NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	90		Excitement	7.0 [338]		MVP	Jodie Meeks (PHI): +28.8%
Milwaukee Bucks	85		Comeback	3.6 [91]		LVP	Shaun Livingston (MIL): -19.7%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jodie Meeks	0.29	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29	0.13	0.14	-0.02	19	57%	0.29	0	0.00	9	89%	0.05
Xavier Silas	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.01	5	45%	0.08	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.03
Evan Turner	-0.01	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01	-0.04	0.02	-0.00	29	47%	0.05	3	-0.06	4	50%	-0.00
Nikola Vucevic	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	7	29%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	6	33%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Brackins	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	6	36%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Battie	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	43%	0.00	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Hawes	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.10	-0.05	0.00	13	29%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	-0.01	16	56%	0.17	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.02	-0.01	12	60%	0.09	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	55%	0.04	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Ekpe Udoh	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.03	-0.04	0.02	4	67%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Jon Leuer	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.01	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.01	12	46%	0.01	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.04
Jon Brockman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.14,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.08	-0.02	9	50%	-0.01	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2	-0.20	-0.12	-0.08	-0.01	6	17%	-0.10	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	23.2	14.8	23.2	2.7	29.2	117.0
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIL -23.4%

PHI +13.2%

PHI +26.9%

PHI +33.5%

MIL -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	MIL	NBA	PHI	MIL	NBA
this game	16.1	13.1	15.6	90.9	86.7	102.8
season	15.6	14.6		101.0	103.8
opponent	15.6	16.1		103.4	97.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	15.5	15.8	15.4	17.9	16.1
MIL	13.8	14.2	12.3	12.1	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Evan Turner	84	84	0.71	-0.21	0.93	0.30	14	-9	23	16.0	17.0	-1.02	13.0	13.6	-0.64
Spencer Hawes	59	59	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.06	16	-11	27	14.8	18.1	-3.26	13.9	11.9	1.98
Jodie Meeks	82	82	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.36	5	0	5	16.0	16.6	-0.62	12.9	13.9	-0.94
Tony Battie	22	22	0.33	0.17	0.17	0.04	10	-5	15	14.7	16.5	-1.81	13.1	13.1	-0.00
Lavoy Allen	59	56	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.05	5	0	5	16.5	15.6	0.93	13.2	13.0	0.24
Craig Brackins	37	38	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.35	-7	12	-19	17.6	15.2	2.42	12.4	13.5	-1.14
Jrue Holiday	54	52	0.06	0.44	-0.37	-0.02	3	2	1	15.5	16.8	-1.31	13.8	12.3	1.57
Nikola Vucevic	27	28	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.31	-9	14	-23	17.3	15.7	1.60	12.4	13.4	-1.03
Xavier Silas	38	38	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.28	-10	15	-25	17.5	15.3	2.18	12.1	13.7	-1.57
Sam Young	33	31	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	7	-9	16.2	16.1	0.08	13.5	12.9	0.62

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	50	49	0.06	-0.56	0.63	-0.32	13	-18	31	12.6	13.6	-0.96	17.9	14.4	3.50
Ekpe Udoh	29	30	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-1	-3	15.0	12.3	2.71	15.3	16.5	-1.24
Jon Brockman	45	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-3	1	12.9	13.3	-0.38	15.9	16.3	-0.40
Mike Dunleavy	47	49	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-2	-1	12.2	13.9	-1.65	15.8	16.5	-0.66
Larry Sanders	63	64	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.42	5	-10	15	12.3	14.6	-2.30	17.0	14.5	2.50
Jon Leuer	44	46	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.01	-10	5	-15	13.9	12.4	1.44	15.2	17.0	-1.83
Tobias Harris	76	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.26	-6	1	-7	13.3	12.3	1.00	16.2	15.8	0.45
Shaun Livingston	70	71	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	-0.23	-10	5	-15	13.2	12.7	0.53	15.5	17.6	-2.06
Brandon Jennings	66	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.33	-8	3	-11	13.2	12.9	0.32	15.9	16.5	-0.59

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.72,0.61,0.7,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.48,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.37,0.25,0.33,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.16,0.21,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.15,0.05,0.1,0.16,0.03,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 105, CHI 99	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.77,0.7,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.23,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.13,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	93.4%
SAS 96, DET 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.65,0.66,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.72,0.7,0.73,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.48,0.42,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.31,0.3,0.25,0.19,0.22,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.12,0.29,0.17,0.14,0.03,0.01,0,0	93.1%
UTA 97, IND 76	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.5%