NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	94		Excitement	8.4 [162]		MVP	O.J. Mayo (MEM): +18.2%
Denver Nuggets	91		Comeback	2.3 [201]		LVP	Nene (DEN): -22.1%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
O.J. Mayo	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.18	0.04	0.14	-0.01	14	73%	0.40	6	-0.21	2	50%	-0.02
Dante Cunningham	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	6	75%	0.19	2	-0.08	4	100%	0.05
Tony Allen	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	5	77%	0.11	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.02
Mike Conley	0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.04	8	72%	0.12	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.02
Quincy Pondexter	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	7	64%	0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Hamed Haddadi	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	60%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Sam Young	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Gasol	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	7	41%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Marreese Speights	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.04	0.00	10	36%	-0.03	1	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Rudy Gay	-0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16,-0.21,-0.21,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.16	-0.04	-0.01	13	24%	-0.11	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Hamilton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Corey Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.00	13	48%	0.01	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.04
Kenneth Faried	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	0.01	6	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	67%	0.03	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Ty Lawson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	0.01	-0.01	4	62%	0.15	6	-0.23	0	0%	0.00
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.07	-0.00	12	54%	0.05	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.07	0.00	6	44%	-0.05	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Andre Miller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	12	50%	0.11	6	-0.25	4	100%	0.04
Nene	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.06,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.17,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.13	0.00	13	44%	-0.08	4	-0.14	8	87%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.0	1.6	28.9	15.7	28.6	2.3	32.6	136.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +68.0%

DEN -6.9%

DEN -34.5%

MEM +23.4%

DEN -0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	DEN	NBA	MEM	DEN	NBA
this game	15.4	14.1	15.6	95.9	93.8	102.8
season	15.6	14.5		102.0	107.5
opponent	15.8	15.7		104.5	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.6	19.1	16.0	14.5	15.4
DEN	15.7	13.6	13.4	13.8	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
O.J. Mayo	71	69	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.33	8	-5	13	16.4	12.7	3.65	13.9	14.7	-0.75
Quincy Pondexter	59	57	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.26	10	-7	17	15.6	15.1	0.52	14.1	14.2	-0.05
Hamed Haddadi	26	25	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.10	12	-9	21	15.7	15.3	0.41	14.6	14.0	0.61
Dante Cunningham	58	56	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.33	1	2	-1	14.9	16.0	-1.12	14.2	14.1	0.08
Mike Conley	66	68	0.31	0.19	0.13	0.34	-1	4	-5	14.7	16.8	-2.07	14.4	13.6	0.85
Marc Gasol	57	55	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.26	-4	7	-11	15.5	15.2	0.33	14.7	13.4	1.30
Marreese Speights	48	51	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.11	0	3	-3	14.9	15.9	-1.00	13.6	14.8	-1.17
Tony Allen	39	39	0.03	0.47	-0.43	0.18	-5	8	-13	14.0	16.3	-2.31	13.8	14.4	-0.54
Sam Young	1	1	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.06	-2	5	-7	26.0	15.3	10.72	7.0	14.2	-7.22
Rudy Gay	65	64	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.09	-4	7	-11	16.0	14.2	1.82	14.2	14.1	0.13

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jordan Hamilton	9	9	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.03	-2	-1	-1	15.2	14.0	1.19	16.0	15.3	0.67
Danilo Gallinari	44	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.10	0	-3	3	14.6	13.8	0.82	15.4	15.4	0.03
Chris Andersen	39	43	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.09	-3	0	-3	13.3	14.7	-1.36	15.4	15.4	0.01
Ty Lawson	63	62	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.31	3	-6	9	14.5	13.4	1.13	14.7	16.6	-1.93
Corey Brewer	59	62	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.20	-1	-2	1	13.4	15.3	-1.88	15.5	15.1	0.39
Al Harrington	59	63	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.37	4	-7	11	13.9	14.6	-0.71	15.2	15.7	-0.51
Nene	52	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.36	2	-5	7	14.7	13.5	1.26	15.9	14.9	1.02
Arron Afflalo	64	64	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.34	0	-3	3	13.9	14.6	-0.65	15.8	14.5	1.31
Kenneth Faried	36	34	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	0.06	-14	11	-25	14.7	13.8	0.96	13.9	16.2	-2.22
Andre Miller	60	62	-0.51	0.01	-0.52	-0.40	-4	1	-5	14.1	14.2	-0.03	16.0	14.4	1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.58,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.21,0.18,0.33,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.33,0.23,0.26,0.19,0.22,0.26,0.22,0.23,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 101, CHI 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.47,0.56,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.28,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.17,0.19,0.29,0.15,0.15,0	92.3%
ATL 91, NYK 85	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.53,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.48,0.38,0.41,0.31,0.34,0.22,0.28,0.3,0.43,0.33,0.29,0.23,0.31,0.41,0.4,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.03,0	91.7%
POR 84, UTA 81	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.07,0.1,0.22,0.06,0.09,0	91.5%