NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	5.2 [802]		MVP	Joe Ingles (UTA): +5.4%
Indiana Pacers	76		Comeback	2.7 [263]		LVP	Raul Neto (UTA): -15.3%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Ingles	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.04	5	83%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney Hood	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	-0.01	-0.02	13	65%	0.09	3	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Favors	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	16	55%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Trey Burke	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	62%	0.11	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.01	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.06	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Elijah Millsap	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Johnson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Jeff Withey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trevor Booker	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	7	29%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trey Lyles	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	25%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	50%	0.01
Alec Burks	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	13	36%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Gordon Hayward	-0.09	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.02	0.02	11	48%	-0.02	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.14	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chase Budinger	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	8	56%	0.03	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Solomon Hill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shayne Whittington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	0	0%	0.00	2	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul George	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	57%	0.03	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	0.02	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
George Hill	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	9	74%	0.10	7	-0.13	5	80%	0.00
Rodney Stuckey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	6	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	9	23%	-0.07	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Lavoy Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.02	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Monta Ellis	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.04	-0.03	14	40%	-0.02	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	1.8	29.2	15.4	26.2	1.8	31.4	132.9
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.1%

IND -1.5%

UTA +22.3%

UTA +9.4%

UTA +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	IND	NBA	UTA	IND	NBA
this game	16.7	14.0	14.9	103.2	81.7	105.1
season	16.3	14.6		104.6	103.2
opponent	14.9	15.0		101.6	102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	15.9	17.3	15.4	18.6	16.7
IND	10.8	17.0	15.9	13.3	14.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Favors	59	60	0.45	0.05	0.40	-0.08	18	3	15	16.9	16.4	0.55	14.5	13.2	1.33
Rudy Gobert	63	59	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.16	9	12	-3	16.5	17.2	-0.67	14.5	13.3	1.23
Raul Neto	39	40	0.42	0.08	0.34	-0.08	17	4	13	16.6	16.8	-0.18	14.3	13.8	0.45
Rodney Hood	56	55	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.05	12	9	3	17.1	16.2	0.85	13.9	14.2	-0.24
Gordon Hayward	54	55	0.28	0.22	0.06	-0.07	12	9	3	17.2	16.1	1.04	13.7	14.5	-0.73
Alec Burks	42	42	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.05	6	15	-9	16.0	17.3	-1.35	14.0	14.1	-0.04
Trevor Booker	56	56	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.12	10	11	-1	16.2	17.5	-1.22	13.9	14.3	-0.47
Trey Burke	43	42	0.11	0.39	-0.29	-0.01	4	17	-13	17.0	16.5	0.56	13.0	14.9	-1.99
Joe Ingles	37	35	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.16	9	12	-3	16.6	16.8	-0.25	14.9	13.5	1.35
Chris Johnson	5	5	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	17	-13	14.0	16.9	-2.90	14.8	14.0	0.80
Jeff Withey	2	2	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	18	-15	25.5	16.6	8.95	8.0	14.2	-6.18
Elijah Millsap	6	5	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	-0.01	-1	22	-23	16.5	16.8	-0.26	19.0	13.8	5.24
Trey Lyles	8	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.11	2	19	-17	18.2	16.6	1.65	10.4	14.4	-3.98

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chase Budinger	29	28	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	-19	17	14.5	13.8	0.64	17.0	16.7	0.31
Solomon Hill	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-17	13	12.0	14.1	-2.13	17.0	16.7	0.27
Joe Young	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-17	13	12.0	14.1	-2.13	17.0	16.7	0.27
Shayne Whittington	4	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.12	-4	-17	13	12.0	14.1	-2.13	17.0	16.7	0.27
Rodney Stuckey	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-17	13	13.7	14.4	-0.73	16.6	16.9	-0.35
Myles Turner	46	46	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.09	-4	-17	13	13.7	14.4	-0.73	16.6	16.9	-0.35
CJ Miles	49	51	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	0.04	-9	-12	3	14.0	14.1	-0.09	17.6	15.7	1.93
Lavoy Allen	44	43	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.08	-12	-9	-3	14.1	14.0	0.09	15.7	17.6	-1.93
Ian Mahinmi	43	44	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.09	-13	-8	-5	14.6	13.5	1.09	16.9	16.6	0.31
Monta Ellis	62	63	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	-7	-7	13.7	14.6	-0.90	16.3	17.5	-1.20
George Hill	70	71	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	-5	-11	14.8	11.8	3.00	17.2	15.4	1.79
Paul George	64	66	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.03	-19	-2	-17	13.8	14.5	-0.64	16.7	17.0	-0.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.55,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.07,0.17,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 99, UTA 82	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.5,0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.31,0.41,0.26,0.18,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
HOU 102, PHI 86	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.08,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.0%
MIL 87, MIN 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.6%