoe	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Willie Green	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Hollins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caron Butler	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Crawford	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	14	37%	-0.03	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	-0.00	18	40%	-0.04	3	-0.09	4	0%	-0.12

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Bonner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.00	6	83%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.11	0	0.00	5	100%	0.03
Tony Parker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	0.00	11	50%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Manu Ginobili	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	11	47%	0.05	3	-0.08	10	80%	0.01
DeJuan Blair	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.02	11	27%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Boris Diaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	-0.01	16	48%	-0.05	2	-0.05	10	80%	0.01
Gary Neal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.2	-0.20	-0.08	-0.13	-0.01	11	30%	-0.16	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	1.8	32.3	14.7	30.8	2.4	35.3	142.5
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +48.7%

SAS -22.3%

LAC +27.6%

SAS -4.6%

LAC +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	SAS	NBA	LAC	SAS	NBA
this game	15.5	14.8	15.4	96.8	91.6	104.1
season	15.6	15.2		109.0	106.4
opponent	15.1	15.7		99.5	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.2	11.9	17.7	19.6	15.5
SAS	12.5	15.8	16.6	14.7	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Barnes	69	70	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.19	19	-14	33	14.7	17.7	-2.97	15.2	13.7	1.49
Jamal Crawford	56	58	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.21	13	-8	21	14.5	17.0	-2.53	15.6	13.6	1.98
Chris Paul	68	68	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.39	-4	9	-13	17.0	11.7	5.30	14.5	15.6	-1.08
Blake Griffin	66	67	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	8	-11	16.4	13.7	2.71	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Eric Bledsoe	46	45	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.20	2	3	-1	15.3	15.8	-0.54	14.7	14.9	-0.17
Lamar Odom	29	28	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.00	8	-3	11	13.7	16.4	-2.71	15.7	14.4	1.28
Ryan Hollins	32	33	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.00	8	-3	11	11.1	17.8	-6.65	15.4	14.5	0.94
DeAndre Jordan	48	47	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	6	-7	16.3	14.8	1.48	14.1	15.5	-1.37
Ronny Turiaf	9	8	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.06	-2	7	-9	21.0	15.0	6.03	16.5	14.6	1.88
Willie Green	33	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.15	-7	12	-19	17.6	14.5	3.12	14.4	15.0	-0.51
Caron Butler	19	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.08	-8	13	-21	16.3	15.4	0.91	12.8	15.3	-2.49

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stephen Jackson	23	24	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.08	8	-13	21	12.9	15.4	-2.46	15.0	15.7	-0.66
DeJuan Blair	37	37	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.12	6	-11	17	13.8	15.4	-1.67	15.6	15.5	0.18
Tiago Splitter	34	35	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.08	-1	-4	3	15.3	14.5	0.80	14.2	16.3	-2.07
Tony Parker	62	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.30	5	-10	15	14.3	15.7	-1.41	17.0	12.7	4.30
Matt Bonner	20	19	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.28	3	-8	11	14.0	15.0	-0.99	20.1	14.4	5.64
Danny Green	71	71	-0.21	-0.28	0.07	-0.13	-3	-2	-1	14.7	15.0	-0.30	14.7	17.9	-3.13
Gary Neal	41	43	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.27	1	-6	7	16.0	13.8	2.19	16.9	14.4	2.50
Tim Duncan	66	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.33	1	-6	7	14.5	15.3	-0.76	16.5	13.4	3.07
Nando De Colo	11	11	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	7	-19	16.4	14.6	1.79	10.7	16.2	-5.44
Patty Mills	20	19	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.11	-7	2	-9	15.2	14.7	0.53	14.8	15.7	-0.93
Manu Ginobili	57	54	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.22	-7	2	-9	14.8	14.7	0.07	15.3	15.9	-0.64
Boris Diaw	33	34	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.10	-19	14	-33	16.3	14.0	2.38	12.4	17.3	-4.91

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.72,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.29,0.22,0.23,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 99, LAC 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.56,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.36,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.03,0.15,0	92.7%
SAS 98, UTA 92	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.17,0	92.2%
HOU 89, MIN 83	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.02,0	91.7%