NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	8.5 [142]		MVP	Steve Nash (PHX): +49.4%
Utah Jazz	105		Comeback	1.5 [284]		LVP	Shannon Brown (PHX): -9.8%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.49	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.11,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.49	0.01	0.44	-0.04	9	72%	0.57	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Michael Redd	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18	0.06	0.12	0.00	17	54%	0.21	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.05	0.06	-0.00	6	64%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Channing Frye	0.09	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,-0.05,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.00	13	50%	0.13	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Markieff Morris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	61%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Marcin Gortat	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.00	-0.00	10	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.02
Josh Childress	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Dudley	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	10	43%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	0%	-0.06
Robin Lopez	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	5	41%	-0.02	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Shannon Brown	-0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	-0.00	14	35%	-0.08	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Jefferson	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.36	0.36	0.03	0.32	-0.00	15	50%	0.36	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.08,0.08,0.21	0.21	0.06	0.14	-0.01	15	66%	0.33	4	-0.12	8	87%	-0.06
Gordon Hayward	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.11	0.04	-0.01	11	80%	0.19	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.00
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	7	56%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.02
Earl Watson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Enes Kanter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	2	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.03	-0.05	0.00	4	42%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	6	43%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
CJ Miles	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.10	0.01	18	54%	-0.02	3	-0.08	5	60%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.2	1.8	32.2	15.7	24.2	1.8	35.5	132.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +60.6%

UTA -24.9%

PHX +3.7%

PHX +12.0%

UTA -1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	UTA	NBA	PHX	UTA	NBA
this game	15.1	14.9	15.6	111.5	109.4	102.8
season	15.0	15.8		104.7	104.0
opponent	15.1	15.7		104.7	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	15.4	13.7	16.9	15.1
UTA	14.8	14.0	15.7	15.1	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Redd	43	42	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.46	11	-9	20	15.5	14.8	0.65	14.8	14.9	-0.11
Robin Lopez	36	36	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-6	14	15.0	15.2	-0.21	15.1	14.7	0.39
Sebastian Telfair	33	32	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.11	13	-11	24	14.2	15.6	-1.41	15.3	14.7	0.62
Markieff Morris	37	35	0.43	0.07	0.37	0.11	11	-9	20	15.3	15.0	0.27	14.9	14.9	0.03
Josh Childress	23	23	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-8	18	14.1	15.4	-1.28	16.0	14.5	1.45
Marcin Gortat	60	60	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	8	-14	15.2	15.0	0.21	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Jared Dudley	74	73	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.37	-10	12	-22	15.3	14.4	0.90	14.5	16.0	-1.45
Channing Frye	59	61	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.30	-9	11	-20	15.0	15.3	-0.27	14.9	14.9	-0.03
Steve Nash	63	64	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.26	-11	13	-24	15.6	14.2	1.41	14.7	15.3	-0.62
Shannon Brown	52	54	-0.17	0.67	-0.84	0.04	-7	9	-16	14.9	15.3	-0.35	14.9	14.8	0.11

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Al Jefferson	72	73	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.11	7	-9	16	15.2	13.9	1.36	15.6	13.4	2.20
Earl Watson	53	52	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.32	8	-10	18	15.0	14.7	0.32	14.8	15.5	-0.69
Derrick Favors	32	31	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.02	-7	5	-12	14.1	15.3	-1.20	14.2	15.6	-1.39
Enes Kanter	18	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.02	-8	6	-14	15.7	14.7	0.95	13.2	15.6	-2.36
Gordon Hayward	78	79	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.43	5	-7	12	14.7	15.6	-0.81	15.6	12.9	2.70
Paul Millsap	69	69	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.48	6	-8	14	14.9	14.9	0.06	15.5	14.1	1.38
CJ Miles	76	74	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.42	3	-5	8	14.6	16.0	-1.39	15.5	13.9	1.61
Alec Burks	38	39	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.03	-12	10	-22	15.8	14.3	1.48	13.4	16.2	-2.81
Jamaal Tinsley	44	44	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.37	-12	10	-22	14.4	15.3	-0.90	15.5	14.8	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.42,0.42,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.42,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.31,0.3,0.22,0.36,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.52,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.24,0.23,0.14,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.24,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 91, ATL 80	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.35,0.26,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.44,0.51,0.36,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.05,0.14,0.07,0.02,0,0	92.4%
ATL 76, MIA 73	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.52,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.35,0.36,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.3,0.38,0.25,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.11,0.04,0	92.4%
MIL 101, NYK 96	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.55,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.46,0.47,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.39,0.32,0.31,0.3,0.37,0.32,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.32,0.05,0	92.2%