NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	101		Excitement	6.3 [540]		MVP	Allan Houston (NYK): +13.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	92		Comeback	11.4 [127]		LVP	Jason Williams (MEM): -19.1%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Allan Houston	0.14	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.09	-0.01	22	51%	0.14	0	0.00	7	100%	0.04
Charlie Ward	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.10	0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Latrell Sprewell	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1	0.01	0.09	-0.00	19	53%	0.16	2	-0.07	5	80%	0.00
Kurt Thomas	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.02	14	56%	0.01	1	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Howard Eisley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	8	43%	-0.05	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Shandon Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	1	50%	-0.00	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Mark Jackson	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	-0.02	-0.01	8	22%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tony Massenburg	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.02	0.01	13	59%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Grant Long	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	0.01	0.04	5	110%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Stromile Swift	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	5	60%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eddie Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	7	57%	0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Will Solomon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pau Gasol	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	10	54%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	75%	-0.00
Rodney Buford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	7	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shane Battier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.05	-0.01	11	56%	0.01	3	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Jason Williams	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.11	-0.09	-0.01	16	53%	0.03	8	-0.23	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.4	22.5	15.5	28.2	1.8	29.2	125.0
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +8.2%

NYK +20.0%

MEM -5.5%

NYK +22.7%

NYK +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MEM	NBA	NYK	MEM	NBA
this game	15.3	15.7	15.6	108.6	98.9	102.3
season	15.9	15.7		99.6	96.0
opponent	15.2	15.6		103.8	103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	15.7	14.4	16.1	14.9	15.3
MEM	14.3	18.4	13.3	17.2	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Charlie Ward	32	32	0.81	-0.31	1.11	0.25	19	-10	29	14.8	15.5	-0.68	16.4	15.3	1.06
Othella Harrington	52	50	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.29	17	-8	25	15.3	15.3	-0.05	17.5	13.6	3.86
Allan Houston	87	87	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.21	14	-5	19	15.1	17.3	-2.18	15.8	14.2	1.61
Latrell Sprewell	73	73	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.29	11	-2	13	15.1	16.1	-1.10	15.0	18.1	-3.15
Kurt Thomas	79	79	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.25	6	3	3	15.0	16.7	-1.68	15.4	17.4	-1.98
Howard Eisley	18	19	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.03	3	6	-3	13.8	15.6	-1.81	17.9	15.1	2.85
Shandon Anderson	26	26	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	-0.02	-7	16	-23	16.4	14.9	1.57	17.2	15.1	2.16
Clar. Weatherspoon	54	55	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	-0.06	-8	17	-25	15.9	14.4	1.52	14.9	16.9	-2.01
Mark Jackson	44	44	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	-0.04	-10	19	-29	15.9	14.7	1.17	13.7	17.4	-3.70

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Stromile Swift	35	34	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.13	-2	-7	5	17.3	14.7	2.67	15.6	15.1	0.42
Grant Long	60	60	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.05	1	-10	11	14.0	18.7	-4.63	15.5	14.8	0.68
Will Solomon	13	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.05	0	-9	9	17.5	15.4	2.07	14.9	15.4	-0.51
Eddie Gill	11	9	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.05	-5	-4	-1	16.5	15.6	0.88	14.4	15.4	-0.94
Tony Massenburg	52	54	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.16	1	-10	11	14.1	17.7	-3.59	15.4	15.1	0.28
Rodney Buford	33	32	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.12	-8	-1	-7	17.8	14.5	3.27	15.0	15.4	-0.39
Lorenzen Wright	41	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.07	-10	1	-11	17.7	14.1	3.59	15.1	15.4	-0.28
Jason Williams	84	85	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.28	-7	-2	-5	15.3	18.9	-3.56	15.2	16.0	-0.78
Pau Gasol	56	58	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.37	-4	-5	1	15.0	16.7	-1.70	15.4	15.2	0.19
Shane Battier	80	80	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.25	-11	2	-13	15.7	15.2	0.52	15.3	15.3	-0.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.67,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.86,0.79,0.81,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.88,0.92,0.71,0.55,0.19,0.07,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 98, PHX 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.64,0.54,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.63,0.68,0.66,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.74,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.78,0.71,0.81,0.87,0.79,0.8,0.73,0.79,0.53,0.33,0.19,0.11,0,0,0	92.1%
CLE 84, TOR 80	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.71,0.82,0.85,0.83,0.91,0.92,0.95,0.91,0.76,0.77,0.64,0.46,0.54,0.32,0.1,0.06,0.05,0	91.5%
SAS 105, GSW 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.04,0	91.1%