NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	108		Excitement	6.9 [420]		MVP	Todd Day (MIN): +19.7%
Toronto Raptors	105		Comeback	1.6 [637]		LVP	Morris Peterson (TOR): -14.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Todd Day	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.08	0.12	0.00	5	83%	0.20	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Garnett	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	0.00	22	62%	0.26	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
LaPhonso Ellis	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	10	82%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Terrell Brandon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	17	49%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Dean Garrett	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
William Avery	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Slater	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wally Szczerbiak	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,-0.08	-0.00	-0.08	0.00	15	58%	0.07	3	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Chauncey Billups	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	6	29%	-0.06	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tracy Murray	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.09	0.10	0.00	9	70%	0.19	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Keon Clark	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	5	62%	0.05	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.01
Antonio Davis	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.01	0.05	-0.04	0.01	16	60%	0.01	0	0.00	10	70%	-0.01
Alvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	8	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vince Carter	0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	15	54%	0.02	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.02
Mark Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	2	75%	0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Dell Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.1,0.1,0,-0.07	-0.07	0.01	-0.09	0.00	6	72%	0.06	2	-0.13	6	83%	0.02
Charles Oakley	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.08,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	9	41%	-0.04	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Morris Peterson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.11	-0.04	-0.01	11	25%	-0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.4	26.6	16.3	25.5	2.5	30.4	124.9
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +48.2%

TOR -2.3%

MIN +7.4%

TOR -7.7%

MIN +4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	TOR	NBA	MIN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.9	16.3	15.5	121.3	116.7	100.9
season	15.0	15.8		102.9	103.7
opponent	15.4	15.9		101.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	16.2	15.0	14.8	17.5	15.9
TOR	16.5	15.6	18.0	15.2	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaPhonso Ellis	58	59	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.39	9	-6	15	15.5	16.5	-0.98	15.5	17.9	-2.40
Kevin Garnett	84	84	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.37	8	-5	13	15.5	22.2	-6.70	16.5	13.8	2.64
Todd Day	31	33	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.26	9	-6	15	15.8	15.9	-0.11	14.4	17.4	-3.01
Wally Szczerbiak	71	72	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.35	5	-2	7	15.1	18.9	-3.85	16.9	13.8	3.08
Terrell Brandon	80	81	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.46	-4	7	-11	16.2	13.3	2.83	16.4	15.6	0.83
Chauncey Billups	65	63	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.08	2	1	1	16.0	15.5	0.46	17.5	13.5	3.97
Sam Mitchell	18	18	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.07	-2	5	-7	18.9	15.1	3.85	13.8	16.9	-3.08
William Avery	2	3	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.03	-1	4	-5	1.5	16.2	-14.71	10.0	16.5	-6.52
Rasho Nesterovic	11	11	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	6	-9	16.8	15.7	1.07	17.1	16.2	0.90
Dean Garrett	19	21	-0.09	0.59	-0.68	0.03	-4	7	-11	17.4	15.5	1.90	16.6	16.2	0.42
Reggie Slater	6	5	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.01	-4	7	-11	18.0	15.7	2.28	20.0	16.1	3.92

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Morris Peterson	38	38	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-1	-1	18.0	15.1	2.90	15.4	16.2	-0.79
Tracy Murray	44	43	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.29	4	-7	11	15.5	17.1	-1.57	16.9	15.0	1.90
Mark Jackson	51	51	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	2	-7	17.1	15.3	1.80	14.6	17.6	-2.93
Keon Clark	51	49	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.33	2	-5	7	15.5	17.4	-1.87	16.9	14.6	2.23
Dell Curry	30	29	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.28	0	-3	3	15.5	16.7	-1.15	16.7	15.5	1.21
Vince Carter	58	57	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.14	-5	2	-7	16.4	16.0	0.42	15.8	16.0	-0.19
Charles Oakley	46	46	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.02	-10	7	-17	17.2	15.4	1.74	14.7	17.2	-2.53
Alvin Williams	49	49	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.33	-1	-2	1	15.2	17.6	-2.41	16.3	15.4	0.87
Antonio Davis	83	83	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.47	2	-5	7	16.3	16.0	0.33	16.0	14.7	1.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.47,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.19,0.16,0.22,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.17,0.1,0.22,0.11,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, GSW 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.07,0.03,0.01,0	93.6%
ATL 92, BOS 85	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.56,0.49,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.09,0.07,0.29,0.13,0.1,0	93.5%
OKC 111, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.6,0.59,0.58,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.53,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.25,0.21,0.13,0.12,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.05,0	93.4%