inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
San Antonio Spurs 98 Excitement5.9 [633] MVPSteven Smith (SAS): +19.6%
Utah Jazz 92 Comeback2.1 [429] LVPJohn Stockton (UTA): -18.1%


San Antonio Spurs
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Steven Smith0.200,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.20.170.02-0.001091%0.252-0.0612100%0.09
Terry Porter0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.120.040.08-0.00671%0.141-0.022100%0.00
Malik Rose0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.03-0.000.00375%0.0300.002100%0.01
Amal McCaskill0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Charles Smith-0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.01-0.01-0.00554%-0.0000.00367%-0.00
David Robinson-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,00.02-0.010.01483%0.072-0.074100%0.03
Tim Duncan-0.020,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.07,-0.02,-0.020.04-0.060.001865%0.174-0.184100%0.04
Antonio Daniels-0.040,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.060.01-0.01944%0.033-0.0700%0.00
Stephen Jackson-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.000.00233%-0.021-0.022100%0.01
Jason Hart-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.06-0.020.0000%0.003-0.0800%0.00

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
John Amaechi0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.090.090.11-0.010.011275%0.131-0.0500%0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.02-0.01467%0.0500.004100%0.03
John Crotty0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.05-0.000.00675%0.061-0.0200%0.00
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.09-0.040.021073%0.081-0.052100%0.01
DeShawn Stevenson0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.03-0.000.01560%0.0200.0000%0.00
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
John Starks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Scott Padgett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.06-0.00-0.0240%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Karl Malone0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08-0.08-0.00-0.070.011655%-0.021-0.061090%0.03
Bryon Russell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.15-0.16-0.03-0.04811%-0.102-0.0520%-0.04
John Stockton0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.06-0.001337%-0.094-0.091100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.81.528.415.424.51.833.0128.4
league avg46.42.228.514.624.52.330.0149.9
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
SAS +48.0%
SAS +18.7%
UTA -0.5%
UTA -19.4%
SAS +3.1%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSASUTANBASASUTANBA
this game15.616.215.6107.7102.2102.3
season15.816.1104.3102.9
opponent15.115.7101.998.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAS16.513.216.116.715.6
UTA16.216.818.113.916.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Steven Smith67660.66-0.160.810.2215-92415.815.10.6716.515.41.14
David Robinson68660.54-0.040.570.1912-61816.313.72.5716.415.80.57
Tim Duncan84830.480.020.460.3351415.715.00.6716.413.62.86
Terry Porter47450.470.030.440.3542215.415.8-0.4415.616.8-1.18
Antonio Daniels76750.250.25-0.010.31-28-1016.411.84.5715.420.4-5.03
Malik Rose42430.180.32-0.150.1224-213.817.1-3.3116.615.80.80
Jason Hart21200.060.44-0.380.0315-414.116.1-1.9818.315.62.69
Amal McCaskill12-0.020.52-0.530.01-17-813.015.6-2.6411.016.3-5.33
Charles Smith3433-0.030.53-0.570.08-410-1416.415.11.3215.916.4-0.52
Stephen Jackson1517-0.070.57-0.64-0.01-28-1013.916.0-2.0916.416.20.17

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jarron Collins39390.08-0.580.66-0.075-111616.516.00.5315.515.7-0.13
John Starks33-0.05-0.450.390.00-2-429.316.4-7.1111.715.7-4.08
DeShawn Stevenson2727-0.07-0.430.36-0.04-1-5416.016.3-0.3517.414.82.60
Greg Ostertag99-0.10-0.400.290.04-5-1-420.315.84.5814.315.8-1.42
Scott Padgett3637-0.19-0.310.11-0.13-2-4217.315.51.8215.116.0-0.85
Andrei Kirilenko5960-0.20-0.300.11-0.08-4-2-215.916.8-0.8615.216.4-1.12
John Crotty5050-0.20-0.300.11-0.293-91215.517.1-1.6015.016.3-1.32
John Stockton6365-0.35-0.15-0.20-0.32-1-5415.916.9-0.9716.513.53.02
Karl Malone7880-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.37-2-4216.017.3-1.2916.112.04.11
John Amaechi4142-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.30-60-615.317.0-1.6916.315.01.24
Bryon Russell4342-0.49-0.01-0.47-0.11-137-2017.515.02.4913.717.2-3.53


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.36,0.46,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.16,0.13,0.05,0.06,0.12,0.2,0.12,0.11,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.28,0.22,0.17,0
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 92, BOS 850.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.29,0.13,0.1,092.7%
PHI 100, DEN 940.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.16,092.7%
GSW 92, IND 900.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.37,0.23,0.22,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.09,0.21,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.22,0.16,092.5%