NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	97		Excitement	4.1 [795]		MVP	Kyle Korver (CHI): +10.0%
Chicago Bulls	111		Comeback	1.4 [983]		LVP	Al Jefferson (UTA): -9.0%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Howard	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.02	0.02	10	65%	0.07	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Alec Burks	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	0.00	0.02	8	55%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.14	-0.03	0.10	17	67%	0.05	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Evans	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enes Kanter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.01	0.00	0.04	4	50%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordon Hayward	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	6	62%	0.05	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.01
Earl Watson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.13	-0.00	-0.06	11	27%	-0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
CJ Miles	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.01	7	25%	-0.04	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Al Jefferson	-0.09	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.06	-0.01	0.02	19	42%	-0.05	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.23	0.01	0.14	16	81%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.00	0.03	17	73%	0.17	5	-0.11	3	33%	-0.01
Derrick Rose	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.07,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.03	0.00	13	65%	0.16	6	-0.11	11	91%	0.02
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.00	-0.02	4	57%	0.05	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Lucas III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	6	58%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Brian Scalabrine	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	11	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Omer Asik	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	20.8	2.5	29.4	15.4	27.6	2.4	29.2	127.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +47.3%

CHI +1.7%

CHI +1.4%

CHI +1.0%

UTA -1.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHI	NBA	UTA	CHI	NBA
this game	16.2	15.8	15.6	109.0	122.0	102.8
season	15.8	16.0		104.0	104.7
opponent	15.9	15.1		97.0	104.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	14.3	17.7	18.9	14.3	16.2
CHI	18.5	13.7	14.7	16.3	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Evans	3	4	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.06	2	-16	18	11.3	16.4	-5.06	21.2	15.5	5.72
Gordon Hayward	49	51	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-13	12	16.2	16.2	-0.05	16.6	14.8	1.79
Paul Millsap	64	66	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.20	0	-14	14	16.4	15.8	0.54	16.1	15.0	1.13
Enes Kanter	15	14	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.04	-9	-5	-4	14.7	16.5	-1.79	15.2	15.9	-0.67
Jamaal Tinsley	46	47	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-8	2	15.0	17.5	-2.49	14.8	16.8	-2.01
Alec Burks	38	38	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.01	-8	-6	-2	14.5	17.5	-2.96	15.2	16.2	-0.93
Al Jefferson	59	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.07	-7	-7	0	17.1	14.6	2.50	16.5	14.4	2.11
Earl Watson	43	44	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.04	-8	-6	-2	17.5	15.0	2.49	16.8	14.8	2.01
Josh Howard	48	51	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.04	-9	-5	-4	17.5	14.8	2.72	15.9	15.6	0.28
Derrick Favors	37	37	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	0.10	-14	0	-14	15.6	16.7	-1.03	13.7	17.2	-3.50
CJ Miles	43	42	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.07	-10	-4	-6	16.3	16.1	0.24	15.2	16.3	-1.14

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	78	77	0.56	-0.06	0.62	-0.11	23	-9	32	15.5	17.5	-1.96	16.6	14.0	2.57
Kyle Korver	72	73	0.39	0.11	0.27	-0.05	15	-1	16	16.3	13.8	2.52	16.1	16.9	-0.79
Jimmy Butler	55	54	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.01	11	3	8	14.7	17.4	-2.62	16.2	16.2	0.04
Derrick Rose	64	64	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.03	10	4	6	16.1	15.0	1.16	16.9	14.6	2.26
Ronnie Brewer	55	51	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.22	2	12	-10	16.1	15.2	0.88	16.4	16.0	0.44
Omer Asik	60	58	0.24	0.26	-0.02	-0.02	9	5	4	16.4	14.5	1.97	17.8	13.2	4.60
Taj Gibson	39	39	0.20	0.30	-0.09	0.20	0	14	-14	15.1	16.3	-1.19	13.7	18.2	-4.51
John Lucas III	27	25	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.06	4	10	-6	15.0	16.1	-1.16	14.6	16.9	-2.26
Brian Scalabrine	5	4	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.11	-4	18	-22	17.4	15.7	1.71	11.0	16.5	-5.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.44,0.5,0.53,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.74,0.69,0.73,0.78,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.88,0.93,0.9,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.98,0.96,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 97, ATL 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.75,0.74,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.8,0.89,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%
NYK 94, MIA 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.5,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.55,0.64,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.71,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.79,0.76,0.83,0.84,0.89,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.6%
MEM 88, MIN 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.68,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.59,0.7,0.74,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.77,0.92,0.92,0.94,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	95.4%