NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Jersey Nets	93		Excitement	8.6 [134]		MVP	Brook Lopez (NJN): +50.3%
Dallas Mavericks	92		Comeback	1.7 [202]		LVP	Jason Kidd (DAL): -28.2%

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brook Lopez	0.50	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.5	0.18	0.29	-0.03	28	62%	0.56	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.09
Gerald Green	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	6	83%	0.14	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
MarShon Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Johan Petro	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.07	-0.01	15	47%	0.15	3	-0.24	2	100%	0.02
Sundiata Gaines	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12	-0.02	-0.08	0.02	7	71%	0.06	4	-0.18	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	-0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.13	-0.06	-0.01	15	34%	-0.07	4	-0.11	5	80%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brendan Haywood	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.01	0.01	10	72%	0.14	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Brandan Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodrigue Beaubois	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	10	46%	0.07	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Yi Jianlian	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	44%	0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.00
Brian Cardinal	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominique Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ian Mahinmi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dirk Nowitzki	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.04	-0.04	0.03	19	49%	-0.00	1	-0.04	11	64%	-0.04
Vince Carter	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	22%	-0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Jason Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	14	40%	0.03	4	-0.13	2	100%	0.02
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.21,-0.21,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.01	16	34%	-0.04	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Jason Kidd	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.28	-0.28	-0.07	-0.25	-0.04	7	21%	-0.27	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	2.3	27.6	16.7	25.5	2.7	35.2	134.7
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NJN +68.4%

NJN +12.1%

NJN +3.4%

DAL -35.5%

NJN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NJN	DAL	NBA	NJN	DAL	NBA
this game	15.0	14.8	15.6	96.9	94.8	102.8
season	16.2	15.5		101.3	101.6
opponent	15.5	15.2		100.9	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NJN	14.5	14.2	14.8	16.7	15.0
DAL	14.3	15.2	13.5	16.8	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sundiata Gaines	22	22	0.90	-0.40	1.31	0.64	9	-8	17	15.5	14.8	0.71	14.5	14.9	-0.39
Johan Petro	34	33	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.20	10	-9	19	15.5	14.7	0.77	13.5	15.5	-2.02
Brook Lopez	72	74	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	-4	9	15.2	14.3	0.94	14.8	15.0	-0.20
DeShawn Stevenson	33	35	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.40	-3	4	-7	15.4	14.8	0.60	15.3	14.6	0.64
Kris Humphries	74	72	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.58	-11	12	-23	14.9	15.5	-0.65	15.5	13.1	2.38
Deron Williams	76	76	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.42	-8	9	-17	14.5	16.7	-2.21	15.0	14.4	0.59
Gerald Green	40	40	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.03	2	-1	3	14.7	15.2	-0.43	13.6	15.7	-2.03
Anthony Morrow	56	57	0.07	0.43	-0.37	-0.11	6	-5	11	15.1	14.9	0.13	14.4	15.4	-1.03
Shelden Williams	8	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	3	-5	11.4	15.3	-3.95	15.8	14.7	1.06
MarShon Brooks	65	66	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	-0.16	-3	4	-7	15.4	14.3	1.10	15.6	13.3	2.29

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shawn Marion	61	61	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-7	13	15.3	14.1	1.21	14.8	15.3	-0.49
Brandan Wright	13	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	0.04	-3	2	-5	16.2	14.6	1.60	15.5	14.9	0.57
Dominique Jones	10	9	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	-0.02	-2	1	-3	12.5	15.1	-2.61	11.3	15.4	-4.05
Brendan Haywood	57	56	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.33	8	-9	17	15.2	14.4	0.80	15.6	14.2	1.33
Yi Jianlian	17	17	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	3	-7	14.7	14.9	-0.17	13.0	15.4	-2.43
Brian Cardinal	9	9	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.01	-3	2	-5	10.1	15.3	-5.22	17.1	14.8	2.33
Vince Carter	45	43	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.10	0	-1	1	14.6	15.1	-0.46	17.0	13.4	3.58
Jason Kidd	61	59	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.37	7	-8	15	15.4	13.9	1.57	14.9	15.2	-0.26
Ian Mahinmi	27	28	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.18	-6	5	-11	13.5	15.4	-1.89	13.7	15.5	-1.87
Jason Terry	68	68	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.43	-1	0	-1	14.4	15.8	-1.35	14.6	15.9	-1.21
Dirk Nowitzki	70	70	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.66	6	-7	13	15.5	13.3	2.20	15.2	14.4	0.79
Rodrigue Beaubois	47	48	-0.73	0.23	-0.95	-0.35	-13	12	-25	14.9	14.8	0.05	14.8	15.2	-0.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.32,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.6,0.52,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.22,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 100, SAC 99	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.42,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.23,0.28,0.36,0.33,0.27,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.43,0.38,0.28,0.15,0.21,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.04,0.15,0	92.7%
LAC 102, NYK 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.27,0.26,0.35,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.23,0.33,0.27,0.26,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.39,0.48,0.45,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.29,0.24,0.19,0.14,0.09,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0	92.6%
IND 93, NYK 80	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.49,0.41,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.36,0.52,0.51,0.42,0.41,0.45,0.44,0.6,0.56,0.5,0.57,0.38,0.29,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.09,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	92.6%