NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	86		Excitement	6.4 [429]		MVP	Kevin Love (MIN): +14.6%
Memphis Grizzlies	93		Comeback	3.4 [460]		LVP	Derrick Williams (MIN): -9.9%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15	0.09	0.09	0.03	22	58%	0.19	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Wayne Ellington	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.04	0.10	0.01	0.06	10	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Brad Miller	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Michael Beasley	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Johnson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	7	43%	-0.00	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Tolliver	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Ridnour	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	13	35%	-0.05	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Lee	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Martell Webster	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09	-0.03	-0.07	-0.02	10	41%	-0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Williams	-0.10	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	15	39%	-0.04	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.01

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dante Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.07	0.01	-0.02	9	65%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marreese Speights	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	11	75%	0.19	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Zach Randolph	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	6	57%	0.08	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Tony Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.01	12	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.01
O.J. Mayo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.06	0.03	-0.00	6	37%	0.02	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Mike Conley	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	9	50%	0.00	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Quincy Pondexter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	20	45%	0.06	3	-0.11	7	100%	0.06
Jeremy Pargo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	2.4	28.8	15.8	24.5	2.6	31.6	128.5
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +4.7%

MEM +23.1%

MEM +25.9%

MIN -3.3%

MIN -0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	MEM	NBA	MIN	MEM	NBA
this game	16.7	14.7	15.6	94.5	101.1	102.8
season	15.3	15.6		102.6	102.0
opponent	15.7	15.1		100.1	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	17.1	16.7	16.7	16.5	16.7
MEM	14.9	15.3	15.3	13.5	14.7

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.41,0.32,0.44,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.8,0.68,0.69,0.81,0.97,0.97,0.99,0.99,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 89, NYK 95	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.67,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.35,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.44,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.99,0.99,1,1	92.9%
CHI 81, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.67,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.38,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.76,0.58,0.83,0.84,0.78,0.93,1,1,0.98,1	92.9%
SAS 89, DAL 95	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.59,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.71,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.93,0.98,0.99,1,1,1	92.6%