NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	84		Excitement	7.6 [172]		MVP	Isaiah Rider (POR): +32.1%
Utah Jazz	81		Comeback	2.3 [186]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -22.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaiah Rider	0.32	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.23,0.32	0.09	0.23	0.00	19	61%	0.35	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.02	0.04	-0.01	10	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brian Grant	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	12	62%	0.08	1	-0.03	13	69%	-0.02
Arvydas Sabonis	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.06	0.08	-0.00	13	37%	0.06	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Kelvin Cato	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Stacey Augmon	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Anthony	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	1	37%	-0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.05
Jim Jackson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	10	36%	-0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Walt Williams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	5	20%	-0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jeff Hornacek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.16	0.16	0.02	0.15	0.00	16	54%	0.22	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Shandon Anderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	13	55%	0.09	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.00
Greg Foster	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adam Keefe	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Karl Malone	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	14	57%	0.01	1	-0.01	12	75%	0.00
Todd Fuller	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thurl Bailey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	2	40%	-0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.08	-0.12	-0.02	13	33%	-0.12	1	-0.06	1	0%	-0.03
John Stockton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23	-0.23	-0.09	-0.13	0.00	9	42%	-0.10	4	-0.13	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	32.3	19.7	29.6	3.3	33.4	145.8
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +43.7%

UTA -12.4%

UTA -15.1%

POR +32.6%

POR +1.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	16.3	17.0	15.8	97.7	93.1	99.6
season	16.0	16.4		102.0	102.6
opponent	16.0	15.9		96.1	96.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.3	15.4	17.8	16.7	16.3
UTA	15.3	18.9	18.1	16.0	17.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Rider	64	65	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.48	5	-2	7	15.6	18.1	-2.51	16.4	19.0	-2.59
Rasheed Wallace	58	60	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.44	5	-2	7	16.1	16.5	-0.40	17.2	16.6	0.62
Greg Anthony	38	38	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.36	1	2	-1	16.3	16.2	0.09	16.8	17.2	-0.37
Brian Grant	59	61	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.36	-1	4	-5	16.9	14.9	1.96	17.1	16.9	0.20
Jim Jackson	45	46	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.35	-3	6	-9	16.0	16.5	-0.51	17.1	16.9	0.23
Arvydas Sabonis	67	68	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.00	6	-3	9	16.5	15.4	1.15	17.5	15.4	2.12
Damon Stoudamire	48	49	0.11	0.39	-0.27	0.06	2	1	1	16.2	16.3	-0.09	17.2	16.8	0.37
Stacey Augmon	30	28	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.07	0	3	-3	17.2	15.7	1.48	15.3	17.8	-2.56
Kelvin Cato	1	0	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	-0.01	0	3	-3	2.0	16.4	-14.44	0.0	17.0	-17.02
Walt Williams	16	16	-0.01	0.51	-0.53	-0.04	1	2	-1	15.5	16.4	-0.94	19.7	16.4	3.34
Jermaine O'Neal	4	4	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.01	-1	4	-5	17.2	16.2	1.03	16.0	17.1	-1.07

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Howard Eisley	25	25	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.06	5	-8	13	17.0	17.0	0.02	17.5	15.8	1.71
Greg Foster	2	3	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.04	0	-3	3	21.5	16.9	4.58	8.3	16.6	-8.22
Adam Keefe	0	1	0.01	-0.51	0.51	0.01	0	-3	3	0.0	17.0	-17.02	2.0	16.4	-14.44
Thurl Bailey	17	19	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.01	-6	3	-9	15.9	17.3	-1.42	15.7	16.4	-0.75
Todd Fuller	20	19	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-1	-1	18.7	16.5	2.18	16.7	16.1	0.53
Greg Ostertag	56	56	-0.19	-0.31	0.13	-0.04	-5	2	-7	17.1	17.0	0.09	16.3	16.1	0.21
Shandon Anderson	57	56	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.35	3	-6	9	17.0	17.1	-0.17	16.1	16.5	-0.41
Karl Malone	68	64	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.46	3	-6	9	17.2	16.5	0.70	16.8	14.7	2.13
Jeff Hornacek	53	53	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.27	-4	1	-5	16.8	17.4	-0.69	16.1	16.5	-0.40
Bryon Russell	75	73	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	-2	1	16.8	18.5	-1.71	16.5	14.8	1.67
John Stockton	62	61	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.35	-8	5	-13	17.0	17.0	-0.02	15.8	17.5	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.48,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.3,0.26,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.43,0.47,0.36,0.24,0.07,0.1,0.22,0.06,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 105, ATL 97	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.4,0.29,0.42,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.15,0.06,0.14,0.22,0.09,0,0	92.6%
NYK 86, ATL 78	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.63,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.32,0.42,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.17,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0	92.4%
PHX 115, UTA 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.53,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.54,0.56,0.49,0.5,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.55,0.42,0.42,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.31,0.2,0.07,0.03,0,0,0,0	92.4%