NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	89		Excitement	7.1 [384]		MVP	Walt Williams (HOU): +13.9%
Minnesota Timberwolves	83		Comeback	2.0 [287]		LVP	Steve Francis (HOU): -25.2%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Walt Williams	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.05	-0.02	8	75%	0.14	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Taylor	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.06	0.01	13	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	7	71%	-0.03
Kelvin Cato	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	-0.00	10	59%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Moochie Norris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.04	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	5	54%	-0.00	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.03
Kenny Thomas	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	5	27%	-0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Cuttino Mobley	-0.19	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19	-0.18	-0.04	-0.03	13	30%	-0.13	3	-0.06	7	71%	-0.01
Steve Francis	-0.25	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.17	-0.08	0.01	17	32%	-0.15	3	-0.11	4	75%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
William Avery	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	20	49%	0.06	1	-0.05	7	71%	-0.00
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrell Brandon	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	0.02	16	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	12	42%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasho Nesterovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	3	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaPhonso Ellis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.12	-0.03	-0.00	4	10%	-0.10	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.03
Wally Szczerbiak	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.06	-0.14	0.01	18	47%	-0.12	2	-0.09	7	86%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.5	28.4	15.4	27.3	1.8	30.2	128.1
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.1%

HOU +4.3%

HOU +14.8%

MIN -13.2%

HOU +2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	16.5	14.4	15.5	94.7	90.2	100.9
season	16.3	15.0		104.6	102.9
opponent	15.9	14.9		101.7	102.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.2	17.0	15.2	18.8	16.5
MIN	14.1	15.7	14.2	13.7	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walt Williams	45	43	0.68	-0.18	0.87	0.22	16	-10	26	17.9	15.2	2.73	14.7	14.2	0.54
Kenny Thomas	44	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.11	12	-6	18	17.7	15.4	2.33	15.7	13.4	2.27
Steve Francis	82	80	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.31	4	2	2	16.5	16.7	-0.18	14.3	15.2	-0.84
Hakeem Olajuwon	70	67	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	2	2	16.0	18.0	-1.94	14.3	14.9	-0.67
Moochie Norris	25	25	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.03	12	-6	18	16.5	16.5	0.01	15.1	14.2	0.94
Cuttino Mobley	83	81	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.37	-6	12	-18	16.6	16.2	0.37	14.2	16.5	-2.29
Kelvin Cato	14	15	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.05	8	-2	10	16.9	16.4	0.49	16.9	14.0	2.91
Maurice Taylor	58	58	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.23	-10	16	-26	16.0	17.3	-1.24	13.4	16.3	-2.90
Shandon Anderson	49	49	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.11	-10	16	-26	15.2	17.9	-2.73	14.2	14.7	-0.54

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Garrett	7	6	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.00	-1	-5	4	15.6	14.3	1.23	17.5	16.4	1.06
Rasho Nesterovic	51	53	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-6	6	14.9	13.9	0.96	15.6	17.7	-2.08
William Avery	8	8	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.05	-7	1	-8	18.0	14.1	3.90	16.5	16.5	-0.01
Anthony Peeler	75	77	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-9	12	13.7	17.8	-4.08	15.9	19.4	-3.47
Wally Szczerbiak	79	80	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.34	4	-10	14	13.8	18.5	-4.78	15.9	20.0	-4.10
Terrell Brandon	55	57	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-6	6	14.6	14.2	0.32	17.1	15.6	1.47
Sam Mitchell	13	14	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	0.01	-10	4	-14	18.5	13.8	4.78	20.0	15.9	4.10
Chauncey Billups	48	48	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.19	-6	0	-6	14.6	14.3	0.31	16.9	16.1	0.74
LaPhonso Ellis	43	43	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.20	-7	1	-8	14.6	14.3	0.23	16.7	16.4	0.26
Kevin Garnett	81	84	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.33	-6	0	-6	14.2	16.4	-2.19	16.9	13.1	3.82

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.29,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.18,0.28,0.32,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 105, BOS 91	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.56,0.62,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.39,0.33,0.36,0.29,0.32,0.28,0.3,0.37,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.16,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.6%
SEA 106, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.2,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0	92.4%
PHI 94, CLE 91	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.56,0.57,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.08,0	92.4%