NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Orlando Magic	75		Excitement	4.5 [947]		MVP	Luke Ridnour (MIN): +12.8%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	1.0 [1137]		LVP	Glen Davis (ORL): -17.8%

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JJ Redick	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.04	0.02	-0.05	12	55%	0.13	5	-0.10	5	100%	0.02
Josh McRoberts	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	8	44%	0.02	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Arron Afflalo	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	11	52%	0.03	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Kyle O'Quinn	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gustavo Ayon	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	5	60%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maurice Harkless	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	0.05	6	44%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Andrew Nicholson	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.00	-0.03	0.06	8	52%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.01
E'Twaun Moore	-0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.16	-0.02	-0.04	14	31%	-0.07	4	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Glen Davis	-0.18	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.15	-0.06	-0.03	9	21%	-0.08	4	-0.10	1	0%	-0.01

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Ridnour	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	9	83%	0.18	3	-0.05	5	80%	-0.00
Greg Stiemsma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.03	-0.00	7	86%	0.12	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.00	0.02	10	64%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	9	43%	0.01	1	-0.00	5	60%	-0.01
Alexey Shved	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.03	6	58%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	25%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.06	0.00	-0.06	1	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Conroy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.05	0.00	-0.05	3	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	5	58%	0.03	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Jose Juan Barea	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.03	3	12%	-0.04	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Roy	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	21%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Nikola Pekovic	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	9	55%	0.04	5	-0.13	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.3	28.6	15.7	24.3	2.6	30.0	126.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +48.0%

ORL -4.2%

MIN +3.0%

MIN +5.2%

ORL -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ORL	MIN	NBA	ORL	MIN	NBA
this game	15.1	15.3	15.4	78.9	95.7	104.1
season	15.5	15.6		100.3	101.3
opponent	14.9	15.3		103.4	107.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ORL	17.6	15.9	14.0	13.4	15.1
MIN	15.1	15.4	15.4	15.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kyle O'Quinn	16	17	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.25	8	-23	31	12.7	15.6	-2.87	15.8	15.2	0.52
Ish Smith	42	42	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.37	11	-26	37	12.9	16.9	-4.09	15.2	15.4	-0.18
Maurice Harkless	48	46	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.14	3	-18	21	13.4	16.9	-3.48	14.9	15.8	-0.88
Gustavo Ayon	43	40	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.01	-3	-12	9	13.5	16.5	-2.97	15.0	15.6	-0.51
Andrew Nicholson	57	55	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.29	6	-21	27	13.1	18.2	-5.17	15.0	15.9	-0.91
JJ Redick	42	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.13	-11	-4	-7	13.1	16.7	-3.57	15.2	15.4	-0.17
Arron Afflalo	52	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	0.22	-19	4	-23	16.7	13.2	3.56	16.0	14.6	1.40
Glen Davis	33	35	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	0.08	-16	1	-17	19.0	13.1	5.87	15.9	15.0	0.96
Nikola Vucevic	31	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.05	-15	0	-15	18.9	13.3	5.59	15.5	15.3	0.22
Josh McRoberts	42	41	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.26	-23	8	-31	18.0	12.9	5.09	14.8	15.7	-0.91
E'Twaun Moore	69	69	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	1	-17	15.7	13.5	2.20	15.6	14.7	0.90

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Williams	58	58	0.58	-0.08	0.66	-0.13	24	-9	33	15.2	15.5	-0.26	15.8	14.0	1.82
Andrei Kirilenko	60	61	0.53	-0.03	0.57	-0.02	19	-4	23	14.9	16.1	-1.22	15.6	14.3	1.27
Brandon Roy	49	49	0.45	0.05	0.41	-0.10	19	-4	23	15.6	15.0	0.61	16.7	13.5	3.17
Greg Stiemsma	44	45	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.10	6	9	-3	15.3	15.4	-0.04	12.9	17.2	-4.31
Luke Ridnour	57	58	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.27	18	-3	21	15.8	14.7	1.05	16.2	13.5	2.66
Jose Juan Barea	25	25	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	6	3	14.8	15.5	-0.74	15.4	15.0	0.41
Nikola Pekovic	47	47	0.22	0.28	-0.05	-0.07	10	5	5	15.5	15.2	0.30	17.1	13.2	3.81
Chase Budinger	34	35	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.19	8	7	1	14.9	15.6	-0.72	14.7	15.4	-0.62
Malcolm Lee	11	11	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	27	-39	15.5	15.3	0.13	9.5	15.9	-6.32
Lou Amundson	14	14	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.29	-10	25	-35	15.0	15.4	-0.40	11.6	15.8	-4.18
Will Conroy	12	12	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.35	-12	27	-39	14.5	15.5	-0.96	9.5	16.0	-6.45
Alexey Shved	34	34	-0.04	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	19	-23	16.1	14.9	1.22	14.3	15.6	-1.27
Dante Cunningham	25	26	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.07	0	15	-15	15.5	15.3	0.24	15.9	14.8	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 102, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
BOS 88, DET 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.69,0.74,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIL 91, HOU 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1	94.7%