NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	93		Excitement	7.3 [200]		MVP	Dale Ellis (SEA): +10.4%
Phoenix Suns	99		Comeback	1.9 [421]		LVP	Gary Payton (SEA): -17.5%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Ellis	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.03	0.06	-0.02	4	62%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.03	0.02	14	67%	0.16	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.01
Olden Polynice	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Don MacLean	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	14	50%	-0.00	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Hersey Hawkins	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	8	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Vin Baker	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.06	-0.08	0.02	8	59%	0.00	4	-0.16	6	83%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.21,-0.17,-0.18	-0.13	-0.08	-0.03	21	42%	-0.01	3	-0.16	8	37%	-0.06

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clifford Robinson	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.06	0.00	16	57%	0.13	1	-0.03	8	87%	0.03
Rex Chapman	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.00	10	52%	0.14	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	13	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tom Gugliotta	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.01	20	60%	0.17	4	-0.13	5	60%	-0.01
Joe Kleine	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	62%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Chris Morris	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pat Garrity	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	1	150%	0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
George McCloud	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	3	14%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.06	0.01	16	39%	-0.11	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.3	2.6	28.3	19.4	24.3	2.4	37.3	137.6
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA -3.8%

PHX +16.5%

PHX +16.4%

PHX +18.2%

PHX +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	PHX	NBA	SEA	PHX	NBA
this game	16.2	17.1	15.8	106.9	115.1	99.6
season	15.4	15.3		102.4	102.7
opponent	15.9	15.9		101.3	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	16.2	15.8	15.6	17.4	16.2
PHX	16.5	14.9	17.1	20.5	17.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	34	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.11	-2	-4	2	18.0	15.1	2.91	18.0	16.6	1.38
Dale Ellis	34	33	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.16	-4	-2	-2	17.1	15.6	1.51	15.8	17.9	-2.04
Don MacLean	65	66	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-2	-2	16.0	16.8	-0.83	16.8	17.9	-1.10
Hersey Hawkins	65	67	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.18	-5	-1	-4	15.6	18.0	-2.42	16.5	19.2	-2.70
Vin Baker	72	68	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.31	-4	-2	-2	16.0	17.3	-1.37	18.8	10.6	8.21
Gary Payton	87	86	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.32	-6	0	-6	16.2	0.0	16.20	17.1	0.0	17.10
Detlef Schrempf	78	78	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	-1	-4	15.9	18.6	-2.63	16.5	22.9	-6.36

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tom Gugliotta	68	68	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.27	11	-5	16	16.1	21.1	-5.00	16.2	16.3	-0.09
Rex Chapman	65	65	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.31	9	-3	12	16.3	19.5	-3.20	15.8	17.4	-1.56
Danny Manning	52	52	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.25	10	-4	14	16.9	17.4	-0.56	16.4	15.9	0.57
Jason Kidd	86	87	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.32	6	0	6	17.1	0.0	17.10	16.2	0.0	16.20
Clifford Robinson	80	82	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.34	2	4	-2	17.4	13.5	3.88	16.3	13.8	2.54
Pat Garrity	15	16	0.01	0.49	-0.47	-0.01	1	5	-4	16.9	17.1	-0.21	13.5	16.8	-3.30
Chris Morris	8	8	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.03	-2	8	-10	25.5	16.2	9.26	20.2	15.8	4.47
Joe Kleine	34	35	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	0.07	-4	10	-14	17.4	16.9	0.56	15.9	16.4	-0.57
George McCloud	22	22	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	9	-12	18.7	16.5	2.18	17.4	15.8	1.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 88, CHA 99	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.5,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.44,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.67,0.61,0.51,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.59,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.56,0.51,0.72,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.76,0.79,0.91,1,1	93.7%
LAL 109, PHX 118	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,1,1	92.9%
BOS 77, MIL 86	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.51,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.68,0.79,0.81,0.9,0.93,0.79,0.77,0.95,1	92.9%