NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	107		Excitement	3.0 [1200]		MVP	Joe Johnson (PHX): +11.1%
Phoenix Suns	122		Comeback	1.1 [1197]		LVP	Dwyane Wade (MIA): -9.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shaquille O'Neal	0.09	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.16	0.00	0.06	20	74%	0.12	2	-0.02	6	33%	-0.02
Rasual Butler	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.10	0.00	0.09	5	110%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Christian Laettner	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	10	67%	0.05	4	-0.06	4	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	4	44%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.00
Michael Doleac	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keyon Dooling	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Damon Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.07	0.00	-0.04	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	13	41%	-0.02	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.17	0.01	-0.07	19	50%	0.04	8	-0.13	8	62%	-0.02

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.00	-0.03	18	60%	0.11	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.02
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	19	71%	0.11	3	-0.02	10	80%	-0.02
Steve Nash	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.03	12	62%	0.08	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	0.00	0.03	22	55%	0.05	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.11	0.00	-0.11	20	33%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.03	2	67%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01	1	-0.00	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	2.5	28.3	14.7	25.2	2.7	29.3	130.8
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +18.7%

PHX +8.0%

PHX +5.9%

PHX +17.4%

MIA -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	PHX	NBA	MIA	PHX	NBA
this game	14.9	12.9	15.5	103.9	117.3	104.0
season	15.7	13.5		107.9	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.5		106.2	101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	15.1	16.3	14.7	13.5	14.9
PHX	10.0	12.0	12.5	17.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wesley Person	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.15	5	-20	25	8.6	15.3	-6.67	30.8	12.0	18.81
Rasual Butler	38	38	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.23	7	-22	29	14.2	15.4	-1.24	15.8	11.2	4.56
Shandon Anderson	34	37	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.18	3	-18	21	14.8	15.0	-0.26	14.3	12.1	2.22
Michael Doleac	17	17	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.11	-8	-7	-1	13.4	15.2	-1.83	16.8	12.1	4.70
Christian Laettner	12	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	-7	-1	13.7	15.1	-1.35	9.8	13.3	-3.46
Keyon Dooling	32	34	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	-9	3	14.3	15.2	-0.96	15.4	11.7	3.65
Damon Jones	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.11	-7	-8	1	15.0	14.9	0.12	11.5	15.4	-3.94
Udonis Haslem	67	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.06	-14	-1	-13	15.6	13.6	2.00	12.2	14.2	-2.07
Shaquille O'Neal	82	82	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	-6	-3	15.3	13.6	1.72	12.0	16.2	-4.17
Eddie Jones	79	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	0.08	-18	3	-21	15.2	14.1	1.06	12.2	15.1	-2.91
Dwyane Wade	83	83	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.13	-20	5	-25	15.3	13.4	1.91	11.8	17.3	-5.56

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	90	89	0.46	0.04	0.42	-0.07	18	-3	21	12.6	14.6	-1.94	14.8	15.7	-0.89
Quentin Richardson	93	92	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.09	10	5	5	13.3	9.6	3.64	15.1	13.4	1.77
Joe Johnson	90	90	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.19	6	9	-3	12.9	13.1	-0.29	14.8	15.8	-0.95
Amar'e Stoudemire	87	87	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.16	7	8	-1	12.3	16.1	-3.78	15.0	14.4	0.67
Steve Nash	74	73	0.35	0.15	0.19	-0.18	18	-3	21	11.9	15.5	-3.62	15.5	13.7	1.80
Steven Hunter	42	41	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.01	10	5	5	13.9	12.2	1.66	14.6	15.2	-0.63
Casey Jacobsen	44	43	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.11	6	9	-3	14.7	11.5	3.18	14.3	15.4	-1.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.76,0.8,0.84,0.82,0.76,0.83,0.82,0.85,0.77,0.86,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.93,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 83, WAS 115	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.52,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.72,0.76,0.74,0.85,0.88,0.87,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.82,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.84,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.2%
MIA 84, NYK 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.72,0.82,0.8,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.83,0.78,0.79,0.81,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.8,0.87,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.99,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	97.1%
MIN 93, OKC 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.74,0.79,0.86,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.8%