NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	100		Excitement	6.1 [565]		MVP	Aaron McKie (PHI): +8.5%
Denver Nuggets	94		Comeback	2.4 [772]		LVP	Allen Iverson (PHI): -22.5%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Aaron McKie	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.01	0.02	-0.05	12	52%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Eric Snow	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.02	10	64%	0.08	0	0.00	19	89%	0.07
Efthimios Rentzias	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Buckner	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	10	57%	0.05	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Brian Skinner	0.01	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	3	87%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Kenny Satterfield	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Salmons	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Coleman	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	12	47%	-0.03	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.04
Kenny Thomas	-0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	7	39%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Allen Iverson	-0.23	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.2,-0.21,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.20	-0.05	-0.02	16	41%	-0.06	6	-0.16	9	78%	-0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Marcus Camby	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Vincent Yarbrough	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	70%	0.05	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Junior Harrington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	8	59%	0.01	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04
Nene	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	4	67%	-0.00	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.01
Donnell Harvey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	10	40%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rodney White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Predrag Savovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	5	36%	-0.05	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.01	10	41%	-0.01	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.02
Juwan Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.02	-0.16	0.01	21	53%	-0.03	3	-0.15	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.4	31.5	16.4	29.4	2.7	38.0	150.5
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +17.5%

PHI +10.9%

DEN -2.8%

PHI +22.6%

PHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	DEN	NBA	PHI	DEN	NBA
this game	15.6	14.9	15.5	107.5	97.9	101.6
season	15.3	15.7		102.1	90.4
opponent	15.3	15.5		99.4	99.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	17.1	13.9	15.2	16.5	15.6
DEN	15.0	14.9	15.5	14.2	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Buckner	46	47	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.13	14	-8	22	14.8	16.4	-1.69	13.3	16.3	-3.01
Eric Snow	76	77	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.24	8	-2	10	15.0	18.5	-3.50	15.3	13.1	2.27
Aaron McKie	62	64	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.20	8	-2	10	15.4	16.0	-0.58	14.1	16.4	-2.25
Kenny Thomas	77	79	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.34	2	4	-2	15.3	17.2	-1.98	14.9	14.9	-0.01
Derrick Coleman	72	73	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.28	-1	7	-8	16.2	13.4	2.82	15.1	14.3	0.81
Brian Skinner	42	47	0.21	0.29	-0.09	0.24	-1	7	-8	14.8	16.3	-1.42	16.1	13.7	2.45
Efthimios Rentzias	15	14	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.08	7	-1	8	17.5	15.2	2.29	14.1	15.0	-0.86
Kenny Satterfield	8	10	0.09	0.41	-0.31	0.03	2	4	-2	16.7	15.5	1.24	9.2	15.5	-6.33
Allen Iverson	53	55	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.16	-5	11	-16	16.4	14.6	1.78	16.4	12.9	3.49
John Salmons	14	14	-0.03	0.53	-0.57	0.08	-4	10	-14	18.1	15.2	2.89	14.7	14.9	-0.19

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Junior Harrington	58	57	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.20	5	-11	16	15.8	13.5	2.28	16.2	14.7	1.54
Chris Andersen	32	31	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-7	8	14.9	14.8	0.09	16.5	15.2	1.35
Nene	45	44	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-12	18	15.6	14.3	1.28	15.8	15.4	0.35
Donnell Harvey	38	37	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.03	-3	-3	0	15.4	14.5	0.86	16.3	15.2	1.14
Rodney White	11	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.07	-7	1	-8	14.9	14.9	0.04	15.8	15.6	0.25
Predrag Savovic	15	14	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	1	-8	14.0	15.0	-1.04	11.7	16.3	-4.59
Vincent Yarbrough	54	51	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-8	10	14.6	15.2	-0.56	15.6	15.6	-0.05
Nikoloz Tskitishvili	42	41	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	1	-8	15.1	14.7	0.43	15.1	16.0	-0.97
Marcus Camby	52	51	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.21	-6	0	-6	13.8	16.1	-2.29	15.9	15.3	0.60
Shammond Williams	55	52	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.25	-5	-1	-4	14.2	15.8	-1.54	16.0	15.1	0.83
Juwan Howard	78	75	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.27	-9	3	-12	14.9	14.8	0.12	14.9	18.6	-3.65

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 105, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.9%
HOU 97, DEN 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.01,0	94.4%
MIA 111, NYK 98	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.33,0.27,0.29,0.34,0.31,0.35,0.36,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0	94.1%