NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	109		Excitement	6.4 [427]		MVP	DeMarcus Cousins (SAC): +22.3%
Sacramento Kings	100		Comeback	1.2 [669]		LVP	Charles Hayes (SAC): -13.0%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Steve Nash	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.08	0.01	12	69%	0.19	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Michael Redd	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.03	-0.01	14	55%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jared Dudley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.00	9	65%	0.12	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.01
Marcin Gortat	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.03	0.03	11	69%	0.15	2	-0.05	7	86%	-0.00
Robin Lopez	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.01	0.05	-0.03	3	60%	0.11	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.03
Channing Frye	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	16	43%	0.08	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Josh Childress	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	0.00	0.01	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shannon Brown	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.02	-0.02	14	40%	0.03	3	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Sebastian Telfair	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.00	-0.00	3	25%	-0.01	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.03
Markieff Morris	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.04	-0.00	3	12%	-0.07	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.24,0.29,0.24,0.28,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.19	0.08	0.05	25	64%	0.32	2	-0.10	14	64%	-0.02
Travis Outlaw	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.08	-0.00	0.05	13	68%	0.12	3	-0.09	11	73%	-0.02
Terrence Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.05	-0.02	0.02	10	67%	0.09	2	-0.07	4	50%	-0.02
Hassan Whiteside	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jason Thompson	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donte Greene	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jimmer Fredette	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	6	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyreke Evans	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.10	-0.02	0.00	13	30%	-0.08	2	-0.04	1	0%	-0.02
Charles Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	7	14%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.4	1.6	32.7	14.8	27.4	2.4	32.5	135.8
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +38.4%

PHX +9.6%

PHX +0.8%

PHX +3.2%

SAC -2.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	14.6	14.2	15.6	107.9	101.0	102.8
season	15.0	14.9		104.7	102.2
opponent	15.1	15.7		107.9	104.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.0	13.0	14.1	18.3	14.6
SAC	13.7	13.2	14.1	16.0	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Channing Frye	71	69	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.14	13	-4	17	15.2	13.3	1.94	14.0	14.5	-0.49
Steve Nash	67	66	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.06	13	-4	17	14.9	14.2	0.64	14.2	14.1	0.11
Shannon Brown	66	64	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.27	5	4	1	15.2	13.6	1.58	13.9	14.6	-0.72
Jared Dudley	77	76	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.14	7	2	5	14.8	14.1	0.67	14.1	14.5	-0.47
Marcin Gortat	66	67	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.02	10	-1	11	14.3	15.2	-0.87	14.2	14.1	0.15
Josh Childress	28	28	0.29	0.21	0.09	-0.00	10	-1	11	15.3	14.4	0.90	15.4	13.7	1.67
Robin Lopez	31	29	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.19	0	9	-9	13.9	15.0	-1.05	14.1	14.2	-0.08
Sebastian Telfair	34	33	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	13	-17	14.2	14.9	-0.64	14.1	14.2	-0.11
Markieff Morris	30	30	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.09	-4	13	-17	13.3	15.2	-1.94	14.5	14.0	0.49
Michael Redd	35	33	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	0.09	-5	14	-19	13.9	15.0	-1.06	13.8	14.3	-0.47

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jason Thompson	37	39	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.09	1	-10	11	13.6	14.5	-0.91	14.1	15.0	-0.91
Travis Outlaw	39	39	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.01	-4	-5	1	14.6	13.9	0.66	13.5	15.4	-1.91
Donte Greene	28	28	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	0.07	-8	-1	-7	13.5	14.4	-0.97	14.3	14.8	-0.43
DeMarcus Cousins	75	77	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.28	3	-12	15	14.2	14.0	0.27	15.5	12.0	3.45
Jimmer Fredette	25	25	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	0.01	-7	-2	-5	14.0	14.2	-0.22	15.2	14.4	0.81
Hassan Whiteside	24	24	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.04	-12	3	-15	14.0	14.2	-0.27	12.0	15.5	-3.45
Isaiah Thomas	79	81	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.30	-1	-8	7	14.1	14.6	-0.55	15.0	13.0	1.97
Tyreke Evans	67	69	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.31	-1	-8	7	14.1	14.3	-0.18	15.3	13.1	2.21
Terrence Williams	63	65	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-6	3	14.3	13.8	0.52	14.7	14.6	0.08
Charles Hayes	58	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	4	-17	14.7	13.4	1.23	14.3	15.1	-0.84

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.42,0.19,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, ATL 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.36,0.34,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.18,0.24,0.39,0.23,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.2,0.18,0.19,0.21,0.26,0.23,0.18,0.24,0.33,0.28,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.47,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.09,0	93.1%
CLE 109, NJN 99	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.02,0,0	93.0%
MIN 108, VAN 97	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.35,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.37,0.31,0.08,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	92.6%