NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	102		Excitement	9.1 [99]		MVP	Rudy Gay (MEM): +39.1%
Toronto Raptors	99		Comeback	4.0 [324]		LVP	Linas Kleiza (TOR): -14.2%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rudy Gay	0.39	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.39	0.10	0.29	-0.01	15	62%	0.47	2	-0.08	7	100%	0.05
Dante Cunningham	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.00	9	55%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.10
Mike Conley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.09,0.09,0.07	0.13	-0.06	-0.00	14	66%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,0.07,0.07	0.00	0.09	0.03	19	50%	0.11	2	-0.04	4	75%	-0.00
O.J. Mayo	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.01	0.00	10	57%	0.06	0	0.00	8	87%	0.02
Josh Selby	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Young	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Pondexter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marreese Speights	-0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	4	30%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Tony Allen	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.06	-0.10	0.01	-0.03	6	29%	-0.01	3	-0.06	5	20%	-0.11

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerryd Bayless	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.14	0.07	0.00	9	72%	0.21	0	0.00	7	100%	0.06
James Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.03	0.16	0.00	12	48%	0.19	0	0.00	5	80%	0.02
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.14	0.00	9	72%	0.25	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ed Davis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	4	78%	0.09	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jamaal Magloire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Rasual Butler	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Johnson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.03	0.01	7	71%	0.07	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Jose Calderon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,0.04,-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.01	9	48%	0.16	4	-0.17	3	67%	-0.08
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	8	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gray	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.02	-0.08	0.01	4	70%	0.04	3	-0.15	2	50%	-0.09
Linas Kleiza	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,-0.14	-0.14	0.01	-0.16	0.00	8	67%	-0.01	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.1	2.5	30.3	16.4	29.1	2.4	37.5	141.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR -7.4%

TOR -17.4%

MEM +28.5%

MEM +44.9%

MEM +1.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	TOR	NBA	MEM	TOR	NBA
this game	14.6	16.0	15.6	109.7	104.2	102.8
season	15.6	16.5		102.0	98.9
opponent	15.2	15.7		102.9	100.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.2	15.5	14.5	14.5	14.6
TOR	16.4	17.3	15.5	14.9	16.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rudy Gay	78	79	1.03	-0.53	1.55	0.41	21	-18	39	14.2	16.7	-2.49	16.4	14.0	2.38
Mike Conley	76	77	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.44	15	-12	27	14.1	17.0	-2.88	16.3	14.6	1.69
Marc Gasol	80	80	0.85	-0.35	1.19	0.52	11	-8	19	14.6	14.8	-0.14	16.5	13.0	3.54
O.J. Mayo	65	68	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.31	1	2	-1	14.2	15.7	-1.48	15.6	16.9	-1.32
Tony Allen	51	52	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	5	-7	14.5	14.8	-0.26	15.1	17.0	-1.95
Sam Young	5	4	0.03	0.47	-0.44	-0.06	3	0	3	15.0	14.6	0.37	15.5	16.0	-0.50
Dante Cunningham	45	48	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.09	-6	9	-15	15.3	14.0	1.29	16.6	15.4	1.18
Marreese Speights	38	40	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.02	-6	9	-15	15.1	14.3	0.73	15.6	16.2	-0.57
Josh Selby	9	8	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.05	-8	11	-19	18.8	14.2	4.58	16.2	16.0	0.30
Quincy Pondexter	18	19	-0.43	0.93	-1.37	-0.02	-14	17	-31	15.9	14.3	1.54	13.6	16.6	-2.93

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerryd Bayless	37	35	0.39	-0.89	1.27	0.09	10	-13	23	15.2	16.5	-1.25	14.9	14.5	0.39
Ed Davis	31	30	0.35	-0.85	1.19	0.14	7	-10	17	15.2	16.4	-1.17	14.5	14.7	-0.17
Jamaal Magloire	18	16	0.12	-0.62	0.75	-0.11	8	-11	19	17.9	15.5	2.42	15.2	14.5	0.66
Amir Johnson	48	47	0.11	-0.61	0.72	0.17	-2	-1	-1	16.4	15.5	0.93	15.4	13.9	1.45
Leandro Barbosa	40	38	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.31	9	-12	21	15.3	16.5	-1.13	14.3	14.9	-0.56
Rasual Butler	1	1	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.07	0	-3	3	0.0	16.1	-16.15	2.0	14.8	-12.78
Linas Kleiza	54	53	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.39	2	-5	7	15.2	17.0	-1.84	14.5	14.8	-0.23
James Johnson	52	50	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.27	-13	10	-23	16.7	15.1	1.53	14.8	14.5	0.25
Aaron Gray	60	60	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	7	-17	16.2	15.6	0.55	14.6	14.7	-0.08
DeMar DeRozan	68	68	-0.77	0.27	-1.04	-0.48	-10	7	-17	16.1	15.6	0.59	14.6	14.8	-0.21
Jose Calderon	66	67	-0.91	0.41	-1.33	-0.44	-16	13	-29	16.3	15.3	1.01	14.4	15.3	-0.92

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.46,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.58,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.28,0.37,0.52,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.8,0.68,0.64,0.8,0.78,0.53,0.37,0.29,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 116, GSW 114	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.59,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.57,0.58,0.57,0.58,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.67,0.54,0.67,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.47,0.45,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.62,0.52,0.68,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.45,0.46,0.33,0.53,0	90.2%
CLE 97, SAC 93	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.67,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.29,0.45,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.69,0.76,0.53,0.38,0.45,0.35,0.73,0	90.0%
BOS 80, SAS 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.67,0.71,0.76,0.73,0.71,0.67,0.51,0.56,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.38,0.58,0.63,0.53,0.59,0.46,0.39,0.55,0.33,0.27,0	89.0%