NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	114		Excitement	8.1 [192]		MVP	Ersan Ilyasova (MIL): +44.7%
Milwaukee Bucks	119		Comeback	2.3 [334]		LVP	Drew Gooden (MIL): -31.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amar'e Stoudemire	0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07	0.14	-0.04	0.04	15	75%	0.20	3	-0.13	6	83%	0.01
Steve Novak	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05	0.06	-0.01	-0.00	8	69%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.07	0.01	0.02	12	75%	0.14	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Josh Harrellson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	3	67%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Iman Shumpert	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
J.R. Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Baron Davis	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	10	45%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	-0.08	0,0,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08	-0.01	-0.05	0.02	17	50%	-0.03	2	-0.05	10	70%	-0.06
Jeremy Lin	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.11,-0.11	-0.00	-0.13	-0.01	14	61%	0.12	5	-0.23	5	60%	-0.02

Milwaukee Bucks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ersan Ilyasova	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.34,0.45	0.45	0.20	0.25	-0.01	13	79%	0.47	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.07
Carlos Delfino	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.12	0.01	0.02	9	78%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike Dunleavy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.14	-0.07	-0.00	16	74%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shaun Livingston	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	7	43%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Jennings	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.04	-0.04	0.08	-0.10	0.02	18	62%	0.08	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.01
Larry Sanders	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	9	45%	0.00	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Luc Mbah a Moute	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Drew Gooden	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.23,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.15	-0.15	0.01	12	40%	-0.17	6	-0.15	6	67%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	2.4	25.2	15.6	27.5	2.6	38.3	135.4
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK -20.2%

MIL +22.5%

MIL +50.1%

NYK -2.2%

NYK -0.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	MIL	NBA	NYK	MIL	NBA
this game	13.5	15.2	15.6	112.9	119.0	102.8
season	14.9	14.6		102.3	103.8
opponent	15.6	15.7		103.4	100.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	12.8	13.9	14.5	12.8	13.5
MIL	14.4	14.9	14.9	16.7	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amar'e Stoudemire	75	76	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.43	11	-16	27	13.3	13.8	-0.47	16.4	11.5	4.83
Jeremy Lin	82	85	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.53	13	-18	31	13.5	13.4	0.04	16.0	10.9	5.11
Landry Fields	76	76	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.45	10	-15	25	13.0	14.7	-1.68	15.9	13.2	2.69
J.R. Smith	42	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.01	-6	1	-7	13.4	13.5	-0.17	14.3	15.8	-1.47
Iman Shumpert	12	11	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.17	-14	9	-23	14.2	13.3	0.90	11.2	15.7	-4.53
Josh Harrellson	32	30	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	9	-23	13.7	13.3	0.43	12.2	16.5	-4.30
Baron Davis	63	61	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.33	-2	-3	1	13.7	13.0	0.77	15.6	14.6	0.93
Steve Novak	46	43	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	0.11	-18	13	-31	14.1	12.9	1.20	14.5	15.8	-1.27
Carmelo Anthony	77	77	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.37	-5	0	-5	13.2	14.4	-1.26	14.9	16.2	-1.31

Milwaukee Bucks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ersan Ilyasova	72	74	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.35	7	-2	9	15.3	14.9	0.39	13.8	12.6	1.23
Mike Dunleavy	74	73	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.20	10	-5	15	14.9	16.0	-1.02	13.6	13.2	0.38
Carlos Delfino	74	75	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.42	2	3	-1	15.7	13.7	2.00	13.3	13.8	-0.53
Brandon Jennings	78	79	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.42	-1	6	-7	15.3	14.8	0.56	13.7	12.5	1.22
Larry Sanders	31	34	0.37	0.13	0.24	-0.13	17	-12	29	15.2	15.2	-0.07	14.5	12.9	1.62
Beno Udrih	49	50	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.02	5	0	5	15.0	15.4	-0.37	13.6	13.4	0.21
Drew Gooden	68	66	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.49	-13	18	-31	15.4	14.7	0.72	13.1	14.2	-1.14
Luc Mbah a Moute	18	18	0.06	0.44	-0.38	-0.06	4	1	3	13.3	15.6	-2.29	12.6	13.6	-1.03
Shaun Livingston	24	24	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	4	-3	15.0	15.3	-0.33	12.7	13.7	-1.03
Tobias Harris	12	12	-0.11	0.61	-0.73	0.09	-7	12	-19	15.1	15.2	-0.14	11.4	13.7	-2.31

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.54,0.55,0.51,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.34,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.59,0.72,0.66,0.74,0.78,0.87,0.9,0.94,0.92,0.95,0.98,0.89,0.73,0.75,0.79,0.68,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 100, DAL 108	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.57,0.58,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.84,0.82,0.94,0.97,0.92,0.96,0.96,0.9,0.85,0.72,0.95,0.9,0.9,0.72,1	92.1%
LAC 93, UTA 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.35,0.42,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.4,0.47,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.55,0.65,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.75,0.74,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.92,0.94,0.96,0.81,0.78,0.84,0.9,1	92.1%
OKC 115, GSW 116	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.5,0.45,0.39,0.41,0.49,0.53,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.63,0.77,0.87,0.85,0.94,0.96,0.94,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.9,0.83,0.74,0.91,0.84,1	91.8%