inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Miami Heat 86 Excitement9.3 [90] MVPLeBron James (MIA): +42.6%
Chicago Bulls 96 Comeback18.9 [55] LVPDerrick Rose (CHI): -34.8%


Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LeBron James0.430,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.430.030.37-0.032455%0.534-0.10771%-0.02
Udonis Haslem0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.002100%0.0400.0000%0.00
Joel Anthony0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
Chris Bosh-0.020,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.02,-0.020.05-0.060.001653%-0.0200.00667%-0.01
Ronny Turiaf-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.05-0.010.0000%0.013-0.0700%0.00
Shane Battier-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06-0.04-0.030.00250%-0.022-0.0500%0.00
Mario Chalmers-0.110,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.10-0.03-0.02727%-0.023-0.0910%-0.01
Dwyane Wade-0.130,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,0,0.06,0.06,0.19,0,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.02-0.100.012148%-0.042-0.09250%-0.03
Mike Miller-0.140,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.15-0.06-0.07917%-0.103-0.0400%0.00

Chicago Bulls
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
CJ Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.410.410.060.34-0.011067%0.441-0.03450%-0.05
Kyle Korver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.330.330.170.200.038106%0.371-0.0400%0.00
Taj Gibson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.020.070.00952%0.131-0.043100%0.02
Luol Deng0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.03-0.00-0.021353%0.071-0.03425%-0.05
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Richard Hamilton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.030.02-0.00658%0.073-0.0700%0.00
Ronnie Brewer0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.030.02-0.00250%0.042-0.04250%-0.01
Carlos Boozer0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.000.011947%0.011-0.03250%-0.01
Joakim Noah0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00350%0.011-0.03475%-0.00
Omer Asik0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.05-0.040.0020%-0.051-0.0500%0.00
Derrick Rose0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.13,-0.15,-0.21,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.26,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35,-0.35-0.35-0.23-0.14-0.02138%-0.273-0.0800%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game25.32.732.118.826.22.641.32.615.9167.5
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.61.917.4136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
CHI +55.6%
MIA -13.8%
MIA -11.8%
CHI +5.2%
CHI +14.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMIACHINBAMIACHINBA
this game16.916.215.689.6100.0102.8
season15.516.0105.6104.7
opponent15.915.897.098.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIA16.617.617.817.712.516.9
CHI14.615.916.518.315.916.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Udonis Haslem23230.39-0.891.28-0.1117-274414.617.6-2.9915.316.5-1.23
Dwyane Wade74760.07-0.570.64-0.2511-213216.119.6-3.5116.315.90.43
Chris Bosh77790.01-0.510.53-0.135-152016.319.4-3.1016.216.6-0.50
Joel Anthony1210-0.18-0.320.130.02-7-3-419.416.52.8916.616.20.40
LeBron James8686-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.27-1-9816.421.0-4.5916.415.01.38
Mike Miller5151-0.38-0.12-0.25-0.11-9-1-816.817.0-0.2616.615.80.74
Ronny Turiaf5354-0.46-0.04-0.420.04-177-2417.516.21.2715.916.7-0.76
Mario Chalmers4948-0.530.03-0.56-0.09-155-2018.715.03.6516.516.00.48
Shane Battier5553-1.120.62-1.74-0.12-3424-5817.915.52.4816.116.4-0.24

Chicago Bulls
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
CJ Watson45471.54-1.042.580.4338-286617.315.31.9817.816.01.85
Kyle Korver30330.94-0.441.370.2324-143817.515.71.7818.216.21.93
Taj Gibson48480.75-0.251.00-0.0427-174416.715.71.0218.914.94.06
Omer Asik41390.69-0.190.89-0.0425-154016.516.10.4317.616.41.23
Richard Hamilton44460.340.160.190.37-111-1216.316.20.0616.517.2-0.66
Luol Deng80800.100.40-0.300.10010-1015.917.7-1.7416.120.6-4.49
Jimmy Butler520.040.46-0.420.07-111-1211.816.5-4.685.517.1-11.63
Ronnie Brewer3834-0.020.52-0.53-0.02010-1015.816.5-0.6617.416.60.86
Carlos Boozer5658-0.240.74-0.990.20-1525-4016.216.3-0.1516.417.6-1.24
Joakim Noah4444-0.571.07-1.640.02-2030-5015.616.8-1.2015.518.0-2.52
Derrick Rose4949-1.081.58-2.66-0.29-2737-6415.716.8-1.1616.017.8-1.85


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.44,0.42,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.66,0.51,0.42,0.37,0.46,0.4,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.61,0.72,0.91,0.58,0.54,0.86,0.84,0.94,1,1
GameSimilarity Score
ATL 76, MIN 860.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.66,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.41,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.41,0.33,0.55,0.45,0.66,0.83,0.54,0.61,0.79,0.97,1,188.6%
CHI 93, MIA 1010.5,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.43,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.45,0.27,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.4,0.47,0.31,0.45,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.45,0.72,0.77,0.98,188.5%
SAS 112, LAL 1220.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.48,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.28,0.26,0.3,0.38,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.61,0.47,0.72,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.76,0.84,0.91,1,188.3%