NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	88		Excitement	5.2 [774]		MVP	Andre Drummond (DET): +13.7%
Detroit Pistons	103		Comeback	1.0 [679]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (BOS): -37.7%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Courtney Lee	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	-0.00	-0.05	12	62%	0.11	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Green	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	56%	0.04	1	-0.01	9	67%	-0.04
Kevin Garnett	0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	11	53%	0.02	1	-0.01	8	75%	0.01
Jason Terry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jared Sullinger	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.01	7	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Avery Bradley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	8	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Paul Pierce	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	10	50%	-0.00	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Bass	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.01	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.38	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.21,-0.22,-0.24,-0.27,-0.31,-0.34,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.37,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38	-0.30	-0.12	-0.04	16	25%	-0.15	9	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.12	0.02	0.01	6	80%	0.14	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Tayshaun Prince	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	-0.03	13	54%	0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Greg Monroe	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.02	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Will Bynum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	12	47%	0.05	1	-0.02	8	62%	0.01
Charlie Villanueva	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.03	-0.04	4	37%	0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jason Maxiell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Singler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	11	52%	0.06	3	-0.09	3	100%	0.02
Austin Daye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Knight	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	12	50%	0.05	7	-0.17	6	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.3	2.0	30.2	18.4	33.6	1.8	31.2	143.4
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.5	14.0	26.8	2.3	33.1	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +51.2%

DET +7.1%

DET +3.5%

BOS -14.6%

DET +2.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	DET	NBA	BOS	DET	NBA
this game	12.9	14.9	15.4	84.6	100.0	104.1
season	14.9	15.7		101.2	102.3
opponent	15.5	16.2		106.6	101.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	14.8	12.7	12.4	11.6	12.9
DET	13.5	14.5	13.3	18.9	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Courtney Lee	63	61	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	12.7	13.2	-0.50	13.4	17.2	-3.76
Jason Collins	17	16	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.04	0	-15	15	14.8	12.5	2.31	12.8	15.3	-2.52
Leandro Barbosa	12	13	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.10	2	-17	19	11.4	13.1	-1.67	21.2	14.0	7.20
Jeff Green	60	62	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.21	3	-18	21	13.4	12.2	1.23	15.3	14.4	0.84
Rajon Rondo	79	79	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-12	9	12.5	14.0	-1.46	15.0	14.7	0.30
Kevin Garnett	63	63	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.05	-7	-8	1	12.5	13.5	-1.06	16.3	12.8	3.50
Jason Terry	29	30	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	-8	1	14.0	12.5	1.58	14.8	15.0	-0.25
Brandon Bass	24	23	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	0.03	-14	-1	-13	12.5	13.0	-0.57	15.2	14.9	0.30
Paul Pierce	80	78	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.01	-13	-2	-11	12.2	15.0	-2.79	15.4	13.4	2.04
Jared Sullinger	48	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.08	-17	2	-19	14.5	11.5	3.02	12.9	16.6	-3.69
Avery Bradley	45	43	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.15	-20	5	-25	12.2	13.4	-1.15	14.7	15.1	-0.42

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Monroe	82	84	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.12	22	-7	29	14.2	17.8	-3.60	13.2	11.5	1.73
Tayshaun Prince	83	84	0.44	0.06	0.39	-0.03	16	-1	17	14.0	18.9	-4.97	13.0	12.3	0.74
Brandon Knight	70	70	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.06	14	1	13	13.5	18.0	-4.46	12.7	13.3	-0.55
Kyle Singler	76	76	0.34	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	1	13	15.2	14.3	0.92	12.7	13.3	-0.54
Jason Maxiell	53	53	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	8	-1	14.5	15.4	-0.93	12.6	13.2	-0.55
Rodney Stuckey	40	40	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	12	-9	17.3	13.4	3.94	13.3	12.6	0.66
Andre Drummond	41	40	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	13	-11	17.0	13.6	3.42	13.6	12.5	1.15
Will Bynum	44	45	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.04	4	11	-7	16.8	13.6	3.20	12.4	13.3	-0.91
Charlie Villanueva	17	18	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	19	-23	15.2	14.9	0.35	12.7	12.9	-0.28
Austin Daye	9	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	18	-21	12.7	15.2	-2.49	11.0	13.1	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.64,0.66,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.68,0.76,0.82,0.81,0.69,0.74,0.65,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.86,0.82,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.87,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 96, CLE 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.73,0.68,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.71,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.66,0.73,0.81,0.81,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.66,0.71,0.68,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.95,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.5%
ORL 75, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.61,0.73,0.84,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.71,0.79,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%
MIN 102, LAL 119	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.8,0.79,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.68,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.73,0.76,0.74,0.78,0.81,0.73,0.81,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%