NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	97		Excitement	5.9 [656]		MVP	Shane Battier (HOU): +5.6%
Denver Nuggets	95		Comeback	2.6 [228]		LVP	Luis Scola (HOU): -12.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shane Battier	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06	0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	67%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Brooks	0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	13	61%	0.08	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.04
Yao Ming	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	11	54%	0.13	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Carl Landry	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	9	52%	0.05	1	-0.02	5	40%	-0.02
Metta World Peace	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.02	0.03	20	48%	0.02	0	0.00	6	33%	-0.06
Brent Barry	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Von Wafer	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	7	39%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.05
Charles Hayes	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	41%	0.02	2	-0.04	7	71%	-0.00
Luis Scola	-0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.14	0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	5	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jason Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dahntay Jones	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.07	-0.04	0.07	21	57%	0.02	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.04
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.06	0.05	-0.03	0.07	10	58%	-0.04	1	-0.02	6	100%	0.02
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	21	47%	-0.01	4	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11	-0.11	-0.12	-0.01	-0.01	15	29%	-0.09	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.7	2.5	29.6	16.3	25.5	2.4	41.4	141.3
league avg	26.4	2.4	30.1	16.5	27.1	2.4	33.3	140.8

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +49.2%

DEN -7.5%

HOU +9.1%

DEN -2.3%

HOU +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DEN	NBA	HOU	DEN	NBA
this game	15.8	14.1	15.5	100.0	99.0	106.4
season	16.3	14.4		105.9	109.5
opponent	15.7	15.2		105.2	102.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.9	14.2	15.0	18.0	15.8
DEN	12.9	15.8	15.7	12.0	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shane Battier	74	75	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.36	5	-3	8	15.3	17.3	-2.02	14.1	13.8	0.34
Metta World Peace	76	75	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.45	0	2	-2	16.0	14.9	1.10	13.3	16.9	-3.62
Yao Ming	51	53	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	-5	12	15.3	16.3	-1.07	15.8	11.9	3.88
Aaron Brooks	47	49	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.24	3	-1	4	16.1	15.5	0.63	14.8	13.3	1.48
Carl Landry	60	58	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.37	-2	4	-6	16.1	15.2	0.97	13.4	15.1	-1.71
Kyle Lowry	52	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.26	-2	4	-6	14.9	16.8	-1.93	13.0	15.2	-2.27
Charles Hayes	17	15	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.00	6	-4	10	14.7	16.0	-1.28	13.7	14.1	-0.40
Luis Scola	64	64	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	8	-14	16.6	14.2	2.44	13.6	15.0	-1.34
Brent Barry	17	16	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.00	4	-2	6	14.1	16.1	-1.99	15.5	13.8	1.71
Von Wafer	27	26	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.07	-5	7	-12	17.4	15.1	2.33	15.3	13.6	1.64

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dahntay Jones	28	28	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-4	6	14.1	14.1	0.05	15.1	16.0	-0.87
Chris Andersen	44	43	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-5	8	14.3	13.8	0.49	16.1	15.5	0.59
Jason Hart	8	7	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	6	-14	17.4	13.8	3.60	14.7	15.8	-1.13
Linas Kleiza	44	46	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.43	8	-10	18	12.1	15.7	-3.62	16.7	14.9	1.86
Kenyon Martin	48	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.03	-7	5	-12	14.9	13.3	1.56	14.9	16.6	-1.67
Chauncey Billups	88	90	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.48	4	-6	10	13.8	17.4	-3.60	15.8	14.7	1.13
J.R. Smith	65	67	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.40	0	-2	2	14.1	14.0	0.06	15.8	15.6	0.24
Carmelo Anthony	79	79	-0.50	-0.00	-0.50	-0.47	-1	-1	0	13.8	15.5	-1.77	15.9	15.1	0.87
Nene	76	76	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.24	-11	9	-20	14.9	11.1	3.76	15.5	16.7	-1.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.46,0.54,0.39,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.36,0.26,0.15,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.14,0.15,0.11,0.07,0.22,0.14,0.07,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 100, DEN 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.39,0.33,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.09,0.16,0	94.4%
IND 102, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.52,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.33,0.23,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	94.2%
UTA 105, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0	94.1%