NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	105		Excitement	7.2 [353]		MVP	Erick Dampier (GSW): +11.4%
Golden State Warriors	96		Comeback	6.4 [400]		LVP	Joe Smith (GSW): -15.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chuck Person	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.04	-0.00	10	70%	0.17	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	12	52%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
David Robinson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.04	0.03	18	55%	0.05	2	-0.04	6	50%	-0.03
Monty Williams	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	4	60%	0.07	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tim Duncan	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0	0.10	-0.08	0.03	25	59%	-0.00	0	0.00	8	75%	-0.01
Carl Herrera	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	9	55%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Reggie Geary	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Will Perdue	-0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	67%	-0.02	3	-0.08	2	0%	-0.05
Vinny Del Negro	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Erick Dampier	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.01	10	67%	0.11	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
David Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brian Shaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duane Ferrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.05	0.02	-0.03	9	40%	0.01	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tony Delk	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.12	-0.02	16	60%	0.11	3	-0.19	3	67%	-0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.06	0.02	20	49%	-0.02	1	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16	-0.16	-0.04	-0.09	0.02	16	44%	-0.09	1	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.2	2.0	28.0	14.8	25.3	2.6	31.0	123.9
league avg	29.9	2.8	36.8	15.6	26.0	2.1	43.0	157.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +18.5%

GSW -4.8%

SAS +35.5%

SAS +4.2%

GSW -3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	GSW	NBA	SAS	GSW	NBA
this game	16.7	14.8	15.6	115.4	104.3	102.5
season	15.9	15.6		100.9	92.9
opponent	15.0	15.9		102.8	97.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	18.4	15.6	16.6	16.2	16.7
GSW	15.0	13.8	15.5	15.0	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	69	69	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.26	19	-10	29	17.2	15.0	2.13	15.7	12.3	3.30
Jaren Jackson	56	58	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.33	10	-1	11	17.1	16.0	1.07	14.4	15.6	-1.26
Chuck Person	50	49	0.63	-0.13	0.75	0.30	11	-2	13	15.8	17.7	-1.91	14.3	15.4	-1.03
Avery Johnson	83	83	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.24	11	-2	13	16.6	17.5	-0.92	14.8	15.2	-0.44
Will Perdue	44	47	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.09	2	7	-5	17.5	15.9	1.63	14.8	14.9	-0.08
Tim Duncan	80	79	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.00	2	7	-5	16.5	17.5	-0.90	15.1	13.3	1.77
Reggie Geary	8	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	-0.01	-2	11	-13	17.5	16.6	0.92	15.2	14.8	0.44
Carl Herrera	5	5	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	13	-17	14.4	16.8	-2.39	3.6	15.5	-11.87
Monty Williams	25	27	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	12	-15	16.3	16.8	-0.52	15.0	14.8	0.25
Vinny Del Negro	35	34	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.10	-1	10	-11	16.0	17.1	-1.07	15.6	14.4	1.26

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Vaughn	13	12	0.14	-0.64	0.77	-0.01	5	-14	19	16.0	14.6	1.37	15.3	16.9	-1.53
Brian Shaw	24	25	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.00	2	-11	13	15.4	14.6	0.80	18.4	16.0	2.34
Todd Fuller	31	31	-0.06	-0.44	0.39	0.00	-2	-7	5	13.4	15.6	-2.17	15.3	17.4	-2.13
Adonal Foyle	26	27	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	0.06	-5	-4	-1	17.0	14.0	2.98	16.2	16.8	-0.62
Joe Smith	68	67	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-6	3	14.1	16.9	-2.83	17.2	15.0	2.20
Duane Ferrell	76	74	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	14.7	15.5	-0.82	16.1	19.1	-3.02
Erick Dampier	58	57	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	0	-9	15.1	14.4	0.75	17.5	15.3	2.18
Tony Delk	84	83	-0.61	0.11	-0.73	-0.23	-13	4	-17	14.8	15.2	-0.46	16.7	16.7	-0.10
Donyell Marshall	80	79	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.24	-13	4	-17	14.9	14.2	0.76	16.5	17.8	-1.35

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.4,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.85,0.78,0.76,0.76,0.77,0.82,0.66,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.2,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHH 92, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.55,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.69,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.73,0.61,0.4,0.25,0.34,0.11,0,0	92.3%
HOU 98, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.39,0.37,0.4,0.31,0.35,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.68,0.56,0.66,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.72,0.64,0.54,0.33,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.17,0	91.8%
SAC 109, MIN 105	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.56,0.49,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.62,0.73,0.67,0.81,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.46,0.27,0.32,0.15,0.15,0.27,0	91.8%