NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	109		Excitement	7.0 [243]		MVP	Lucious Harris (NJN): +11.3%
New Jersey Nets	99		Comeback	1.4 [474]		LVP	Kerry Kittles (NJN): -15.0%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Ferry	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.00	-0.00	5	82%	0.07	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Corie Blount	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.02	-0.02	5	58%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Johnny Newman	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	5	58%	0.05	0	0.00	9	44%	-0.11
Derek Anderson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05	0.03	0.05	0.04	9	60%	0.09	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Kemp	0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.05	0.01	14	58%	0.05	0	0.00	17	71%	-0.03
Andrew DeClercq	0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	0.01	0.02	3	100%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Brevin Knight	-0.03	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.03	0.02	15	53%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Bob Sura	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Wesley Person	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	9	46%	-0.03	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.04

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lucious Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	4	80%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mark Hendrickson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	3	75%	0.03	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jamie Feick	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	80%	0.06	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.05
Elliot Perry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Williams	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.06	-0.05	0.04	9	76%	0.05	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.02
William Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kendall Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	4	20%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Chris Carr	0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.08	-0.03	-0.02	17	49%	0.10	4	-0.18	5	80%	-0.01
Stephon Marbury	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	20	57%	0.07	7	-0.17	6	100%	0.04
Kerry Kittles	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.09	-0.05	0.00	12	31%	-0.11	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	29.7	15.3	29.5	2.5	33.4	137.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +23.0%

CLE +1.2%

NJN -4.7%

CLE +29.0%

CLE +1.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NJN	NBA	CLE	NJN	NBA
this game	16.0	14.7	15.8	116.0	105.3	99.6
season	16.3	15.0		97.3	96.5
opponent	15.6	16.2		100.6	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	15.6	14.3	15.7	18.7	16.0
NJN	15.7	14.0	14.3	14.9	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Corie Blount	34	34	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.20	16	-6	22	17.2	15.3	1.91	14.8	14.6	0.22
Shawn Kemp	74	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.26	10	0	10	16.3	14.7	1.53	14.7	14.7	-0.02
Derek Anderson	48	48	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.20	12	-2	14	16.9	15.0	1.96	14.4	15.0	-0.67
Brevin Knight	66	67	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.26	5	5	0	16.3	15.0	1.31	14.7	14.7	-0.08
Johnny Newman	44	45	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.19	6	4	2	17.2	14.9	2.30	14.1	15.2	-1.14
Danny Ferry	35	34	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.03	6	4	2	14.5	16.8	-2.34	13.6	15.3	-1.62
Bob Sura	24	24	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	7	-4	14.8	16.4	-1.57	14.6	14.7	-0.13
Cedric Henderson	53	52	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	12	-14	14.8	17.5	-2.67	15.0	14.3	0.71
Andrew DeClercq	37	37	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	0.01	-3	13	-16	15.8	16.1	-0.29	15.4	14.2	1.19
Wesley Person	55	55	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.04	-3	13	-16	15.2	17.1	-1.91	15.3	13.8	1.47

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lucious Harris	21	22	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.02	5	-15	20	15.1	14.6	0.53	16.4	15.8	0.59
Kendall Gill	38	38	0.10	-0.60	0.71	0.05	2	-12	14	14.9	14.5	0.45	15.6	16.2	-0.59
Elliot Perry	6	6	0.02	-0.52	0.55	-0.04	2	-12	14	13.2	14.8	-1.62	18.2	15.8	2.36
Mark Hendrickson	25	27	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	0.12	-7	-3	-4	14.0	14.9	-0.93	17.1	15.5	1.67
William Cunningham	7	9	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.10	-10	0	-10	13.3	14.8	-1.51	12.8	16.3	-3.52
Jamie Feick	68	65	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.33	3	-13	16	14.5	15.3	-0.81	15.9	16.1	-0.21
Kerry Kittles	77	77	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.28	-6	-4	-2	14.8	14.2	0.62	16.0	15.6	0.38
Stephon Marbury	88	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.17	-12	2	-14	14.8	13.2	1.62	15.8	18.2	-2.36
Chris Carr	68	67	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.15	-15	5	-20	14.5	15.0	-0.49	15.7	16.7	-1.00
Jayson Williams	72	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.30	-12	2	-14	15.0	13.6	1.42	16.2	15.2	1.04

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.24,0.25,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.31,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.2,0.33,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.27,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.46,0.22,0.1,0.03,0.02,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 101, LAC 87	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.53,0.5,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.37,0.41,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.27,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.24,0.26,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.44,0.32,0.41,0.4,0.18,0.09,0.02,0,0,0	93.1%
PHX 109, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.19,0.15,0.2,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.24,0.21,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.34,0.33,0.47,0.42,0.19,0.14,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%
DAL 90, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.2,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.2,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.14,0.04,0.03,0,0,0	92.3%