NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	84		Excitement	6.8 [363]		MVP	Antawn Jamison (CLE): +22.1%
Toronto Raptors	80		Comeback	18.3 [25]		LVP	Andrea Bargnani (TOR): -24.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antawn Jamison	0.22	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.12	0.01	16	62%	0.24	1	-0.02	8	75%	0.00
Lester Hudson	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12	0.08	0.02	-0.03	14	56%	0.15	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.03
Samardo Samuels	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0	-0.03	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	8	50%	-0.13
Tristan Thompson	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Omri Casspi	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	2	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Alonzo Gee	-0.03	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	10	41%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Luke Walton	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donald Sloan	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.05	-0.02	0.03	8	28%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Manny Harris	-0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.11	-0.12	0.00	8	22%	-0.18	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	16	70%	0.30	4	-0.18	8	87%	0.03
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.06
Ben Uzoh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.01	8	53%	0.01	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01
Justin Dentmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	4	30%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	3	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.04	-0.02	9	38%	-0.03	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Alan Anderson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.02	4	0%	-0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Andrea Bargnani	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.24	-0.24	-0.05	-0.17	0.02	22	40%	-0.24	0	0.00	4	50%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	2.6	32.2	18.4	27.3	2.6	41.2	145.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +3.6%

CLE +8.2%

CLE +14.5%

CLE +19.6%

CLE +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	TOR	NBA	CLE	TOR	NBA
this game	16.1	16.4	15.6	95.5	89.9	102.8
season	15.5	16.5		99.5	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.6		102.9	107.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	17.6	16.9	18.8	12.2	16.1
TOR	19.2	15.0	17.2	14.9	16.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alonzo Gee	55	54	1.01	-0.51	1.52	0.28	25	-21	46	14.4	19.0	-4.57	16.4	16.5	-0.10
Lester Hudson	59	62	0.87	-0.37	1.23	0.46	14	-10	24	15.2	17.9	-2.66	15.6	18.3	-2.68
Samardo Samuels	43	45	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.45	9	-5	14	15.2	17.0	-1.72	16.3	16.6	-0.32
Antawn Jamison	73	73	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.43	8	-4	12	15.8	17.7	-1.87	16.8	14.8	1.97
Manny Harris	60	59	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.07	3	1	2	16.0	16.3	-0.30	17.0	15.4	1.60
Donald Sloan	60	61	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.33	-10	14	-24	16.7	14.8	1.90	16.2	16.9	-0.73
Luke Walton	15	16	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	-0.05	-4	8	-12	17.7	15.8	1.87	14.8	16.8	-1.97
Tristan Thompson	43	42	-0.23	0.73	-0.97	-0.12	-4	8	-12	17.6	14.7	2.96	17.0	15.9	1.18
Omri Casspi	32	33	-0.56	1.06	-1.62	0.06	-21	25	-46	18.9	14.5	4.34	16.9	16.1	0.77

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Johnson	43	41	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.16	6	-10	16	14.6	18.1	-3.48	15.7	16.5	-0.81
Linas Kleiza	56	55	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.19	4	-8	12	14.7	19.3	-4.52	15.6	16.9	-1.32
Justin Dentmon	27	25	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	0.12	-7	3	-10	15.7	16.7	-1.04	16.2	16.1	0.12
Ed Davis	34	32	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.02	-6	2	-8	15.8	16.8	-1.07	16.0	16.2	-0.13
DeMar DeRozan	69	68	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.36	1	-5	6	16.8	15.1	1.71	16.2	15.6	0.60
Aaron Gray	36	37	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.23	-5	1	-6	18.2	15.2	2.92	17.2	15.4	1.81
Ben Uzoh	42	44	-0.46	-0.04	-0.41	-0.49	1	-5	6	15.5	17.2	-1.67	15.4	16.8	-1.41
Andrea Bargnani	64	66	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.39	-3	-1	-2	17.2	14.4	2.76	15.8	17.0	-1.12
Alan Anderson	54	53	-0.61	0.11	-0.72	-0.23	-13	9	-22	17.4	14.9	2.59	16.5	15.6	0.85

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.32,0.1,0.06,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 101, MEM 92	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.71,0.55,0.19,0.07,0.03,0,0	91.5%
MIN 98, PHX 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.53,0.33,0.19,0.11,0,0,0	90.8%
DAL 105, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.83,0.81,0.87,0.83,0.69,0.8,0.86,0.9,0.9,0.93,0.9,0.89,0.85,0.74,0.53,0.39,0.32,0.15,0.03,0.02,0	90.7%