NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	109		Excitement	6.6 [473]		MVP	Amar'e Stoudemire (PHX): +36.9%
Phoenix Suns	118		Comeback	1.9 [645]		LVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): -16.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derek Fisher	0.14	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	11	72%	0.19	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Pau Gasol	0.13	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.15	0.02	0.04	14	77%	0.17	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.00
Kobe Bryant	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.06,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	24	64%	0.28	5	-0.16	8	100%	0.08
Andrew Bynum	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Josh Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.04	0.01	13	43%	-0.02	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Farmar	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.03	-0.06	-0.00	3	50%	-0.00	2	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.06	-0.05	0.03	7	36%	-0.06	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Odom	-0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.1,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.14	-0.02	0.01	14	31%	-0.07	3	-0.09	4	50%	-0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.23	0.18	0.04	22	68%	0.40	2	-0.03	18	78%	0.04
Robin Lopez	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.17	0.07	0.01	10	83%	0.23	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Jason Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.12	0.04	0.05	15	61%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jared Dudley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.03	-0.02	4	40%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grant Hill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	50%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Lou Amundson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.04	0.06	10	63%	0.01	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.01
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	0.00	4	20%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Goran Dragic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	46%	-0.00	2	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Channing Frye	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.00	7	7%	-0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.2	3.4	30.4	0.1	32.0	2.8	39.2	136.1
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -4.4%

PHX +17.1%

LAL -6.7%

PHX +41.8%

PHX +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	PHX	NBA	LAL	PHX	NBA
this game	15.5	13.7	15.3	109.0	121.6	106.0
season	15.7	14.4		107.9	113.5
opponent	15.5	15.1		109.0	103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.7	18.2	15.7	13.0	15.5
PHX	12.0	13.7	15.0	14.2	13.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shannon Brown	43	42	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.14	7	-16	23	13.7	16.9	-3.27	14.1	13.3	0.79
Andrew Bynum	15	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	0.09	-5	-4	-1	17.5	15.2	2.27	13.3	13.7	-0.48
Jordan Farmar	22	21	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.06	0	-9	9	14.3	15.9	-1.57	15.5	13.2	2.31
Josh Powell	2	1	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.03	-2	-7	5	18.0	15.5	2.51	18.0	13.6	4.37
Derek Fisher	78	76	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.17	-9	0	-9	15.9	14.3	1.57	13.2	15.5	-2.31
Metta World Peace	85	82	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.21	-8	-1	-7	16.0	13.1	2.83	13.5	14.3	-0.78
Lamar Odom	70	69	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.19	-9	0	-9	16.3	13.7	2.58	13.8	13.2	0.59
Pau Gasol	95	92	-0.47	-0.04	-0.43	-0.26	-7	-2	-5	15.3	20.6	-5.33	13.7	12.6	1.13
Kobe Bryant	90	87	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.21	-12	3	-15	15.3	17.4	-2.07	13.4	16.1	-2.71

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Richardson	73	73	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.21	17	-8	25	13.2	15.1	-1.93	16.5	12.9	3.68
Robin Lopez	60	61	0.70	-0.20	0.89	0.14	19	-10	29	13.5	13.9	-0.40	16.2	14.4	1.81
Steve Nash	77	77	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	-4	17	13.3	14.9	-1.61	16.1	13.6	2.56
Amar'e Stoudemire	86	87	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.16	14	-5	19	13.3	16.5	-3.14	15.5	15.8	-0.26
Grant Hill	60	60	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.06	14	-5	19	13.1	14.6	-1.58	16.1	14.6	1.48
Jared Dudley	39	42	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.21	-6	15	-21	13.9	13.5	0.47	14.4	16.4	-2.04
Lou Amundson	11	13	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.08	-5	14	-19	16.5	13.3	3.14	15.8	15.5	0.26
Goran Dragic	20	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.71	0.01	-4	13	-17	14.9	13.3	1.61	13.6	16.1	-2.56
Channing Frye	35	37	-0.20	0.70	-0.89	0.07	-9	18	-27	14.7	13.1	1.54	14.8	16.0	-1.24
Leandro Barbosa	24	27	-0.21	0.71	-0.92	0.03	-8	17	-25	15.1	13.2	1.93	12.9	16.5	-3.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.49,0.44,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.7,0.68,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.69,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, MIN 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.66,0.63,0.6,0.52,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.74,0.81,0.86,0.9,0.98,0.99,0.99,1	93.1%
SEA 93, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.95,1	92.9%
VAN 92, CHH 98	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.59,0.64,0.67,0.75,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.56,0.59,0.88,0.83,0.81,0.89,0.98,0.99,1	92.9%