NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	92		Excitement	6.5 [498]		MVP	Shareef Abdur-Rahim (ATL): +18.2%
Boston Celtics	85		Comeback	2.0 [167]		LVP	Paul Pierce (BOS): -18.0%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	0.18	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.12	-0.01	16	67%	0.25	3	-0.07	10	70%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0.16	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.13	0.04	0.01	12	76%	0.18	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Toni Kukoc	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	13	55%	0.04	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Dion Glover	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.00
Emanual Davis	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.12	0.06	-0.03	13	31%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jacque Vaughn	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Hanno Mottola	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Cal Bowdler	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nazr Mohammed	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.02	0.01	5	20%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Battie	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	57%	0.05	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Mark Blount	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vitaly Potapenko	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Milt Palacio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joseph Forte	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Antoine Walker	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.12,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	26	47%	0.01	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	5	20%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kenny Anderson	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.06	0.00	16	47%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	0.00	9	30%	-0.08	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.18	-0.18	-0.13	-0.07	-0.02	18	41%	-0.04	4	-0.14	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	29.3	16.4	24.7	2.5	29.5	128.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +60.7%

BOS -0.9%

BOS -20.3%

ATL +6.2%

ATL +4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	BOS	NBA	ATL	BOS	NBA
this game	16.9	15.1	15.6	102.2	94.4	102.3
season	15.5	15.0		99.7	100.9
opponent	15.7	15.2		98.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	15.4	16.3	20.4	16.9
BOS	14.1	15.9	15.7	14.6	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shareef Abdur-Rahim	83	83	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-6	19	17.0	15.7	1.31	15.0	15.6	-0.54
Cal Bowdler	33	32	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.09	16	-9	25	17.2	16.8	0.41	16.2	14.4	1.82
Jason Terry	79	79	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.28	9	-2	11	17.7	11.3	6.44	15.1	15.0	0.09
Toni Kukoc	57	56	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.31	6	1	5	17.4	16.2	1.22	15.0	15.2	-0.16
Emanual Davis	66	67	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.21	4	3	1	16.9	16.9	0.06	14.1	17.8	-3.63
Jacque Vaughn	27	25	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	3	1	15.0	17.7	-2.69	16.7	14.5	2.22
Dion Glover	41	43	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.01	-2	9	-11	16.0	17.7	-1.69	15.7	14.6	1.10
Hanno Mottola	27	27	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.18	-8	15	-23	16.9	17.0	-0.10	13.3	15.8	-2.54
Nazr Mohammed	37	38	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.09	-7	14	-21	16.5	17.2	-0.69	15.4	14.8	0.64

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tony Battie	51	51	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.28	9	-16	25	14.5	15.8	-1.31	16.8	17.1	-0.36
Vitaly Potapenko	3	3	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-5	3	26.3	14.7	11.64	19.3	16.8	2.49
Erick Strickland	37	36	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	-0.09	2	-9	11	15.0	15.2	-0.18	17.1	16.8	0.31
Walter McCarty	8	6	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.11	-7	0	-7	11.9	15.4	-3.52	8.8	17.5	-8.67
Milt Palacio	13	13	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	0.02	-5	-2	-3	16.2	14.9	1.26	13.8	17.4	-3.60
Joseph Forte	9	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.04	-7	0	-7	14.4	15.1	-0.70	14.9	17.1	-2.25
Joe Johnson	74	77	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.22	-4	-3	-1	14.6	17.5	-2.95	16.3	20.8	-4.59
Paul Pierce	59	60	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.36	0	-7	7	15.2	14.9	0.27	18.2	14.3	3.93
Kenny Anderson	74	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	-2	-3	15.4	13.7	1.69	17.0	16.6	0.36
Antoine Walker	87	87	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.33	-5	-2	-3	14.7	26.3	-11.64	16.8	19.3	-2.49
Mark Blount	37	37	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.10	-13	6	-19	16.3	14.2	2.07	18.0	16.2	1.88

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.29,0.13,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 108, TOR 105	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.22,0.11,0.08,0	93.5%
UTA 97, GSW 90	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.52,0.41,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.35,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.12,0.15,0.05,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.13,0	93.2%
UTA 105, LAC 92	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.54,0.57,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.2,0.33,0.29,0.21,0.17,0.19,0.17,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.02,0,0	93.0%