NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	113		Excitement	9.3 [84]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (NYK): +35.9%
Atlanta Hawks	112		Comeback	2.7 [262]		LVP	Josh Smith (ATL): -31.7%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0.36	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.26,0.38,0.36	0.09	0.27	0.01	32	53%	0.42	2	-0.06	9	89%	0.06
Landry Fields	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.20	0.08	0.01	8	106%	0.28	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.09	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	13	65%	0.17	4	-0.09	8	50%	-0.11
Toney Douglas	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.02	9	72%	0.11	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Steve Novak	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.06	-0.07	0.00	8	61%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mike Bibby	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Harrellson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.13	-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	7	50%	0.09	3	-0.22	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.17	0.01	14	71%	0.30	3	-0.06	3	0%	-0.10
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.23	0.23	0.24	0.01	0.02	14	83%	0.25	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.02
Willie Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.04	0.04	0.00	3	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jannero Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	8	75%	0.13	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kirk Hinrich	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	37%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Teague	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.07	0.02	14	68%	0.11	4	-0.14	6	67%	-0.01
Tracy McGrady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivan Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	2	17%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.32	-0.32	-0.07	-0.26	-0.01	13	48%	-0.11	5	-0.20	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.9	3.4	34.2	18.7	27.3	3.7	36.0	148.1
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +17.0%

NYK +19.0%

ATL -4.3%

ATL -2.3%

NYK +20.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	ATL	NBA	NYK	ATL	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	15.6	115.3	114.3	102.8
season	14.9	15.7		102.3	102.5
opponent	15.9	15.7		99.5	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.1	13.8	13.9	18.2	15.1
ATL	12.6	15.0	13.8	16.0	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	86	85	0.63	-0.13	0.77	0.46	6	-5	11	15.5	12.4	3.09	14.1	15.3	-1.21
J.R. Smith	64	64	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.49	2	-1	3	15.5	14.5	0.92	13.9	14.9	-1.01
Iman Shumpert	76	76	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.45	0	1	-1	14.4	17.7	-3.35	14.0	15.1	-1.08
Landry Fields	65	63	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.23	6	-5	11	14.4	16.5	-2.08	14.3	14.2	0.09
Amar'e Stoudemire	69	70	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.57	-6	7	-13	15.4	14.4	1.02	14.6	13.4	1.16
Baron Davis	61	62	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	2	-3	16.1	13.6	2.51	14.6	13.7	0.84
Josh Harrellson	16	16	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.10	7	-6	13	13.8	15.4	-1.58	12.6	14.6	-2.02
Steve Novak	40	40	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	3	-5	16.0	14.6	1.42	14.7	14.0	0.71
Toney Douglas	1	1	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	3	-5	6.0	15.2	-9.23	21.0	14.2	6.81
Mike Bibby	12	13	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.01	-5	6	-11	12.4	15.5	-3.09	15.3	14.1	1.21

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tracy McGrady	29	27	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.07	1	-2	3	13.3	14.7	-1.34	15.4	15.0	0.38
Jannero Pargo	24	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.08	0	-1	1	14.0	14.4	-0.39	15.6	15.0	0.57
Marvin Williams	76	77	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.36	7	-8	15	14.0	15.2	-1.25	16.1	11.7	4.41
Jeff Teague	74	73	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.13	-1	0	-1	14.4	14.0	0.39	15.0	15.6	-0.57
Ivan Johnson	32	30	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.07	-4	3	-7	13.1	14.8	-1.68	13.4	15.9	-2.55
Vladimir Radmanovic	17	16	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.11	-3	2	-5	14.4	14.2	0.19	11.9	15.8	-3.82
Kirk Hinrich	54	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-3	5	15.0	13.3	1.70	15.5	14.6	0.90
Josh Smith	72	73	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	0	-1	14.8	12.7	2.07	15.7	13.6	2.11
Joe Johnson	76	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.39	-2	1	-3	14.1	14.9	-0.78	15.2	14.9	0.35
Willie Green	36	37	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	3	-7	14.7	14.0	0.65	14.0	15.8	-1.86

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.49,0.62,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.48,0.45,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.71,0.64,0.46,0.3,0.41,0.52,0.68,0.41,0.29,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.33,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 94, PHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.52,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.66,0.61,0.48,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.43,0.33,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.46,0.55,0.55,0.34,0.09,0	91.0%
IND 105, ORL 102	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.62,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.58,0.41,0.35,0.39,0.25,0.36,0.22,0.04,0	91.0%
SAS 91, DAL 86	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.66,0.64,0.52,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.48,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.38,0.46,0.32,0.16,0	89.7%