inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 93 Excitement8.7 [127] MVPShane Battier (MIA): +17.9%
Miami Heat 98 Comeback2.8 [481] LVPKendrick Perkins (OKC): -15.6%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nick Collison0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.030.00267%0.0600.002100%0.02
Nazr Mohammed0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.010.002100%0.0500.0000%0.00
Daequan Cook0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
James Harden-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,00.02-0.05-0.021152%0.051-0.051100%0.01
Derek Fisher-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.030.01-0.00425%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Thabo Sefolosha-0.040,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.03-0.02-0.01450%0.022-0.0600%0.00
Kevin Durant-0.080,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0.01,-0.05,0,0,0.08,-0.03,-0.08-0.03-0.040.012162%0.229-0.306100%0.04
Serge Ibaka-0.090,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.02-0.050.01633%-0.0900.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook-0.110,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.01,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.03-0.09-0.012646%0.034-0.149100%0.06
Kendrick Perkins-0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.16-0.07-0.080.00325%-0.112-0.0520%-0.12

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shane Battier0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.11,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.180.180.060.120.00764%0.1800.0000%0.00
LeBron James0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.28,0.28,0.35,0.28,0.16,0.140.140.16-0.020.002064%0.292-0.151385%0.02
Terrel Harris0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.000.03-0.00275%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Joel Anthony0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.010.001100%0.0300.0000%0.00
James Jones00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Udonis Haslem0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.00-0.01-0.00543%-0.0100.004100%0.02
Chris Bosh0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.100.05-0.001437%0.033-0.074100%0.03
Norris Cole0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0030%-0.0500.0000%0.00
Ronny Turiaf0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Mario Chalmers0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.070.03-0.090.011154%-0.041-0.022100%0.01
Dwyane Wade0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14-0.14-0.11-0.05-0.021845%-0.015-0.13683%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.83.436.818.533.82.737.6160.6
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIA +11.9%
MIA +9.3%
OKC -3.4%
MIA +27.4%
MIA +4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCMIANBAOKCMIANBA
this game14.016.315.697.9103.2102.8
season14.715.5107.9105.6
opponent15.815.898.8101.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.912.315.713.314.0
MIA13.416.015.621.016.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Daequan Cook990.13-0.630.76-0.056-111712.614.2-1.6216.416.30.17
Nick Collison32340.09-0.590.68-0.148-132115.213.41.7116.516.20.27
Nazr Mohammed19190.03-0.530.55-0.125-101515.013.81.2215.216.6-1.36
Derek Fisher3032-0.00-0.500.50-0.155-101515.513.42.1116.516.20.31
Serge Ibaka4846-0.20-0.300.10-0.231-6714.413.70.6716.416.20.19
Thabo Sefolosha4445-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.02-105-1513.114.8-1.6514.817.6-2.80
James Harden6565-0.44-0.06-0.39-0.33-4-1-313.914.4-0.5117.014.72.28
Russell Westbrook8078-0.510.01-0.51-0.24-94-1313.616.1-2.4316.714.62.08
Kendrick Perkins6361-0.590.09-0.68-0.21-138-2113.415.2-1.7116.216.5-0.27
Kevin Durant8586-0.690.19-0.89-0.28-149-2314.212.51.7016.316.4-0.17

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
LeBron James82820.90-0.401.300.3120-153515.918.5-2.6014.312.02.34
Dwyane Wade74770.490.010.480.287-2916.415.90.5613.815.2-1.41
Shane Battier63640.440.060.380.2950517.314.23.1313.714.7-1.02
Mario Chalmers68680.380.120.250.119-41316.615.60.9814.313.31.06
Chris Bosh66660.250.250.000.37-49-1316.017.0-1.0614.313.40.87
Udonis Haslem52500.140.36-0.220.32-611-1716.915.51.4313.514.6-1.14
Ronny Turiaf32320.120.38-0.250.0432115.216.8-1.6214.014.0-0.08
Joel Anthony1514-0.020.52-0.540.01-16-714.316.7-2.4114.913.90.98
James Jones55-0.050.55-0.590.01-27-915.016.4-1.3711.214.2-2.98
Terrel Harris87-0.060.56-0.63-0.00-27-917.516.21.3211.914.2-2.34
Norris Cole1010-0.090.59-0.680.03-49-1314.716.5-1.7816.413.72.66


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.26,0.34,0.42,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.61,0.55,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.78,0.66,0.57,0.48,0.47,0.64,0.65,0.82,0.62,0.79,0.68,0.85,1
GameSimilarity Score
SEA 93, PHX 990.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.95,192.4%
IND 93, MIL 980.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.37,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.96,191.9%
GSW 87, POR 920.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.98,191.8%