NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Milwaukee Bucks	91		Excitement	4.7 [845]		MVP	Matt Maloney (HOU): +17.8%
Houston Rockets	96		Comeback	1.0 [1238]		LVP	Ray Allen (MIL): -13.1%

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ervin Johnson	0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	79%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.01
Armen Gilliam	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	15	53%	0.01	1	-0.01	8	100%	0.05
Jamie Feick	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	40%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Elliot Perry	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.01	16	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Michael Curry	-0.10	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.04	-0.03	0.04	12	50%	-0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jerald Honeycutt	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	9	40%	-0.05	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Ray Allen	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.04	-0.05	17	50%	0.04	7	-0.17	6	83%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matt Maloney	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.04	0.02	9	95%	0.20	1	-0.02	2	100%	-0.01
Matt Bullard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrick Rhodes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	3	100%	0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	0,0,0,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	13	64%	0.10	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Kevin Willis	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.04	-0.01	13	43%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Clyde Drexler	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	13	58%	0.08	4	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brent Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	2	80%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Mario Elie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.02	3	33%	0.00	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Charles Barkley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.12	-0.01	-0.03	7	45%	-0.00	4	-0.09	6	83%	0.01
Eddie Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	14%	-0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.6	24.6	15.4	28.4	2.4	24.3	120.8
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +50.5%

MIL -3.7%

HOU +1.3%

MIL -1.6%

HOU +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIL	HOU	NBA	MIL	HOU	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	15.6	97.8	102.1	102.5
season	16.0	15.7		101.1	104.5
opponent	15.2	15.1		105.7	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIL	15.5	16.8	16.6	15.5	16.1
HOU	14.5	13.2	14.7	16.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerald Honeycutt	48	47	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.08	2	-7	9	15.9	16.3	-0.42	13.7	15.7	-2.02
Jamie Feick	51	51	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.16	4	-9	13	16.3	15.9	0.43	14.1	15.3	-1.21
Ervin Johnson	67	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.32	0	-5	5	15.7	17.2	-1.54	15.2	13.4	1.81
Ray Allen	87	87	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.36	-2	-3	1	16.0	17.8	-1.83	15.0	11.0	3.99
Michael Curry	66	69	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.26	-6	1	-7	15.9	16.7	-0.77	14.4	15.4	-0.97
Elliot Perry	78	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.35	-9	4	-13	16.6	13.8	2.76	15.2	12.1	3.12
Armen Gilliam	68	69	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.23	-14	9	-23	16.4	15.4	1.04	14.6	14.9	-0.31

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakeem Olajuwon	71	70	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.20	10	-5	15	14.1	16.5	-2.37	15.4	18.2	-2.73
Kevin Willis	57	57	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.08	14	-9	23	15.1	14.1	0.92	17.1	14.5	2.64
Matt Maloney	80	79	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.30	6	-1	7	15.0	12.9	2.16	15.6	19.1	-3.56
Mario Elie	57	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.15	9	-4	13	14.3	15.3	-1.04	15.4	17.2	-1.83
Clyde Drexler	63	63	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.25	1	4	-3	15.5	13.1	2.43	15.4	17.6	-2.19
Rodrick Rhodes	26	26	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.13	4	1	3	13.9	15.0	-1.12	18.1	15.3	2.77
Matt Bullard	29	30	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.14	2	3	-1	15.3	14.4	0.85	18.7	14.9	3.76
Brent Price	14	14	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	6	-7	12.9	15.0	-2.16	19.1	15.6	3.56
Charles Barkley	60	59	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.42	-14	19	-33	15.0	14.1	0.95	15.9	16.4	-0.51
Eddie Johnson	13	13	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.04	-6	11	-17	12.9	15.0	-2.05	12.8	16.6	-3.80

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.61,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.8,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.9,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.96,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHX 86, SAC 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.69,0.68,0.77,0.66,0.71,0.77,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.8,0.89,0.9,0.84,0.85,0.85,0.9,0.96,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.2%
NJN 101, CLE 108	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.61,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.7,0.56,0.7,0.66,0.66,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.82,0.88,0.88,0.8,0.81,0.78,0.87,0.87,0.91,0.93,0.95,0.92,0.96,0.95,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1	95.0%
MIL 82, SAC 103	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.67,0.7,0.81,0.74,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.87,0.9,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.96,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.7%