NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	106		Excitement	6.7 [428]		MVP	Detlef Schrempf (SEA): +23.3%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	2.5 [448]		LVP	Antonio McDyess (PHX): -27.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Detlef Schrempf	0.23	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.13	0.13	0.03	14	78%	0.28	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.00
Dale Ellis	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.12	0.07	0.00	7	106%	0.27	3	-0.09	4	75%	-0.00
Vin Baker	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	-0.02	0.06	-0.02	16	50%	0.08	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.03
Gary Payton	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.01	0.02	14	69%	0.13	3	-0.10	7	57%	-0.01
Hersey Hawkins	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	11	52%	0.02	0	0.00	7	100%	0.05
David Wingate	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Greg Anthony	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jim McIlvaine	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Sam Perkins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	4	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.18,0.17	0.17	0.02	0.12	-0.03	10	64%	0.20	2	-0.03	5	100%	0.04
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.05	0.00	17	58%	0.11	1	-0.02	11	82%	0.07
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	9	58%	0.05	3	-0.08	1	100%	0.01
Hot Rod Williams	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.04	0.01	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Ceballos	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.01	16	42%	-0.10	1	-0.03	11	73%	0.01
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.24,-0.24,-0.24	-0.24	-0.18	-0.09	-0.02	8	20%	-0.17	3	-0.07	4	50%	-0.04
Antonio McDyess	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.27,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28,-0.28	-0.28	-0.16	-0.10	0.01	12	36%	-0.15	3	-0.12	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	29.1	15.7	31.0	1.8	31.2	138.0
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +83.5%

PHX -14.4%

PHX -19.3%

SEA +3.2%

PHX -3.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	15.3	16.3	15.6	116.5	106.6	102.5
season	15.3	15.0		109.3	105.3
opponent	15.9	16.2		100.0	102.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.2	14.9	15.5	16.9	15.3
PHX	13.5	20.1	15.8	16.6	16.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Detlef Schrempf	77	79	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.12	17	-8	25	14.4	20.5	-6.11	16.6	14.3	2.29
Vin Baker	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.26	8	1	7	15.5	14.4	1.13	16.8	14.6	2.20
Greg Anthony	14	14	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-4	17	11.7	16.0	-4.27	17.9	16.0	1.82
Hersey Hawkins	72	72	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.33	0	9	-9	15.6	14.4	1.15	16.4	16.1	0.34
Gary Payton	79	79	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.33	0	9	-9	15.8	12.1	3.74	16.2	17.2	-1.07
Dale Ellis	49	48	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.01	8	1	7	15.6	15.0	0.57	16.2	16.4	-0.15
David Wingate	30	29	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.10	7	2	5	15.4	15.3	0.10	15.1	16.9	-1.83
Sam Perkins	38	38	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.18	-3	12	-15	15.8	15.0	0.83	15.7	16.8	-1.13
Jim McIlvaine	22	23	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.05	-5	14	-19	16.1	15.1	1.06	16.0	16.4	-0.37

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danny Manning	9	8	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.06	7	-16	23	14.4	16.5	-2.08	12.6	15.6	-2.97
George McCloud	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-10	11	16.0	16.3	-0.33	21.0	15.1	5.93
Hot Rod Williams	44	44	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.10	1	-10	11	17.3	15.4	1.89	17.2	13.6	3.54
Mark Bryant	7	6	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	0.04	-7	-2	-5	25.6	15.5	10.02	18.8	15.1	3.75
Antonio McDyess	79	80	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	-8	7	15.8	19.7	-3.86	14.7	20.2	-5.52
Rex Chapman	81	81	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.29	-2	-7	5	16.0	18.7	-2.68	15.5	14.3	1.16
Jason Kidd	73	74	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.20	-6	-3	-3	16.7	14.8	1.85	15.6	14.1	1.49
Clifford Robinson	46	46	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	1	-11	15.3	17.3	-2.01	13.5	17.2	-3.79
Steve Nash	46	46	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	2	-13	15.7	17.0	-1.30	15.2	15.5	-0.36
Cedric Ceballos	67	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.71	-0.10	-17	8	-25	16.7	15.4	1.28	15.5	14.8	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.36,0.42,0.33,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.36,0.25,0.34,0.26,0.34,0.24,0.28,0.36,0.2,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 93, MEM 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.34,0.28,0.22,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.26,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.21,0.1,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%
HOU 108, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.45,0.39,0.29,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.22,0.29,0.24,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.02,0,0	92.8%
SAC 104, HOU 101	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.47,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.38,0.25,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.23,0.14,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.11,0.01,0	92.8%