NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Oklahoma City Thunder	97		Excitement	8.4 [199]		MVP	Eric Maynor (OKC): +17.4%
Chicago Bulls	91		Comeback	3.5 [408]		LVP	Joakim Noah (CHI): -26.5%

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Eric Maynor	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.07	0.10	-0.00	4	77%	0.20	1	-0.02	5	100%	0.05
Kevin Martin	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	5	79%	0.15	2	-0.05	9	89%	0.03
Serge Ibaka	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.00	15	62%	0.16	3	-0.14	4	100%	0.04
Thabo Sefolosha	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.02	6	58%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nick Collison	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.07	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.07,-0.18,-0.24,-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	19	60%	0.28	6	-0.32	2	100%	0.03
Hasheem Thabeet	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kendrick Perkins	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.21,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	0.00	0.01	22	36%	-0.00	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.11,0.26,0.26,0.19,0.19,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.01	21	61%	0.26	3	-0.19	2	100%	0.02
Richard Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.15,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.04	-0.01	14	59%	0.16	4	-0.11	6	100%	0.06
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nazr Mohammed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.08	-0.02	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	-0.00	6	17%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.12	-0.05	0.00	9	41%	-0.01	5	-0.15	4	75%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.3,-0.3,-0.26	-0.26	-0.08	-0.18	-0.00	9	45%	-0.13	4	-0.14	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.9	2.7	32.0	17.8	27.1	2.7	40.2	145.3
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +65.4%

OKC +10.4%

CHI -17.2%

CHI -9.3%

OKC +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	OKC	CHI	NBA	OKC	CHI	NBA
this game	13.8	15.7	15.4	100.0	92.9	104.1
season	14.8	16.6		109.3	101.7
opponent	15.2	15.5		102.3	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
OKC	16.1	12.6	14.2	12.8	13.8
CHI	16.6	15.6	15.8	14.9	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thabo Sefolosha	81	82	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.33	13	-7	20	13.7	14.4	-0.72	15.7	15.7	-0.07
Kevin Martin	64	65	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.31	10	-4	14	12.7	16.1	-3.46	15.4	16.2	-0.83
Nick Collison	33	33	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.06	15	-9	24	13.3	14.1	-0.76	17.1	15.0	2.15
Serge Ibaka	75	75	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.43	-2	8	-10	14.1	12.9	1.26	15.6	16.0	-0.46
Eric Maynor	26	25	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.07	10	-4	14	13.2	14.1	-0.83	14.9	16.0	-1.04
Kevin Durant	77	78	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.28	-3	9	-12	14.0	13.3	0.67	15.6	16.1	-0.57
Russell Westbrook	71	73	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	10	-14	14.1	13.2	0.83	16.0	14.9	1.04
Hasheem Thabeet	19	20	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.09	5	1	4	13.2	14.0	-0.78	15.1	15.8	-0.68
Kendrick Perkins	39	39	-0.32	0.82	-1.13	0.09	-14	20	-34	15.9	12.4	3.49	15.7	15.7	-0.00

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	61	60	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.16	4	-10	14	15.8	15.5	0.33	14.4	13.0	1.39
Richard Hamilton	72	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.33	9	-15	24	15.1	17.3	-2.20	14.5	12.1	2.40
Vladimir Radmanovic	2	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	-2	-2	6.5	15.9	-9.39	0.0	14.0	-13.98
Nazr Mohammed	4	3	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.05	-5	-1	-4	18.2	15.6	2.66	11.0	13.9	-2.93
Joakim Noah	79	79	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.27	5	-11	16	15.4	16.8	-1.36	14.2	12.4	1.78
Jimmy Butler	27	26	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-5	4	16.3	15.5	0.83	13.2	14.1	-0.83
Kirk Hinrich	75	72	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.32	3	-9	12	15.6	16.1	-0.51	14.0	13.5	0.48
Nate Robinson	23	25	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.01	-9	3	-12	16.1	15.6	0.51	13.5	14.0	-0.48
Luol Deng	85	85	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.22	-2	-4	2	15.8	15.3	0.45	13.8	13.7	0.10
Marco Belinelli	12	12	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.00	-18	12	-30	17.4	15.5	1.96	11.2	14.2	-2.95
Taj Gibson	50	51	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.32	-12	6	-18	16.1	15.2	0.87	13.1	14.6	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.6,0.5,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.4,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.58,0.59,0.57,0.5,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.24,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.16,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 92, CHH 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.7,0.74,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.53,0.47,0.29,0.33,0.39,0.22,0.09,0.08,0	91.5%
UTA 99, SAC 94	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.67,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.71,0.38,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.42,0	90.6%
CLE 99, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.58,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.62,0.57,0.52,0.62,0.58,0.64,0.47,0.54,0.39,0.22,0.15,0.08,0	90.2%