inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 92 Excitement8.2 [227] MVPKevin Martin (OKC): +10.6%
Detroit Pistons 90 Comeback10.2 [232] LVPBrandon Knight (DET): -28.9%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kevin Martin0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.060.04-0.00854%0.1100.008100%0.05
Kevin Durant0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.080.020.080.022248%0.242-0.1510100%0.08
Thabo Sefolosha0.050,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.05,0.05-0.070.11-0.01233%0.113-0.062100%0.07
Hasheem Thabeet-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000100%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Eric Maynor-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.000.00333%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Jeremy Lamb-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Nick Collison-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.00250%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.030,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.1,0.1,-0.05,-0.030.04-0.060.012551%0.192-0.231573%0.01
Kendrick Perkins-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.01-0.01217%-0.031-0.03250%-0.01
Serge Ibaka-0.110,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.02-0.070.01952%0.023-0.123100%0.02

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kyle Singler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.07-0.000.00575%0.0600.00250%-0.01
Jason Maxiell0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.060.06-0.000.06-0.011050%0.081-0.01650%-0.03
Rodney Stuckey0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.050.010.041359%0.072-0.05667%-0.03
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00367%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Will Bynum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.00-0.01733%-0.021-0.021100%0.01
Tayshaun Prince0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.02-0.060.011241%-0.0900.00560%-0.02
Jonas Jerebko0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.06-0.06-0.02623%-0.081-0.031100%0.00
Greg Monroe0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.2,-0.2-0.200.01-0.190.011453%-0.012-0.18475%0.01
Brandon Knight0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.2,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09,-0.22,-0.29-0.29-0.13-0.17-0.021329%-0.113-0.182100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game28.72.831.218.729.01.839.3151.3
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +13.6%
OKC +56.7%
OKC +0.6%
DET -15.4%
DET -5.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDETNBAOKCDETNBA
this game14.018.115.4101.1101.1104.1
season14.815.7109.3102.3
opponent15.515.5106.6100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.814.018.99.714.0
DET17.516.715.422.618.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thabo Sefolosha65630.76-0.261.010.4610-81813.315.7-2.3519.215.43.79
Kevin Martin55540.72-0.220.930.4210-81812.915.7-2.8418.217.90.30
Russell Westbrook81800.64-0.140.780.379-71613.914.6-0.7018.613.25.39
Kevin Durant81790.63-0.130.760.408-61414.113.01.1018.713.05.71
Serge Ibaka70700.470.030.450.50-13-414.013.90.1619.014.74.23
Hasheem Thabeet98-0.070.57-0.630.02-35-813.014.1-1.0912.118.7-6.53
Eric Maynor1615-0.110.61-0.720.03-57-1213.914.0-0.1314.318.8-4.57
Jeremy Lamb77-0.110.61-0.730.03-57-1212.914.1-1.2113.618.5-4.88
Kendrick Perkins3937-0.180.68-0.87-0.01-68-1415.712.72.9618.417.80.62
Nick Collison3232-0.240.74-0.97-0.03-79-1615.613.12.4914.620.0-5.42

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jason Maxiell53540.09-0.590.68-0.117-91617.718.7-1.0115.811.44.43
Will Bynum35350.03-0.530.56-0.032-4615.319.9-4.5413.214.5-1.31
Andre Drummond2525-0.10-0.400.30-0.100-2218.817.81.0712.614.5-1.96
Kyle Singler3232-0.28-0.22-0.05-0.13-53-817.518.4-0.8413.314.4-1.07
Rodney Stuckey7578-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.30-42-617.620.4-2.7213.914.5-0.56
Greg Monroe6163-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.37-20-218.018.3-0.3214.612.52.08
Jonas Jerebko3737-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.14-108-1818.917.41.5011.815.5-3.65
Tayshaun Prince7173-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.523-5818.815.33.4314.512.12.40
Brandon Knight5658-0.540.04-0.58-0.51-1-1019.415.93.4814.014.00.01


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.57,0.49,0.4,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.47,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.67,0.54,0.59,0.67,0.71,0.77,0.72,0.7,0.76,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.79,0.58,0.42,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.46,0.67,0.26,0
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 88, TOR 850.5,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.73,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.71,0.8,0.78,0.73,0.79,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.82,0.78,0.85,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.53,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.27,089.7%
SEA 105, SAC 1020.5,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.43,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.73,0.74,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.84,0.88,0.8,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.7,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.39,0.53,0.46,0.57,0.17,089.7%
CLE 91, VAN 840.5,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.68,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.73,0.72,0.63,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.7,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.67,0.53,0.47,0.24,0.22,0.32,0.52,0.33,0.02,089.5%