NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	112		Excitement	8.4 [204]		MVP	Nicolas Batum (POR): +46.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	109		Comeback	6.8 [256]		LVP	Danny Green (SAS): -13.9%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Neal	0.38	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.13,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.38	0.20	0.18	-0.00	16	75%	0.40	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.01
Tim Duncan	0.29	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.29,0.29	0.12	0.20	0.03	12	67%	0.32	1	-0.03	9	89%	0.01
Manu Ginobili	0.26	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.26	0.05	0.21	0.00	8	71%	0.37	3	-0.11	8	75%	0.09
Kawhi Leonard	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	6	83%	0.14	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Nando De Colo	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tiago Splitter	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	3	75%	0.07	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Boris Diaw	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Matt Bonner	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Stephen Jackson	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.00	-0.05	0.02	8	59%	0.01	3	-0.08	6	83%	0.01
Patty Mills	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	9	39%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	-0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.14	-0.01	-0.12	0.01	7	62%	-0.03	3	-0.11	2	50%	-0.01

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.37,0.46	0.46	0.23	0.26	0.02	18	79%	0.53	3	-0.06	6	100%	0.04
JJ Hickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	8	65%	0.09	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Wesley Matthews	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.16,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.06	0.01	11	42%	0.09	2	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Babbitt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sasha Pavlovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damian Lillard	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.02	16	61%	0.05	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Meyers Leonard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	3	33%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.09	-0.01	26	50%	-0.01	3	-0.07	6	83%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	2.6	26.1	14.7	28.5	1.8	37.2	132.9
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +31.8%

SAS +33.0%

SAS +4.3%

POR -19.6%

SAS +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	POR	NBA	SAS	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	15.6	15.4	114.3	110.1	104.1
season	15.2	15.8		106.4	104.3
opponent	15.3	15.1		107.6	99.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	14.5	14.8	11.9	13.6	13.7
POR	15.5	15.2	17.4	14.1	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Neal	66	65	0.75	-0.25	1.01	0.43	11	-8	19	13.4	14.2	-0.82	15.4	15.9	-0.57
Danny Green	66	66	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.37	12	-9	21	13.5	14.1	-0.59	15.7	15.4	0.30
Tiago Splitter	39	38	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.26	12	-9	21	13.1	14.1	-1.02	15.3	15.7	-0.45
Nando De Colo	11	10	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.23	13	-10	23	12.4	13.8	-1.46	18.4	15.2	3.15
Kawhi Leonard	47	46	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.28	8	-5	13	13.4	13.9	-0.42	16.1	15.1	1.01
Manu Ginobili	57	59	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.13	4	-1	5	13.3	14.1	-0.83	15.3	15.9	-0.56
Cory Joseph	0	1	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	3	-3	0.0	13.7	-13.66	3.0	15.7	-12.69
Matt Bonner	5	5	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	6	-9	14.0	13.6	0.35	13.2	15.7	-2.49
Stephen Jackson	63	65	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.15	-9	12	-21	13.8	13.3	0.50	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Tim Duncan	62	64	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.18	-12	15	-27	14.3	12.6	1.62	15.5	15.6	-0.10
Patty Mills	45	46	-0.29	0.79	-1.08	0.00	-10	13	-23	14.0	13.3	0.70	16.5	14.8	1.75
Boris Diaw	29	30	-0.33	0.83	-1.16	-0.01	-11	14	-25	14.8	13.2	1.56	15.4	15.6	-0.19

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
JJ Hickson	69	68	0.31	-0.81	1.12	-0.13	15	-18	33	15.6	15.5	0.14	14.5	11.9	2.59
LaMarcus Aldridge	85	85	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.33	19	-22	41	15.2	17.9	-2.67	14.0	11.3	2.72
Wesley Matthews	79	78	0.09	-0.59	0.67	-0.32	14	-17	31	14.9	18.0	-3.05	14.0	12.4	1.52
Ronnie Price	22	21	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.07	-4	1	-5	15.6	15.6	0.03	12.9	13.9	-1.03
Luke Babbitt	7	7	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.09	-8	5	-13	18.0	15.4	2.62	12.3	13.8	-1.48
Will Barton	5	5	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	6	-15	23.6	15.1	8.46	8.6	13.9	-5.34
Sasha Pavlovic	35	34	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.25	-4	1	-5	15.9	15.4	0.45	13.4	13.8	-0.39
Damian Lillard	78	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.48	1	-4	5	15.4	16.2	-0.79	13.9	12.9	1.03
Jared Jeffries	6	6	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.16	-14	11	-25	20.2	15.3	4.90	10.2	13.9	-3.72
Nicolas Batum	79	80	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.43	-8	5	-13	15.5	15.6	-0.11	13.6	13.9	-0.28
Meyers Leonard	30	29	-0.68	0.18	-0.85	-0.18	-17	14	-31	15.5	15.6	-0.14	12.3	14.2	-1.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.83,0.85,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.65,0.73,0.8,0.85,0.74,0.57,0.43,0.17,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.13,0.19,0.05,0.09,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 112, MIL 106	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.71,0.82,0.87,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.77,0.78,0.85,0.81,0.82,0.7,0.57,0.43,0.38,0.23,0.1,0.09,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0	92.0%
PHI 99, MEM 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.57,0.63,0.6,0.58,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.63,0.71,0.79,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.84,0.79,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.42,0.22,0.2,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.03,0.17,0	90.8%
DAL 98, MEM 85	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.57,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.67,0.68,0.75,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.64,0.5,0.38,0.43,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.12,0.13,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	90.8%