inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 84 Excitement3.0 [1197] MVPJason Kidd (NYK): +7.6%
New York Knicks 104 Comeback1.0 [424] LVPMario Chalmers (MIA): -6.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Rashard Lewis0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.14-0.000.10980%0.0300.002100%0.00
Dwyane Wade0.010,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.030.000.021071%0.084-0.081100%0.00
James Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Mike Miller0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0200%0.0010.0000%0.00
Josh Harrellson0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
LeBron James-0.010,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.01-0.000.011661%0.065-0.07683%-0.00
Norris Cole-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.00-0.01650%0.022-0.0400%0.00
Udonis Haslem-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.010.000.01333%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.030,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.07-0.00-0.041343%0.033-0.072100%0.00
Ray Allen-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.030.000.02550%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Shane Battier-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.00-0.00333%-0.022-0.0400%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.08-0.01-0.02525%-0.032-0.04250%0.00

New York Knicks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jason Kidd0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.110.000.03592%0.091-0.023100%0.00
Steve Novak0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.160.000.121085%0.0400.0000%0.00
J.R. Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.010.00-0.041144%0.041-0.003100%0.01
Carmelo Anthony0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.04-0.000.002848%0.051-0.02786%-0.00
Tyson Chandler0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.06-0.000.025100%0.072-0.0400%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.010.00750%0.0200.0000%0.00
Rasheed Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.02275%0.0000.0000%0.00
Chris Copeland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
James White00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.00-0.021350%0.043-0.04250%-0.01
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.050.00-0.0420%-0.011-0.0000%0.00
Pablo Prigioni0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.060.00-0.0400%0.003-0.0200%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.61.732.216.829.23.530.6139.4
league avg24.82.329.514.026.82.333.1134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
NYK +20.3%
NYK +0.9%
NYK +10.3%
NYK +17.6%
NYK +0.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIANYKNBAMIANYKNBA
this game13.817.715.491.3114.3104.1
season15.716.2110.2107.9
opponent15.515.9103.8102.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MIA15.712.312.914.413.8
NYK15.719.016.619.917.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
James Jones660.00-0.500.500.03-1-19189.314.1-4.7519.817.62.26
Mike Miller660.00-0.500.500.03-1-19189.314.1-4.7519.817.62.26
Josh Harrellson540.00-0.500.50-0.062-22248.214.1-5.8919.217.71.59
Rashard Lewis3837-0.09-0.410.32-0.152-222413.114.3-1.1819.116.82.33
Mario Chalmers3839-0.14-0.360.220.15-10-10013.214.2-0.9617.118.2-1.04
Norris Cole4342-0.17-0.330.16-0.05-4-161213.514.0-0.4418.617.01.57
Udonis Haslem3535-0.24-0.260.02-0.09-5-151014.513.31.1518.517.31.19
Chris Bosh5353-0.26-0.24-0.030.12-13-7-613.614.0-0.4417.418.2-0.74
Ray Allen5048-0.31-0.19-0.130.07-13-7-615.012.32.6917.817.60.18
Dwyane Wade6867-0.39-0.11-0.270.08-16-4-1214.312.41.8917.319.0-1.67
Shane Battier4848-0.40-0.10-0.300.18-200-2014.413.01.3916.319.3-2.95
LeBron James7070-0.49-0.01-0.490.12-211-2213.713.9-0.1817.618.3-0.73

New York Knicks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Carmelo Anthony73740.500.000.50-0.2124-42817.717.9-0.2013.713.9-0.15
Jason Kidd46480.350.150.20-0.242002016.419.1-2.6513.414.2-0.74
Tyson Chandler49490.340.160.19-0.07146817.518.0-0.5513.414.2-0.78
Raymond Felton63610.330.170.17-0.221911817.917.20.6913.913.50.48
J.R. Smith63630.320.180.13-0.06137617.817.60.1714.612.12.49
Ronnie Brewer41400.220.28-0.06-0.02812-417.717.7-0.0313.114.3-1.14
Steve Novak45460.190.31-0.11-0.07911-218.317.21.1615.012.52.50
Pablo Prigioni31330.130.37-0.240.22-323-2617.817.70.1213.114.1-1.01
Kurt Thomas30300.120.38-0.260.15-121-2217.917.60.3115.413.02.47
Rasheed Wallace660.000.50-0.50-0.03119-1819.817.62.269.314.1-4.75
Chris Copeland450.000.50-0.500.06-222-2419.217.71.598.214.1-5.89
James White450.000.50-0.500.06-222-2419.217.71.598.214.1-5.89


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
MIA 107, PHX 1220.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,197.1%
CLE 92, ORL 1110.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.63,0.66,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.74,0.76,0.77,0.76,0.76,0.75,0.83,0.85,0.86,0.86,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.78,0.76,0.8,0.87,0.85,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%
NYK 89, ORL 1110.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.75,0.82,0.82,0.8,0.75,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.8,0.88,0.84,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,196.8%